David J. Bier Profile picture
Jun 13, 2023 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Legal immigration is *impossible* for nearly all immigrants wishing to immigrate to the U.S. legally.

You can’t just “get in line.” That’s a fiction perpetuated by those who want to keep immigration illegal.

My latest report explains why. Here’s the summary in 1 pic... 🧵 Image
U.S. immigration law's basic premise is that all immigrants are *guilty* until proven innocent.

Immigration is ILLEGAL unless you prove you fall into a narrow eligible category.

The result is that over 99% of people who want to immigrate legally cannot do so.
No one outside the U.S. is eligible for a green card unless they fall into one of five narrow exceptions...
⬇️
First Option: America’s Refugee Program—Accepts about 1 in 5,000 displaced people around the world, and the percentage accepted keeps dropping year after year. Image
Second Option: The Diversity Lottery—Accepts fewer than 1 in 500 applicants.

Because the lottery excludes the top-origin countries for legal immigrants, a majority of the world’s population is ineligible to apply. Image
3rd Option: Family Sponsorship—Only available to the closest relatives of U.S. citizens & green card holders—and still has a backlog of nearly 7 million thanks to an annual cap of just 226,000.

Most new sponsors in most categories will *die* before their relatives can immigrate. Image
Fourth Option: Self-Sponsorship—Available only to
-those with “extraordinary ability,”
-people with advanced degrees or “exceptional ability” who also have projects of “national importance,” and
-$800K-$1M investors who create 10 jobs in 2 years.

Not viable for many Image
Fifth/Final Option: Employer Sponsorship—Made impossible by red tape and low caps.

The normal employer-sponsored applicant will suffer through this insane filing maze, which can take between 2 and 3 years of processing time and cost tens of thousands of dollars. Image
Very few employers are willing to do this process except for the highest-skilled workers, and even then, only if they can get them an H-1B work visa first to allow workers to work while the process plays out.

But fewer than 1 in 5 can get a visa through the H-1B lottery anyway. Image
Even if employers win the H-1B lottery, no U.S. workers apply, and wait years, there is a backlog that is many times the annual cap.

Half the workers are from India, and thanks to the individual country caps, nearly all new Indian applicants will die without getting a green card Image
AS IMPORTANTLY, there’s no year-round, low-skilled guest worker visa *at all.*

Their employers have to go through a years-long process, hoping they get a worker and hoping that the worker stays with them when they get here.

Vanishingly few even try.
The U.S. historically had a much higher rate of legal immigration than it does now, and the U.S. ranks low compared to other wealthy countries for immigrants per capita.

We’d need over 75 million immigrants *tomorrow* to catch Australia.

The status quo has no justification. ImageImage
This is a very broad overview.

My new #CatoImmigration paper is a detailed explanation of the rules of U.S. legal immigration in as jargon-free language as possible. It is a resource for policymakers & the public seeking to understand the system better.
cato.org/policy-analysi…

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More from @David_J_Bier

Dec 22
ICE agents illegally break into a woman's bathroom in a NY nutrition bar manufacturing plant. "Pull up your pants," says a male agent. The agents only had a warrant to review employer documents. They didn't have a warrant to search for, detain, or arrest anyone there.
Agents illegally detained dozens of US citizens and demanded that they prove their citizenship. We need to defend our private property rights against trespassing government agents.
Utterly lawless: "Agents lined up Latino workers and released people they said were U.S. citizens. They questioned and detained 57 people, including people who said only that they wanted a lawyer." syracuse.com/news/2025/11/w…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 3
A US citizen woman screams: "I'm a US citizen. Please help me. Why are you doing this?" Population Control Police manhandled her, brought her to the ground, handcuffed, loaded her into a vehicle. Later released her. Kavanaugh stop or something worse? -12/3/25
"Video recorded by a Miami Herald reporter shows an agent forcibly pulling the woman from her car. Agents with ICE, CBP and U.S Border Patrol could be seen." miamiherald.com/news/local/com…
Read 4 tweets
Nov 24
NEW data I've received: Just 5% of people detained by ICE since October 1 have had violent criminal convictions, 3/4 had no criminal convictions at all. Most "criminals" had immigration, traffic, and vice offenses. Not the "worst of the worst"... Image
1/2 of detainees had no criminal conviction or even pending charges, which are often minor and do not end with a criminal conviction. ICE often arrests these people, actively thwarting their ability to clear their names cato.org/blog/5-ice-det…Image
I provide three different datasets: one based on individuals booked into custody, one based on ICE arrests, and one based on the currently detained population. ALL three prove ICE is lying about focusing on the "worst of the worst" cato.org/blog/5-ice-det…Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 23
After 8 years, Rubio's State Department has stopped publishing its monthly report (started by Trump 1.0) on the number of visa issuances each month by country and category. The first Trump admin was good on data transparency. This admin is the absolute worst! Image
DHS also immediately discontinued this monthly data release showing the number of "repatriations" ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigra…Image
ICE stopped publishing its monthly data on arrests and removals by criminality ice.gov/statisticsImage
Read 5 tweets
Oct 16
Trial shows that ICE agents lied, concealed evidence in an illegal effort to convict the "libtard" who filmed them. Image
Missing surveillance footage suddenly reappeared after prosecutors claimed it didn't exist. Indeed, that the camera in question didn't even work. wusa9.com/article/news/l…Image
Note it was an FBI agent who claimed to be assaulted and said “libtard” but an ICE agent who started the attack on her for filming and lied about how it began. Also every federal agent is effectively an ICE agent now by virtue of the deputization
Read 4 tweets
Oct 1
ICE lied about the person it shot, claiming he was a "criminal," but NBC finds that he had no criminal history whatsoever. Not even traffic tickets in 12 years! It also lied about the extent of the injuries to its agents....
ICE initially claimed that the officer was "seriously injured" and in "serious condition" but actual body cam footage of the ICE agents now shows that they LIED. The officer himself says it was "nothing major" via the Chicago Sun times: chicago.suntimes.com/the-watchdogs/…
Image
DHS also said that these agents were well-trained professionals. But video obtained by the NY Times shows these bungling officers violated standard protocols by not telling him to turn his car off before putting their hands on the car & attempted to stop the moving vehicle
Read 6 tweets

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