In April 1989, KKR bought RJR for $30.8 billion. The deal was 6x larger than any other buyout and exceeded "the $29.5 billion cash value of the seven other biggest LBOs." It remained the largest buyout for eighteen years.
Here's the story...
It starts with RJR's CEO—Ross Johnson. By October 1988, Johnson had a solid three-year operating record:
+20% sales
+50% earnings
+66% EPS
The problem: RJR's stock price
"The company was going like gangbusters but the [stock] got beaten down."
Johnson's solution: An LBO
Here's his LBO pitch to RJR's board:
"It's plain as the nose on your face that this company is wildly undervalued. We're sitting on food assets worth 22-25 times earnings and we trade at 9 times. We've studied ways of increasing value. I believe the only way is through an LBO."
But Henry Kravis had the same idea.
Kravis viewed RJR as the "ideal LBO" with "every characteristic that you could possibly look for," including:
An "epic" bidding war ensued between Johnson and Kravis. "Everything on Wall Street stopped. It was like two gunfighters in the street. And everyone wanted to watch or pick up a gun."
- Opening bid: $75 a share (10/20/1988)
- Winning bid: $109 a share (11/30/1988)
Junk bonds comprised ~25% of both bids. RJR worried these "securities weren't worth anywhere near 100 cents on the dollar." So Kravis agreed to "'reset' mechanisms that guaranteed the bonds traded at [par]."
But after the deal closed, "the reset mechanism turned into a financial death trap." In January 1990, despite results "ahead of projections on virtually every measure," Moody's downgraded RJR. As RJR's bonds collapsed, Kravis scrambled to avoid a "reset at a rate of 25% or more."
Kravis faced another crisis: The price Wars
For the first time, low-priced cigarettes were taking share from premium brands. Philip Morris, the industry price leader, responded by cutting retail prices by 20% in one day. These price cuts "absolutely knocked the wind out of RJR."
Buffett bought RJR's distressed debt in 1990. He paid ~67 cents for the exchangeable reset debentures. The bonds were called 1.5 years later.
[note: ~67 cents of par plus accrued]
FOOTNOTE: BUFFETT ON THE LBO
Buffett blessed Salomon's minority commitment in the Johnson bid.
His remarks about cigarette economics:
- It costs a penny to make
- It sells for a dollar
- It's addictive
And there's fantastic brand loyalty.
FOOTNOTE: PRITZKER
The Pritzkers joined a longshot competing bid. Their $600 million investment would've made RJR "twice the largest commitment the family had ever made."
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- Buy a failing mutual savings bank
- Hire a "brilliant manager"
- Obtain a "no-lose guarantee"
- Use "extreme financial leverage"
That's how he made a "50% annual return" from Bowery Bank during the S&L crisis.
See below for more…
The Bowery fell on hard times back in the seventies when rising interest rates began eroding the bank's balance sheet. There was no looting of Bowery's assets. Just managers who dozed as the cost of deposits kept outstripping the yield on mortgages and government bonds.
"The Bowery deal was very unusual for me. It may be the only I've done like that as a private deal."
In 1965, Jerry Kohlberg formed a group to buy Stern Metals. The deal, which earned 4.7x within two months and 8.0x over a two-year hold, became Kohlberg's "blueprint" for buyouts at his future firm.
That firm: KKR
Here's the story…
HJ Stern, the owner of Stern Metals, had a problem. He needed to monetize his Stern equity w/o:
- Selling to his ill-equipped kids
- Losing control in an IPO
He consulted with his neighbor Jerry Kohlberg. Kohlberg, then head of IB at Bear Stearns, proposed a solution:
An LBO
Kohlberg thought Stern was an ideal LBO candidate. He wanted a business that:
- Sold low-tech industrial products
- Produced steady sales and profit growth
- Required minimal capital expenditures
In January 1982, Bill Simon bought 33% of Gibson for $330K. The value of that $330K investment when Gibson went public in May 1983: $66.7 million.
That's a 202X return in 17 months.
Here's how he did it…
Bill Simon, a trader-turned-statesman, left his job as Treasury Secretary in 1977.
His financial position:
- Salary: $66 thousand
- Net Worth: $2.5 million
He spent the next five years:
- Consulting
- Value investing
- Commodity trading
Then he found his niche: LBOs
In 1981, Bill Simon and Ray Chambers, an accountant-turned-investor, formed Wesray. The plan: Use Simon's contacts and Chambers's analytical skills to buy good companies with borrowed money.
In 1976, the California Newspaper Service Bureau, a mutually-owned public notice ad sales agency, settled a restraint-of-trade lawsuit. The settlement terms required that they (a) pay the plaintiff $1.5M and (b) sell their 100% interest in the Daily Journal Corp ("DJCO").
Munger's New America Fund ("NAF") bought the DJCO for $2.2M in 1977. DJCO had circulation of 18,000 and $4M of revenues, making it:
- The US's largest legal publisher
- SoCal's dominant legal daily
In 1971, Munger's Blue Chip Stamps ("BCS") agreed to buy CE for $29M. That purchase price was a big commitment for BCS, amounting to:
- 30% of liquid assets
- 80% of shareholders' equity
Here's the story…
CE was Cincinnati's largest newspaper. Scripps, a newspaper chain, bought the paper in 1956. But there was a problem: Cincinnati was one of the last "two-newspaper towns," and Scripps controlled both papers. This led to an antitrust suit and DOJ-imposed sale of CE to Munger.
Why'd Munger bid on CE?
Consider the newspaper economics:
→ More content → More readers
→ More readers → More advertisers
→ More advertisers → Higher ad rates
→ Higher ad rates → More content
This feedback loop led to what Buffett called "survival of the fattest."