AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Jun 4 19 tweets 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
I love Rowan Atkinson the comedian and I believe he learned electrical engineering once, but I feel this erroneous article on EVs dupes the readers of the @guardian and that's starting to become a pattern.

Electric vehicles really emit 3x less CO2.
🧵
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
I didn't do something similar in school once. I actually study this specific topic at the @TUeindhoven. So I do actually dive into the facts.

And debunking nonsense like this from people like Atkinson who think or pretend to know better sometimes feels like a full time job.
Please do look up all my studies and debunks in my pinned thread if you would like more in depth info but in essence it's simple:

EVs use around 4x less energy and that energy can come from electricity that is becoming increasingly low carbon.
I'm not entirely convinced Atkinson is being honest here, because he is very precise in cherry picking all the anti-EV tropes, including citing an extremely conservative outlier study that @MLiebreich and I picked apart when we did #Astongate.
On the other hand he is complaining about the rare earth's in the lithium battery. Well you can put those in an electric engine but they don't go into the battery, indicating he is not that well informed. (You can also easily make electric motors without rare earth's by the way.)
Maybe it's just that he wants to defend his love of combustion cars. Because although he has an electric one, he has boatloads of really expensive combustion cars too, and it seems that is where his heart lies.
He's complaining about current batteries and implying we have to wait for better ones. But the current ones will already last the lifetime of the car and the car will emit 3x less CO2 over its lifetime. (Yes, I'm sure about this, because that is my actual field of study.)
It is true that next gen batteries combined with the lighter drivetrain will actually make EVs lighter than combustion cars long before 2030 but Atkinson conveniently doesn't know or mention that factoid.
Instead he fantasizes about hydrogen and efuels that are the future. Well he might *want* that to be the future (for reasons he doesn't want to share with us) but the problem is that you need 2x more energy for hydrogen and 5x more energy for efuels.
Apart from that eFuels require a heavy and maintenance prone combustion engine that will make the entire car heavier in the future and still emit unhealthy particulates. And on top of this you need 5x more energy. Sounds like a genius business plan Atkinson!
And I have more news for him: the statement that batteries are way too heavy for trucks is about 10 yrs out of date. I have been one of the persons to explain this to the world and my pinned thread also points to my keynote to the world's biggest EV conference on this last year.
This week I will send in a paper (I hope it will be accepted by @Joule_CP) where I show you should look at the TCO per ton per km and using this metric diesel trucks will become uncompetitive as soon as @Tesla and others come out with long range trucks.
Onwards: Atkinson dreams of hydrogen directly into combustion engines, taking JBC diggers as an example. Well, hydrogen could make sense for equipment that uses lots of power on some days but little on average. But combustion is much less efficient than fuel cells.
And then we get to the most curious move of all: complaining about "fast fashion" in cars because people get rid of their car after 3 years, or so he claims.

But where does he think cars go after that? Can't he remember the time when he had to buy second hand cars? Image
Now I don't blame Rowan Atkinson that much. He's an actor, comedian and writer. And the world is full of outspoken people with nonsensical opinions that they swear by.

I mainly blame the #guardian. Shouldn't a serious newspaper scan their content for misinformation? Image
Maybe @elonmusk was right when he retweeted my debunk of a recent hit piece on EVs in the @guardian claiming the paper "had lost it's way". (That article overhyped the challenges with lithium and also got the amounts wrong by a factor of 1000x.)
It seems like the @guardian these days is all about blowing every negative aspect of climate solutions out of proportion, while shielding readers from the calculations that show what works and what doesn't. Instead of making readers informed, they make them complacent.
To summarize:

Atkinson is a great comedian but doesn't understand the environmental impacts of EVs

The @guardian quality control should have picked this up

EVs emit 3x less CO2 over their lifetime currently

EVs sold in 2050 will emit 10x less

/end
I just came across this excellent debunk by @gnievchenko so I'll add it to the thread for reference.

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More from @AukeHoekstra

May 24
This is frankly unbelievable. Prigozhin, the boss of the brutal Wagner mercenaries from Russia, describing the conflict in a way that Ukraine prime minister Zelensky could have done.

In an effort to reach more people I will screenshot and "explain" his most important utterings.
He says there were two objectives of the military operation that both failed spectacularly: denazification and demilitarization.
("You had ONE job...")

He starts with denazification.

Here he recognizes that it wasn't exactly a successful "hearts and minds campaign". Image
He claims Russia took Ukraine from a non-country to a famous country. (Thereby making it harder to assimilate into the Russian empire.) Image
Read 12 tweets
May 19
The moment you knew would come:

fossil fuel companies (and petro states) claiming that burning their products is the only way to keep us wealthy.

This awful letter by @exxonmobil is leading the charge.

Why does our recent research say the opposite?

Short thread below.
I research the energy transition at the @TUeindhoven, where I started a research program focused on this: NEONresearch.nl.

I also co-wrote an article about the rise of research into cost-effective 100% renewable energy systems recently.
First: most fossil money goes to oil, and that is overwhelmingly used to burn in road transport.

But since batteries get cheaper all the time, electric vehicles (EVs) will be cheaper to buy before 2030.

And since EVs use 4x less energy they are much cheaper to own!
Read 12 tweets
May 16
Dutch quality newspaper @nrc just published an opinion stating that electric vehicles (EVs) emit more CO2 than they save.

That is not correct.
EVs emit about 3x less.
I research this at the @TUeindhoven.

Let me explain the mistakes in the opinion piece.
nrc.nl/nieuws/2023/05… Image
The piece replaces numbers by 3 bad rules of thumb:

1) Exception: EVs bought by people who drive little.

2) Minimal impact: EV production emits CO2 sooner than it saves CO2.

3) Error: EVs drive on fossil fuel while the mix is not 100% green yet.
1) Exception: EVs bought by people who drive little.

This is true. An EV earns back it's extra emissions during it's first 30k km's or so. So if you e.g. drive 5k km per year: drive your old car as long as possible. Image
Read 13 tweets
May 7
Mass blocking is another form of cancel culture.
Please don't ruin twitter by going along with it.

I myself have been blocked by many on the left and right. Often for "spreading FUD about climate change".

But look at my timeline and job yourself:
I devote my life to this stuff!
I've been blocked for saying extreme scenarios are less likely (e.g. by @KHayhoe after saying that of RCP8.5) and I'm probably still on the blocklist she hands out like candy.

But also for saying climate change is real and urgent. Or for advocating for less meat eating.
You might think twitter is full of "nazi's" or "sexists" or "snowflakes" or "idiots" but we are not going to solve our problems and overcome the increasing polarization in our society by refusing to talk to those we disagree with.
Read 5 tweets
May 4
Just a reminder that @JohnLeePettim13 is popular in doomer circles with his "I know mining" vibe, predicting renewables can never work.

But so far all his claims of what we are running out of are only supporting by his imagination and cool profile pic instead of good research.
To predict bottlenecks you must research 3 things:

1) How fast mining can grow: "The best cure for high prices is high prices" as they say in mining.

2) How reserves are developing: we usually find more continuously.)

3) How we can substitute: that's key!
Now unlike @JohnLeePettim13 I don't claim to be an expert on this, but I clearly researched it more thoroughly and here's a thread debunking this nonsense.


@visaskn also debunks nonsense like this and @stepien_przemek knows how to research it too.
Read 5 tweets
May 1
A lot of people have discovered we have alternatives for all battery materials and that we are not running out of them anyway.

So I increasingly hear people about COPPER.

But the idea that we don't have enough copper for the transition to renewables is a misunderstanding.
🧵
First of all: if you want to know what you are talking about, familiarize yourself with THE source of information on mineral availability, the @USGS.

Bookmark the tab if you have to because they will be useful year after year after year.
pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mc…
If you drill down in their website you get to an overview of all commodities.
usgs.gov/centers/nation…

And if you drill down further you get to an overview page for copper with information for all years.
usgs.gov/centers/nation… Image
Read 8 tweets

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