Takeaways from PM Albanese keynote address at #SLD23:
- Ukraine war shows peace, prosperity, stability should never be taken for granted
- fate of the region not pre-ordained
- when Australia looks north, don’t see a void for others to impose their will 1/8
- Australia committed to alliance, deterrence, diplomacy through whole of nation approach
- need a world in which two countries can disagree without ending in disaster
- need guardrails (not the one along roads, but sort of).
- need dialogue for guardrails.
2/8
- support Biden’s recent efforts to have dialogue with China.
- consequences of breakdown of stability in TW Strait or elsewhere will be consequential to whole world, not just this region
3/8
- AUS committed to dialogue with CN despite differences but not naive. Begin at principle that it’s always more effective to deal directly with each other
- CN-AUS trade is win-win for both countries. CN strong economic growth has benefited not just CN but the region.
4/8
- but CN also benefited from regional rules based order in order to grow.
- need rules for everyone who uses the road, must be adaptable for unforeseen circumstances / crisis.
- need fairness & to be seen as fair, working & be seen to work, upholding sovereignty for all.
5/8
- If rules break down, then region’s strategic stability undermined & national sovereignty eroded. PCA ruling essential. Equally important are rules around global trade.
- relationships important to AUS: US-AUS alliance / centrality of ASEAN / global + reg multilateralism
6/8
- nuclear disarmament: notes unflinching & long-standing commitment in this region to disarmament.
- DPRK & Russian mentioned as threats (no mention of CN)
- AUKUS: AUS engaged with ASEAN & others to reassure goal was to make
- AUKUS & QUAD are partners not competitors
7/8
- AUS HADR contributions, more engagement activity likely
- AUS defence development is to preserve peace, & make crystal clear that any attempt to change status quo unilaterally by force (including in TW), that the risk of conflict will always outweigh any potential reward
8/8
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#SLD23@SecDef Lloyd Austin address key points on China and TW:
- US remains deeply committed preserving to status quo across TW strait
- conflict neither imminent nor inevitable
- US actions consistent with one-China policy, fulfilling TRA obligations
- policy is constant and firm, has held true across US admins.
- continue to categorically oppose unilateral changes to the status quo from either side.
- conflict in TW strait would be devastating
- open lines of communication with CN are essential.
- for responsible defense leaders, the right time to talk is anytime
- the right time to talk is everytime
- the right time to talk is now.
- dialogue is not a reward, it is a necessity.