max seddon Profile picture
Jun 6, 2023 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
The enormous Kakhovka dam, which spans frontlines across the Dnipro river in southern Ukraine, has been blown up.

The flooding could submerge areas downstream, putting parts of Kherson (controlled by Ukraine) and the nearby Zaporizhzhiya power plant (held by Russia) at risk.
Flooding the area could also complicate plans for Ukraine's expected counteroffensive in the region. Ukraine accused Russia of mining the dam for these purposes last year. Zelensky has called an emergency security council meeting.

"Destroying the dam would mean a large-scale disaster" like "the use of weapons of mass destruction," Zelensky previously said, adding Russia knew "they will not be able to keep not only Kherson, but also the entire south of our country, including Crimea."
president.gov.ua/en/news/usi-sv…
a lot of detail on the worst-case scenarios for flooding in Kherson region modeled here cornucopia.se/2022/10/worst-…
Video of the destruction to the Kakhovka dam posted on Russian social media.
The second image here shows the likely consequences of blowing up the Kakhovka dam, including putting much of Kherson – a city Putin declared was part of Russia not nine months ago! – under water

Beavers have been spotted in Kherson after the dam was blown up, per Ukrainian social media.
Russia’s occupying authorities in Nova Kakhova, the biggest town in occupied Kherson region, posted these photos of flooding in the town center after the dam was blown up. ImageImage
Russian social media channels sharing video that appears to show the Kakhovka hydroelectric plant completely under water.
Swans now swimming through downtown Nova Kahkovka, on the Russian-controlled side of the Dnipro, after the dam burst, per Russian state media

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More from @maxseddon

Dec 14, 2023
It’s time for the annual Putin presser and phone-in, combined into one – the first time he’s done it since the invasion of Ukraine.

Pavel Zarubin is showing off a huge pile of questions supposedly sent in by ordinary Russians. Expect this to be even more stage-managed than usual
Zarubin, the Swiftie-esque Putin fanboy who is moderating this, says some questions have been resolved already. "In the morning I complained I hadn't been paid my salary, and by the evening I got it!", one ordinary Russian supposedly said. Image
Putin says Russia has "strengthened its sovereignty," and seen off a sanctions onslaught from the west. Putin credits the "high consolidation of Russian society" and "stability of the financial-economic system." Image
Read 20 tweets
Nov 12, 2023
As their yacht bobbed on the Mediterranean, the microchip executive snapped a picture of his Russian partner asleep on the deck.

He only knew the Russian by his first name, Maxim. But he knew Maxim was using a shadowy network to get the chips for the Russian defense industry. Image
Marc Rocchi’s qcompany Ommic desperately needed Maxim’s business to stay afloat. A few months earlier Rocchi had flown to Greece to hand-deliver Maxim 230 microchips — €45,000 worth. Maxim had, at one point, offered Rocchi “cash and women” for more, though he declined. Image
Rocchi knew his ultimate customer was NPP Istok, which makes electronic warfare systems for the Russian military. Specialist microchips like Ommic’s high-performance gallium nitride and gallium arsenide-integrated circuit boards are vital to defense manufacturers like Istok. Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 29, 2023
Insane footage on Russian social media from Makhachkala in the North Caucasus region, where there have been several anti-Semitic protests this weekend.

A crowd of people, some with Palestinian flags, broke into the airport in search of passengers on a flight from Tel Aviv.
Some of them tried to storm the plane, per Izvestia t.me/izvestia/149496
Remarkable to see security forces in Russia standing by for so long. By now, according to Baza, police in Makhachkala have chased them off the runway and outside the airport, where they are now protesting. The airport is closed t.me/bazabazon/22573
Read 6 tweets
Jun 26, 2023
Putin is going to make a “number of important statements” this evening, per the Kremlin. t.me/rt_russian/163…
Now Lukashenko’s press service says:

“⁉️⁉️⁉️ So many questions, versions, and suppositions…

Number One will TELL EVERYTHING and ANSWER them all. Very soon!

Follow the news!🔥🔥🔥”

I wish I were making this up t.me/pul_1/9281
Peskov says Putin's announcements "will, without exaggeration, determine the future of Russia" t.me/vestiru24/77826
Read 8 tweets
Jun 24, 2023
🚨 Belarus says it has convinced Prigozhin to stand down his armed uprising.

Lukashenko spent "the entire day" negotiating with Prigozhin after "agreeing on joint actions" with Putin and "additionally clarifying the situation through his own channels."

t.me/pul_1/9275
No immediate confirmation from the Kremlin or Prigozhin.
🚨 Prigozhin says Wagner is standing its coup attempt down and going back to Ukraine "according to the plan."

t.me/concordgroup_o…
Read 21 tweets
Jun 24, 2023
“He added too much salt and pepper. What else do you expect from a chef?”

How Yevgeny Prigozhin went from Russia's favorite secret weapon to a Frankenstein's monster threatening the state – and how Putin's the one to blame.

ft.com/content/6f520b…
For more on Prigozhin, may I humbly directly you to a few pieces, such as:

This story with @ChristopherJM @SameralAtrush and @felschwartz about how Prigozhin cobbled together a coalition against Russia's army, but then saw his star begin to wane

ft.com/content/ce9723…
@ChristopherJM @SameralAtrush @felschwartz Prigozhin's revolt also speaks to much broader problems at the heart of Putin's vision for Russia and plan to invade Ukraine, which @ChristopherJM, @felschwartz and I detailed here:

ft.com/content/800025…
Read 7 tweets

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