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May 30 20 tweets 12 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
"Deal of the Century": RJR Nabisco

In April 1989, KKR bought RJR for $30.8 billion. The deal was 6x larger than any other buyout and exceeded "the $29.5 billion cash value of the seven other biggest LBOs." It remained the largest buyout for eighteen years.

Here's the story... ImageImageImageImage
It starts with RJR's CEO—Ross Johnson. By October 1988, Johnson had a solid three-year operating record:

+20% sales
+50% earnings
+66% EPS

The problem: RJR's stock price

"The company was going like gangbusters but the [stock] got beaten down."

Johnson's solution: An LBO ImageImageImage
Here's his LBO pitch to RJR's board:

"It's plain as the nose on your face that this company is wildly undervalued. We're sitting on food assets worth 22-25 times earnings and we trade at 9 times. We've studied ways of increasing value. I believe the only way is through an LBO." Image
But Henry Kravis had the same idea.

Kravis viewed RJR as the "ideal LBO" with "every characteristic that you could possibly look for," including:

- Tremendous branded products
- Stability of earnings
- Enormous cash flow
- Valuable standalone assets
- Attractive purchase price
An "epic" bidding war ensued between Johnson and Kravis. "Everything on Wall Street stopped. It was like two gunfighters in the street. And everyone wanted to watch or pick up a gun."

- Opening bid: $75 a share (10/20/1988)
- Winning bid: $109 a share (11/30/1988) Image
BID #1 — 10/20/1988

Johnson: $75 per share

Pricetag:
- Market cap: $16.9 billion
- Enterprise value: $21.4 billion

Multiples:
- P/E: 12.3X
- EV/EBIT: 7.5X ImageImageImage
BID #2 — 10/24/1988

Kravis: $90 per share
[$78 cash / $12 paper]

Pricetag:
- Market cap: $20.3 billion
- Enterprise value: $24.7 billion

Multiples:
- P/E: 14.7X
- EV/EBIT: 8.7X ImageImage
BID #3 — 11/03/1988

Johnson: $92 per share
[$84 cash / $8 paper]

Pricetag:
- Market cap: $20.8 billion
- Enterprise value: $25.2 billion

Multiples:
- P/E: 15.1X
- EV/EBIT: 8.8X ImageImageImage
BID #4 — 11/18/1988

Johnson: $100 per share
[$90 cash / $10 paper]

Kravis: $94 per share
[$75 cash / $19 paper]

Pricetag:
- Market cap: $21.2-22.6 billion
- Enterprise value: $25.6-27.0 billion

Multiples:
- P/E: 15.4-16.4X
- EV/EBIT: 9.0-9.5X ImageImageImage
BID #5 — 11/30/1988

Johnson: $112 per share
[$84 cash / $28 paper]

Kravis: $109 per share
[$81 cash / $28 paper]

Pricetag:
- Market cap: $24.6-25.3 billion
- Enterprise value: $29.0-29.7 billion

Multiples:
- P/E: 17.8-18.3X
- EV/EBIT: 10.2-10.4X

THE WINNER: HENRY KRAVIS ImageImageImageImage
How'd Kravis win with the lower bid?

He agreed to a 'reset' clause.

Junk bonds comprised ~25% of both bids. RJR worried these "securities weren't worth anywhere near 100 cents on the dollar." So Kravis agreed to "'reset' mechanisms that guaranteed the bonds traded at [par]." ImageImageImage
But after the deal closed, "the reset mechanism turned into a financial death trap." In January 1990, despite results "ahead of projections on virtually every measure," Moody's downgraded RJR. As RJR's bonds collapsed, Kravis scrambled to avoid a "reset at a rate of 25% or more." ImageImageImage
Kravis faced another crisis: The price Wars

For the first time, low-priced cigarettes were taking share from premium brands. Philip Morris, the industry price leader, responded by cutting retail prices by 20% in one day. These price cuts "absolutely knocked the wind out of RJR." ImageImageImage
The one-two punch of RJR's…

- Reset bonds
- Price wars

…produced a 2.8% IRR for KKR.

RJR was also:

- Kravis's "largest investment"
- "Half of KKR's giant $5.6B fund"

This had a "severe impact" on returns.

KKR 1987 Fund IRRs
- Excluding RJR: 24%
- Including RJR: 14% ImageImageImage
Want to learn more about the RJR buyout? Check out these two books:

- Barbarians at the Gate
- Merchants of Debt

They're my two favorites on 1980s LBOs. ImageImage
FOOTNOTE: PURCHASE PRICE

RJR purchase price:
+ $24.3 billion stock purchase
+ $4.9 billion assumed debt (net)
+ $1.6 billion deal fees and expenses
= $30.8 billion total purchase price Image
FOOTNOTE: LEVERAGE

LEVERAGE RATIOS:
- 10.1x Debt/EBIT
- 1.0x EBIT/Interest

LTV: 93.7% Image
FOOTNOTE: BUFFETT BUYS THE DEBT

Buffett bought RJR's distressed debt in 1990. He paid ~67 cents for the exchangeable reset debentures. The bonds were called 1.5 years later.

[note: ~67 cents of par plus accrued] ImageImage
FOOTNOTE: BUFFETT ON THE LBO

Buffett blessed Salomon's minority commitment in the Johnson bid.

His remarks about cigarette economics:

- It costs a penny to make
- It sells for a dollar
- It's addictive

And there's fantastic brand loyalty. Image
FOOTNOTE: PRITZKER

The Pritzkers joined a longshot competing bid. Their $600 million investment would've made RJR "twice the largest commitment the family had ever made." Image

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May 11
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See below for more… ImageImageImage
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— Warren Buffett Image
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The first LBO: Stern Metals

In 1965, Jerry Kohlberg formed a group to buy Stern Metals. The deal, which earned 4.7x within two months and 8.0x over a two-year hold, became Kohlberg's "blueprint" for buyouts at his future firm.

That firm: KKR

Here's the story… ImageImageImage
HJ Stern, the owner of Stern Metals, had a problem. He needed to monetize his Stern equity w/o:

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Mar 21
"One of the greatest Wall Street coups":

Gibson Greetings, Inc.

In January 1982, Bill Simon bought 33% of Gibson for $330K. The value of that $330K investment when Gibson went public in May 1983: $66.7 million.

That's a 202X return in 17 months.

Here's how he did it…
Bill Simon, a trader-turned-statesman, left his job as Treasury Secretary in 1977.

His financial position:
- Salary: $66 thousand
- Net Worth: $2.5 million

He spent the next five years:
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Then he found his niche: LBOs
In 1981, Bill Simon and Ray Chambers, an accountant-turned-investor, formed Wesray. The plan: Use Simon's contacts and Chambers's analytical skills to buy good companies with borrowed money.

Wesray's first buyout? Gibson Greetings
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Warren Buffett's Salomon letters: Image
Buffett’s YE 1991 Letter: ImageImageImage
Salomon’s YE 1991 Financials: ImageImageImageImage
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Munger's Daily Journal AGM Info:

Date: Today (2/15)
Time: 1 PM (ET)

Here's some Daily Journal history…

In 1976, the California Newspaper Service Bureau, a mutually-owned public notice ad sales agency, settled a restraint-of-trade lawsuit. The settlement terms required that they (a) pay the plaintiff $1.5M and (b) sell their 100% interest in the Daily Journal Corp ("DJCO").
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Munger's first buyout attempt:

The Cincinnati Enquirer ("CE")

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- 30% of liquid assets
- 80% of shareholders' equity

Here's the story…
CE was Cincinnati's largest newspaper. Scripps, a newspaper chain, bought the paper in 1956. But there was a problem: Cincinnati was one of the last "two-newspaper towns," and Scripps controlled both papers. This led to an antitrust suit and DOJ-imposed sale of CE to Munger.
Why'd Munger bid on CE?

Consider the newspaper economics:

→ More content → More readers
→ More readers → More advertisers
→ More advertisers → Higher ad rates
→ Higher ad rates → More content

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