"Kenya's pain points in payments could potentially continue to be addressed by other innovative solutions around the existing ecosystem" /2
This was obvious from the beginning. Kenya 🇰🇪 has sufficient payment systems, available on cards and mobile phones both feature and smartphones. All regulated by the central bank.
No need for a *retail* CBDC here. I am glad this issue has been laid to rest. /3
It is also foolish for anyone to propose a CBDC by the Kenyan government (via the central bank) in a country where the people continue to lose TRUST in the government and its ability to manage funds such as the National treasury. /4
What she said
"Distrust in government may drive opposition to a CBDC." /5
My position is CBDC makes sense in African countries
1) w/ low mobile payments / digital payments penetration
2) w/ authoritarian regimes where the government can force it on people
/6
3) for specific use cases where government can force it on people such as paying of taxes, social welfare payments distribution, tax refunds and similar
4) regional settlements schemes btwn central banks IE wholesale CBDC for cross border bulk settlement
/7
5) Countries or region with broken monetary systems like West African states
If you would like to convince rational democratic people's to adopt a CBDC, it is imperative that such a CBDC radically improves upon the GOVERNANCE of the monetary affairs of the state such as adding more TRANSPARENCY and participatory governance by the people /9
That OR
Contrive a deadly virus such as Corona that immediately forces everyone to adopt a central bank digital currency such as CBDC ... Also by force /10
People in relatively democratic African states such as Kenya 🇰🇪 have lost TRUST in government and their immediate response to a government issued digital currency such as CBDC would be suspicion /11
This is why I believe we have moved into the era of
Privately issued digital currencies like Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, community currencies, electronic money such as Mpesa et al /end
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Some thoughts on the effect of the sweeping tide of digital currencies on economies of East Africa from my current research ...
The East African community member states are at risk of dollarization from
- digital currencies issued by sovereign states eg dollar stablecoins, Digital Yuan, Digital Euros
- non-sovereign digital currencies like bitcoin
Dollarization refers to the process of adopting a foreign currency (typically but, confusingly, not always, the U.S. dollar) in lieu of a local sovereign currency. It happens both in an informal, bottom-up way and a top-down manner
a learner mindset is walking into crypto & trying to make sense of it. Can be a student/professional banker/ a policy maker.
This state is transitory, b/c the initial mindset may be learning but the end goal may be to invest or build (an app or policy) or invest (in crypto)
a builder mindset wants to create something out of crypto - build an app, a community / creators who want to manifest crypto creations / policy makers who want to craft frameworks.
sometimes people learn > in order to build. Hence mindsets are transitory states
Some advice to crypto companies trying to grow markets in Kenya and East Africa 🌍, there is no winning if your approach is just selling crypto for your own business pipelin agenda.
What is required is a neutral, ecosystem building approach. A neutral brand.
I am happy to support ecosystem building/ accelerating initiatives.
But if you asking me to add value to your business agenda - that's a wholly different conversation
After spending 5 years accelerating crypto ecosystem in Kenya and East Africa by 1000% I was disappointed by the selfish ways of many whom I met and interacted with. Many want the benefits of public investments w/out contributing to the public good resources
This week my African crypto / fintech people are in Dubai. My guess is they all probably exploring Middle East to Africa corridor financial outflows (remittances), inflows (e-commerce) and crypto licenses in Dubai 1/
1) Lots of Africans working in Middle East send money back home to family
2) Lots of African merchandise purchased from Middle East to resell / final use
3) Dubai is positioning itself as home to crypto ventures (and startups too)
Did i miss anything else? /2
Context
Chipper Cash
Eversend
Lazor pay
.... plenty more /3
I wish more people realized the current political crisis of digital currency is only the beginning of a multi-year trend of technology fragmentation based on political ideals.
Right now it's digital currency.
Next year it will technology platforms like Facebook and Android
I am most excited by the implications for Africa b/c Africa 🌍 is a net consumer of technology.
This means Africa is best placed to adopt a diversity of technology/ digital currency with allegiance to no one.
Especially decentralized tech like crypto, Bitcoin, p2p.