Don Moynihan Profile picture
Jun 6 11 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
New, from me: There is a useful distinction between cheap talk and revealed preferences.

For the far right, the cheap talk is about election integrity, but Republican abandonment of ERIC reveals a preference for the Big Lie and voter suppression.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-far-righ… Image
Dems have always claimed GOP election policies were about voter suppression. To sort out these narratives, it would be nice to have a clean example of where Republicans walked away from an election tool that unambiguously improved election integrity.

ERIC is that example. Image
ERIC had been uncontroversial. Republican officials knew it worked well. Then one dropped out of the program. Why?
A week before, Gateway Pundit, the same source which labeled Parkland shooting victims as crisis actors, declared it to be a Soros-funded conspiracy. ImageImage
Keeping the voter rolls up to date is a basic task for election administration. But surely we can use modern data science techniques like ERIC to do it better than sending out postcards, or just purging people who do not vote in the last few elections. Image
So what is the real objection to ERIC that caused the far right to target it? The program requires that states notify eligible voters that they are eligible. Basic, minimal outreach.
But if you political movement is built on limiting the vote, this sounds like a conspiracy. Image
There is another layer to this story, which is exemplified by the role of Cleta Mitchell, who heads the "Election Integrity Network" and has pressed GOP officials to abandon ERIC. You might remember Mitchell as part of Trump's team trying to overturn the 2020 election. Image
Mitchell resigned from her law firm and devoted herself full time to Big Lie activism. She is training poll watchers to verify voter rolls. In other words, she wants partisan amateurs to replace professional election officials and ERIC. Image
The line between fraud and voter outreach is blurred in Mitchell’s mind. Election integrity seems to be less about minimizing illegal voting and more about minimizing voting more generally, or at least minimizing the influence of voters not aligned with Republicans. Image
The term Orwellian is overused, but it surely applies to a situation where the leader of the Election Integrity Network works against a proven tool to protect election integrity. And Mitchell has been successful. Image
Sorry for the long thread. If you like writing at the intersection of politics, policy and administration, please share or please consider subscribing to my free newsletter. It is getting harder to use Twitter, and Musk is still suppressing Substack posts. donmoynihan.substack.com Image
I drew a lot from incredible reporting by @MilesParks who talked about what he found here.

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More from @donmoyn

Jun 5
GOP officials say they oppose voter fraud, but have withdrawn from the most effective tool to detect the rare cases of fraud. What they want, in fact, is to protect and feed the Big Lie, and evidence-based tools don't let them do that. npr.org/2023/06/04/117…
ERIC is a cross-state tool to check if voters have voted in multiple states. This is a real, but rare, type of fraud, and ERIC is a good tool to detect it. But once conspiracy mongers at Gateway Pundit started falsely claiming it was "Soros funded" GOP officials started to exit. Image
This is one of the pernicious way the Big Lie works. Elected election now has to cater to a constituency that does not believe in elections! So they make policy based on conspiracy theories they know are untrue. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 30
New from @pamela_herd: the conventional wisdom is that the new debt-ceiling work requirements are not a big deal.
But this misses how SNAP provides a crucial safety valve to older adults with poor health who are trying to get on disability. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/publish/post/1… Image
The debt ceiling deal added more work requirements to TANF and expanded the age for which they apply in SNAP. But avoided work requirements for Medicaid, and even added exemptions e.g. for the homeless. So the first response of progressive pundits, incl. me, was: not so bad. ImageImage
But, to understand why SNAP work requirements for those aged 50-54 matter more than the conventional wisdom suggests, you need to understand how people get sicker at this age, and how disability interacts with SNAP. Image
Read 9 tweets
May 26
Gov Sanders, AR: “We’re simply removing ineligible participants from the program to reserve resources for those who need them and follow the law"
Reality: Most of those losing coverage are for procedural reasons. Its the administrative burdens, stupid.
nytimes.com/2023/05/26/us/…
Shout out to my colleague @JoanAlker1 @GeorgetownCCF who has been documenting how eligible Medicaid clients are being kicked off the program. Image
Do you see a pattern here? Arkansas, Florida, Indiana.

I've been curious about how politics might matter to efforts to ensure that eligible beneficiaries don't lose coverage. Image
Read 4 tweets
May 26
An Indiana OB-GYN was fined by a medical board of political appointees.
Why?
She revealed the reality of a post-Roe world, where a 10 year old girl who needed an abortion fled to Indiana. washingtonpost.com/nation/2023/05…
Every part of this case is so infuriating. At the time. conservatives insisted that the case was a hoax, coming so soon after Dobbs decision. But it reflected the reality of what a post-Dobbs world looked like. washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…
The Indiana Attorney General inserted himself into the case. Ok, maybe it wasn't a hoax, he said. But the doctor broke the law by not reporting the case to state authorities and should be punished. As it turned out, she had. He had made it up. npr.org/2022/07/15/111…
Read 5 tweets
May 25
This is a terrific piece that illustrates how exaggerated narratives in right wing media can be enough to block efforts to respond to extremism
Much of the success of efforts to block anti-extremism depend upon the creation of a conservative media that avoids basic journalistic practices. This is a relatively new digital-era phenomenon, as I noted here open.substack.com/pub/donmoyniha… Image
Ironically the main basis for attacking the pentagon official takes with looking into extremism person with a baseless smear by extremists was that he wrote - entirely reasonably - about how digital spaces feed disinformation! Image
Read 4 tweets
May 23
I really would like reporters to point out that this is a massive misrepresentation of the research on work requirements. That research largely shows that work requirements are harmful to people's well being and long-term economic opportunities. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/get-in-loser… Image
It certainly would be east for media coverage to both sides work requirements. You can get someone from AEI to say that they work. But it would also be irresponsible, because the actual research consensus has is critical of work requirements and about the damage they do. Image
At multiple press events McCarthy has argued that *the evidence* supports work requirements.
That simply is not true. If reporters don't ask a follow-up, they can still provide context: the Speaker is endangering the US financial system based on a lie.
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10… ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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