It all starts with this 4chan post where a supposed researcher claims that people with an IQ less than 90 can't understand questions like "How would you have felt yesterday evening if you hadn't eaten breakfast or lunch?"
Later in the original thread, the author uses the same breakfast question found in the post on 4chan.
The breakfast question is frequently linked to memes implying black people have low IQs. Like this George Floyd meme.
Or this one, where they swap a black woman for the much more typical version of the meme which features a white man.
See here, where this person suggests that this black teen isn't capable of understanding hypotheticals.
I don't know anything about this person but he's listed on the Southern Poverty Law Center website as a white nationalist. Source: splcenter.org/fighting-hate/…
On a personal note, I frequently get people on here asking me the breakfast question in a sad attempt to troll me as a black person on the internet.
I'm not accusing the original author of the thread of racism. Perhaps he is unaware of the origins.
But spreading these kinds of ideas without acknowledging the context is exactly how racist ideas get mainstreamed.
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Nate Silver's latest book reads to me like a roadmap of the current moment. It's about a kind of chaotic, aggressive quantitative thinker who's usually wrong, but in calculated ways that lead to massive wins when things break their way.
These would include venture capitalists, crypto bros, tech evangelists, AI boosters and even a few influencers. They also seem to be among the most powerful members of MAGA.
Their constant wrongness tempts the rest of society to see them as idiots. That's a mistake. They're often making calculated bets on rare events with massive payoffs.
Nassim Taleb has written a devastatingly strong critique of IQ, but since he writes at such a technical level, his most powerful insights are being missed.
Let me explain just one of them. 🧵
Taleb raises an intriguing question: what if IQ isn't measuring intelligence at all, but instead merely detecting the many ways in which things can go wrong with a brain?
Imagine a situation like this, where there's no real difference between having an IQ of 100-160 in terms of real world outcomes, but an IQ of 40-100 suggests something has gone seriously wrong in a person's life: anything from lead poisoning to severe poverty.
Here's something counterintuitive, that a lot of people don't understand about heritability as it relates to race, if skin color is heritable, and discrimination based on skin color is common, the bad outcomes due to racism is going to be heritable as well.
Whenever you get any race-related heritability numbers, the first thing you absolutely should do is ask the person giving you those numbers what they did to rule these pathways out as a possibility.
In my experience, the answer is almost always nothing.
Let me break this down. The original tweet is doing the statistical equivalent of this.
It makes no sense to treat a white person being killed by a black person as special and different from a white person being killed by another white person.