Thames Water are on the verge of being taken back into public ownership because of their £14bn "unsustainable" debt - but where did it come from?
I looked at the last 20yrs of accounts and their long-term debt tracks their dividend and net interest payments over the period https://t.co/FPnXxogAHa
Since 2002 Thames Water have paid:
💰£3.2 billion in dividends
💸£8.8 billion in net interest payments
But interest on what? In this Guardian piece David Hall argues that very little of this debt went to support investment, but rather to finance dividends to shareholders
This looks like a textbook case of privatisation of profit and socialisation of risk
Regulated natural monopolies should be governed in the public interest
Seeing billions of pounds of payments going to shareholders, while sewage spills into rivers, with the taxpayer now potentially having to pick up the bill is the exact opposite of that
Thames Water claims "Our external shareholders have not been paid a dividend for the last five years"
But as Hall shows here that really isn't the full story. Dividends are paid to a holding company that then distributes those to external stakeholders.
🇬🇧 If the economy is the UK's engine, investment is its fuel. But the UK’s tank is running on empty and it’s harming economic growth, driving inequality, and slowing progress towards net zero and energy security.
There are lots of interesting points and good policies in this speech, but its really notable how Starmer and Reeves are leaning into the "new Washington consensus" being set by the Biden administration 🏭🇺🇸 This is solid on the economics and smart on the politics...
🇺🇸🇬🇧On the policy, Labour is leaning into the space carved out by likes of @MazzucatoM & @rodrikdani & thinktanks on both sides of the Atlantic
Starmer was clear that leaving your economic strategy to the market doesnt work and a Lab gov would be active, smart & strategic💪
🏭I wrote here about the need for a Bidenomics/productivist/modern supply side approach in the UK renewal.org.uk/biden-omics-fo…
📈It was good to hear Starmer be clear though that this would be fiscally responsible too - boosting growth by investing in productive capacity makes sense!
Most of the MPs signing up to this have long opposed the global agreement because of a dream of the UK as a low tax haven, but they just don't understand how the agreement works!
If UK were to cut taxes below the min, large firms based here wouldn't pay any less tax....
... They'd just pay more to other countries to compensate. Handing tax revenues away to other countries hardly sounds like sovereignty does it?
When Patel asks "who will enforce this?" this mechanism is the answer!
Absolutely incredible defence of 'Treasury orthodoxy' in the FT
Let's not forget why the UK is facing higher inflation than other countries: an orthodoxy that said it was totally fine to privatise, and then close, our national gas storage facilities
This is the same Treasury orthodoxy that crushed the Industrial Strategy, the last serious attempt to invest in productivity and productive capacity in the economy, disbanding an entire BEIS directorate and replacing it with no new staff at HMT
This is the same Treasury orthodoxy that helped found the Green Investment Bank in 2012, then hobbled it with national accounting rules, sold it off to Australian asset managers Macquarie in 2017, and the refounded it as the UK Infrastructure Bank in 2021
This is 15-year old Audrey Mossom from Lytham St Annes who won the 'Railway Queen' beauty pageant in 1935
That year she had the honour of turning on the Blackpool illuminations and was then... [checks notes]... sent on a special train to the USSR to meet Joseph Stalin
Lots of industries in the 20th century used to have these contest, Railway Queen, Coal Queen, etc.
For some reason someone thought it would be a good idea to send a 15-year old on a peace-keeping mission to Moscow
She travelled by (duh) train and when there met Lazar Kaganovich, minister for railways (and for purging railway workers), who introduced her to Joseph Stalin, and Lenin's widow
For all its (catastrophic) failures, Truss-economics got one thing right...the past 12yrs of Conservative governments have overseen economic stagnation and we need to get serious about the UK's weak growth since the financial crisis
But this isn't just about growing prosperity & incomes, all estimates of fiscal "holes" depend strongly on two things: interest rates on government debt and rates of *growth*
Spending cuts are not inevitable if we can grow the economy