The media and the academia are obsessed with the unimportant. Once you interiorise this principle, their obsession with "Putin's philosopher" Dugin becomes almost forgivable
There's no philosopher at the Putin's court
The king doesn't need a philosopher
He needs a jester🧵
As I said, obsession with the (supposed) "philosopher behind the Putin's plan" is almost forgivable, considering that the dominant Western discourse in Russia is mostly a projection of Western intellectuals. They project their fears, of course. But also their hopes and dreams
Being the King's Philosopher, a brain behind the tyrant, has been a wet dream of intellectuals at least since the days of Plato. It almost always ended the same. After all these millennia, intellectuals could have learned a basic truth:
The King is in no need of a "philosopher"
A Western intellectual may know he will never ever be a grey cardinal. But the idea that somewhere in the world, in the far-off, snow-covered Hyperborea there lives a sage guiding a mighty king is too beautiful to be just made up
Dugin is the proof that verbalism matters
The King's Philosopher is a made up figure. Countless generations of intellectuals tried to play this role only to find out that the king is in no need of a philosopher
What the King needs is a jester. And this is why every royal court worthy of this name had one
Trying to guess what is on Putin's mind based on the (non-existent) philosopher figure is absolutely futile. Unless you have a very solid evidence of the contrary, assume the king doesn't employ any
And yet, based on what we know about kings he very likely employs a jester
If the modern courts do not have a salaried position of a jester, that doesn't mean they don't employ any. It's just that modern jesters go under a different name
In this case, the favourite royal jester is usually referred to as a journalist
Andrey Kolesnikov is the longest serving journalist of the Kremlin pool: an accredited group of journalists allowed to visit events with the First One. No journalist ever accompanied him in so many trips and spent so much time with the First One as Kolesnikov did
While Kolesnikov rejects the title of "Putin's favourite journalist" as too immodest, he is widely known as such. He doesn't actually deny the special relations with the First One:
"It is a great happiness for a journalist. One should pray to keep such a relationship"
An editor of the Kommersant, a major business-oriented media (where Kolesnikov worked) described his role in the following way:
"Andrey alone counts for 20% of our value. Tomorrow he leaves and Kommersant loses 20% of its price"
For more than two decades of his work with Putin, Kolesnikov published countless articles, interviews and a few books about the First one
You know what is interesting about Kolesnikov's writings? The tone. A very dry, sarcastic description of everyone, including the Big Boss
The sarcasm is subtle, so it may be lost in translation. But it is absolutely obvious in the original. It was so obvious that the Russian encyclopedia of internet folklore had a special page with Kolesnikov's quotes on Putin, etc.
Most plausible explanation: Putin enjoys it
Example:
A comment on the Putin's address to the military/paramilitary who were suppressing the Wagner mutiny
Kolesnikov's role is the common knowledge in the Russophone space. When I mentioned "Putin's favourite jester" (without specifying the name), the Russophone commenters immediately identified it
Now what does this story tell us about the reality we live in?
First. The common and obvious knowledge does not transcend through the linguistic barriers
What constitutes the obvious for the speakers of Russian or Mandarin rarely ever diffuses into the Anglophone space
The wall is largely impenetrable
Second. Putin is most probably sane. I don't say he is good, or that he is "rational". I just say that as long as he keeps a jester and tolerates his teasing he most probably has not gone mad yet
And vice versa, removing a jester would be a good marker of him getting insane
Third. The jester was selected based on the ruler liking his jokes. Therefore, the character of the jokes reflects the character of a ruler
Based on Kolesnikov's jokes, Putin seems to be the most naturally pessimistic person to have ruled Russia in its verifiable history
The end
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
What does Musk vs Trump affair teach us about the general patterns of human history? Well, first of all it shows that the ancient historians were right. They grasped something about nature of politics that our contemporaries simply can’t.
Let me give you an example. The Arab conquest of Spain
According to a popular medieval/early modern interpretation, its primary cause was the lust of Visigoth king Roderic. Aroused by the beautiful daughter of his vassal and ally, count Julian, he took advantage of her
Disgruntled, humiliated Julian allied himself with the Arabs and opens them the gates of Spain.
Entire kingdom lost, all because the head of state caused a personal injury to someone important.
One thing you need to understand about wars is that very few engage into the long, protracted warfare on purpose. Almost every war of attrition was planned and designed as a short victorious blitzkrieg
And then everything went wrong
Consider the Russian war in Ukraine. It was not planned as a war. It was not thought of as a war. It was planned as a (swift!) regime change allowing to score a few points in the Russian domestic politics. And then everything went wrong
It would not be an exaggeration to say that planning a short victorious war optimised for the purposes of domestic politics is how you *usually* end up in a deadlock. That is the most common scenario of how it happens, practically speaking
Global politics are usually framed in terms of kindergarten discourse (“good guys” vs “bad guys”) with an implication that you must provide “good guys” with boundless and unconditional support
BUT
Unconditional support is extremely corrupting, and turns the best of the best into the really nasty guys, and relatively fast
Part of the reason is that neither “bad” nor “good” guys are in fact homogenous, and present a spectrum of opinions and personalities. Which means that all of your designated “good guys” include a fair share of really, really nasty guys, almost by definition.
Purely good movements do not really exist
That is a major reason why limitless, unconditional, unquestioning support causes such a profound corrupting effect upon the very best movement. First, because that movement is not all
that purely good as you imagine (neither movement is),
Let's have a look at these four guys. Everything about them seems to be different. Religion. Ideology. Political regime. And yet, there is a common denominator uniting all:
Xi - 71 years old
Putin - 72 years old
Trump - 79 years old
Khamenei - 86 years old
Irrespectively of their political, ideological, religious and whatever differences, Russia, China, the United States, Iran are all governed by the old. Whatever regime, whatever government they have, it is the septuagenarians and octogenarians who have the final saying in it.
This fact is more consequential than it seems. To explain why, let me introduce the following idea:
Every society is a multiracial society, for every generation is a new race
Although we tend to imagine them as cohesive, all these countries are multigenerational -> multiracial
In 1927, when Trotsky was being expelled from the Boslhevik Party, the atmosphere was very and very heated. One cavalry commander met Stalin at the stairs and threatened to cut off his ears. He even pretended he is unsheathing he sabre to proceed
Stalin shut up and said nothing
Like obviously, everyone around could see Stalin is super angry. But he still said nothing and did nothing
Which brings us to an important point:
Nobody becomes powerful accidentally
If Joseph Stalin seized the absolute control over the Communist Party, and the Soviet Union, the most plausible explanation is that Joseph Stalin is exercising some extremely rare virtues, that almost nobody on the planet Earth is capable of
Highly virtuous man, almost to the impossible level
Growing up in Russia in the 1990s, I used to put America on a pedestal. It was not so much a conscious decision, as the admission of an objective fact of reality. It was the country of future, the country thinking about the future, and marching into the future.
And nothing reflected this better than the seething hatred it got from Russia, a country stuck in the past, whose imagination was fully preoccupied with the injuries of yesterday, and the phantasies of terrible revenge, usually in the form of nuclear strike.
Which, of course, projected weakness rather than strength
We will make a huuuuuuge bomb, and drop it onto your heads, and turn you into the radioactive dust, and you will die in agony, and we will be laughing and clapping our hands