David J. Bier Profile picture
Jun 13, 2023 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Legal immigration is *impossible* for nearly all immigrants wishing to immigrate to the U.S. legally.

You can’t just “get in line.” That’s a fiction perpetuated by those who want to keep immigration illegal.

My latest report explains why. Here’s the summary in 1 pic... 🧵 Image
U.S. immigration law's basic premise is that all immigrants are *guilty* until proven innocent.

Immigration is ILLEGAL unless you prove you fall into a narrow eligible category.

The result is that over 99% of people who want to immigrate legally cannot do so.
No one outside the U.S. is eligible for a green card unless they fall into one of five narrow exceptions...
⬇️
First Option: America’s Refugee Program—Accepts about 1 in 5,000 displaced people around the world, and the percentage accepted keeps dropping year after year. Image
Second Option: The Diversity Lottery—Accepts fewer than 1 in 500 applicants.

Because the lottery excludes the top-origin countries for legal immigrants, a majority of the world’s population is ineligible to apply. Image
3rd Option: Family Sponsorship—Only available to the closest relatives of U.S. citizens & green card holders—and still has a backlog of nearly 7 million thanks to an annual cap of just 226,000.

Most new sponsors in most categories will *die* before their relatives can immigrate. Image
Fourth Option: Self-Sponsorship—Available only to
-those with “extraordinary ability,”
-people with advanced degrees or “exceptional ability” who also have projects of “national importance,” and
-$800K-$1M investors who create 10 jobs in 2 years.

Not viable for many Image
Fifth/Final Option: Employer Sponsorship—Made impossible by red tape and low caps.

The normal employer-sponsored applicant will suffer through this insane filing maze, which can take between 2 and 3 years of processing time and cost tens of thousands of dollars. Image
Very few employers are willing to do this process except for the highest-skilled workers, and even then, only if they can get them an H-1B work visa first to allow workers to work while the process plays out.

But fewer than 1 in 5 can get a visa through the H-1B lottery anyway. Image
Even if employers win the H-1B lottery, no U.S. workers apply, and wait years, there is a backlog that is many times the annual cap.

Half the workers are from India, and thanks to the individual country caps, nearly all new Indian applicants will die without getting a green card Image
AS IMPORTANTLY, there’s no year-round, low-skilled guest worker visa *at all.*

Their employers have to go through a years-long process, hoping they get a worker and hoping that the worker stays with them when they get here.

Vanishingly few even try.
The U.S. historically had a much higher rate of legal immigration than it does now, and the U.S. ranks low compared to other wealthy countries for immigrants per capita.

We’d need over 75 million immigrants *tomorrow* to catch Australia.

The status quo has no justification. ImageImage
This is a very broad overview.

My new #CatoImmigration paper is a detailed explanation of the rules of U.S. legal immigration in as jargon-free language as possible. It is a resource for policymakers & the public seeking to understand the system better.
cato.org/policy-analysi…

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More from @David_J_Bier

Oct 23
After 8 years, Rubio's State Department has stopped publishing its monthly report (started by Trump 1.0) on the number of visa issuances each month by country and category. The first Trump admin was good on data transparency. This admin is the absolute worst! Image
DHS also immediately discontinued this monthly data release showing the number of "repatriations" ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigra…Image
ICE stopped publishing its monthly data on arrests and removals by criminality ice.gov/statisticsImage
Read 5 tweets
Oct 16
Trial shows that ICE agents lied, concealed evidence in an illegal effort to convict the "libtard" who filmed them. Image
Missing surveillance footage suddenly reappeared after prosecutors claimed it didn't exist. Indeed, that the camera in question didn't even work. wusa9.com/article/news/l…Image
Note it was an FBI agent who claimed to be assaulted and said “libtard” but an ICE agent who started the attack on her for filming and lied about how it began. Also every federal agent is effectively an ICE agent now by virtue of the deputization
Read 4 tweets
Oct 1
ICE lied about the person it shot, claiming he was a "criminal," but NBC finds that he had no criminal history whatsoever. Not even traffic tickets in 12 years! It also lied about the extent of the injuries to its agents....
ICE initially claimed that the officer was "seriously injured" and in "serious condition" but actual body cam footage of the ICE agents now shows that they LIED. The officer himself says it was "nothing major" via the Chicago Sun times: chicago.suntimes.com/the-watchdogs/…
Image
DHS also said that these agents were well-trained professionals. But video obtained by the NY Times shows these bungling officers violated standard protocols by not telling him to turn his car off before putting their hands on the car & attempted to stop the moving vehicle
Read 6 tweets
Sep 30
Today: District Court rules against the Trump administration on deportations based on political speech. The start of the opinion includes an anonymous postcard to the judge.... Image
The court rules that the government cannot deport people based on First Amendment-protected speech storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…Image
Judge finds that Noem and Rubio conspired to violate the Constitution Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 20
Indian H1Bs contributed an unfathomable amount to America: 100s of billions in taxes, 10s of billions more in fees, trillions in services. Among the most peaceful, intelligent, interesting people to grace our shores. And what do we give back? Demonization & discrimination...
We have a set of laws mandating discriminatory treatment at every stage of the legal immigration process, particularly for Indians. They've been barred from adjusting to permanent residence for decades based on nothing more than their birthplace....
The result is that these people are subject to a unique set of discriminatory policies that mandate their employers advertise THEIR jobs to others, require them to pay expensive fees and lawyers, prohibit easily changing job sites or job duties. It is unimaginable...
Read 7 tweets
Sep 3
I have obtained new data showing that ICE has diverted at least **25,000 officers** into its mass deportation efforts, including at least 14,498 federal law enforcement officers. This is the lower-bound b/c many Border Patrol agents are independently engaged in interior arrests Image
These numbers represent staggering shares of federal law enforcement agents, being shifted from criminal law enforcement to minor civil immigration offenses cato.org/blog/ice-has-d…Image
At this point in time, only one in five of the officers engaged in mass deportation efforts are actually ICE removal operations officers. They've diverted four times as many agents as they have as an agency Image
Read 5 tweets

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