A thread with key quotes from Druckenmiller at #BloombergInvest:
1. On his current fat pitch:
"So I honestly.. don't see a fat pitch right now. What I do think is...given everything I've outlined, some really fat pitches are going to emerge in say, the next 8 to 24 months"
"I think I'm probably wrong and I'm gonna go back to the end of 23, but the real answer is, I don't know."
3. On how AI will perform in a recession:
"All of AI's not gonna make it through whether we have a recession or not, because they haven't separated the wheat from the chaff yet. But I do believe unlike crypto, I think AI is real"
4. On Nvidia:
"If [AI is] as big as I think it is, Nvidia is something we're gonna want to own for at least two or three years, not for 10 months and maybe longer"
5. On China:
"I was in love with China until about six or seven years ago...And then Xi Jinping did his thing...looking out, I do not look at them as a big challenge in the United States in terms of economic power and growth"
6. On Japan:
"You have a couple of things going on. They look like they're solving deflation...They're really into the whole shareholder value thing. And then you got a guy running monetary policy and he sounds like Jerome Powell two years ago. inflation is taking off there"
7. On his reflections on shorting:
"If I look back the last 40 years - I'm afraid to look- I've never had a down year, but I'm not sure I've made money in shorts"
A few quotes from the $NVDA Q1 FY 24 Earnings call:
1. Strong sequential revenue growth outlook:
$NVDA CFO: "We expect this sequential growth to largely be driven by data center, reflecting a steep increase in demand related to generative AI and large language models. This… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2. Higher Opex:
"We have held OpEx at roughly the same level over the last past 4 quarters while working through the inventory corrections in gaming & professional visualization. We now expect to increase investments in the business while also delivering operating leverage
3. On buybacks:
"We returned $99M to shareholders in the form of cash dividends. At the end of the Q1, we have approximately $7B remaining under our share repurchase authorization through December 2023" - $NVDA CFO
$TTD CEO @jefftgreen: "I'm almost shocked that we got through 3 questions without talking about AI...I've never seen a topic that is so hot or hotter than what AI is right now, not cloud, not… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"To reach 100M user numbers, Facebook, Twitter, they spent five, six years, but chat GPT, only took two months. Within two months, they have reached a 100 million user base" - Softbank Director Manager Finance Yoshimitsu Goto
3. Palantir has a strategy for AI:
"Within the context of being profitable, our strategy on AI is just to take the whole market. We have no pricing strategy. We're going to create a lot of value. We're going to get hundreds of customers and we will price it as we go" - $PTLR CEO
A thread with some key quotes from the Stanley Druckenmiller 2023 Sohn Interview:
1. On the impact of free money:
"When you have free money, people do stupid things. When you have free money for 11 years, people do really stupid things. So there's stuff under the hood, it's… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"It's hard to look at that constellation of factors, know that we've only had a few soft landings since 1950, all of them were proceeded by what I would call proactive rather than reactive fed policy and believe we're going to have a soft landing"
3. Is this like 2008?
"I am not predicting something worse than 2008, so I don't want to see headlines tomorrow that I said something worse than 2008 is coming. But I think it's naive to not be open-minded to some sort of possibility of that effect"
We compiled 20 key quotes from the Berkshire Hathaway 2023 AGM. Enjoy!
1. On where to find opportunities:
"What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things...I would say there’s been a great increase in the number of people doing dumb things"- WB
"In the general economy, the feedback we get is that perhaps the majority of our businesses will actually report lower earnings this year than last year" - WB
3. On tackling inflation:
"Your best defense is your own earning power" - WB
"It just happens to be a better business than any we own... I made a mistake a couple of years ago when I sold some shares when I had certain reasons why gains were useful to take that… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"We were particularly pleased with the performance we saw in emerging markets..it was a great quarter for emerging markets in general, despite the headwinds of the currency" - $AAPL CEO
3. First Republic was sold to JPMorgan:
$JPM CEO: "We're basically getting a very clean bank in the most clean way you can get it. That means there's no risk..There are only so many banks offside this way...there may be another smaller one but this pretty much resolves them all"