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Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
@NGrossman81
Aug 3 • 3 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The flaw in Brooks' argument is this graph.
He argues that from Vietnam to globalization to loosened norms on marriage before kids, elites screwed over the working and middle class (even if unintentionally) so anti-Trumpers are the bad guys. But Biden won those voters, not Trump. https://t.co/PyCdOlXlqx
Image
Brooks notes that elites concentrate in a few metro areas, but then says Biden winning 500 countries v. Trump's 2500 shows the working class wants Trump.
But cities don't just have more econ activity, they have more people. Brooklyn has more working class Americans than eg Idaho. Image
Brooks is wrong about who won the rich, and wrong to use urban as a stand-in for upper-class. But he's right that there's a clear divide in education level.
Except almost all of that is Whites. Some education gap among Hispanics, but Biden solidly won Hispanic non-college-grads. Image

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More from @NGrossman81

Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
Jul 6
In every democracy, people say the economy is doing better when their party is in power, regardless of actual economic numbers.
But that doesn't mean everyone in each country does so to the same degree.
In the US, rejection of politically inconvenient data isn't symmetrical.
You can see it clearly here.
The US economy in 2017-19 was basically on trend from 2014-16. The biggest thing that changed is Republican leaders and conservative media went from saying the economy was worse than it was to saying it was better than it was.
Here is US GDP and unemployment from Jan. 2012 to Jan. 2020.
See the big change that happened from 2016 to 2017? No?
That's because there isn't any. All that happened was an election.
Dems thought the economy was decent/mediocre and still was. GOP said it was awful then amazing.

Read 4 tweets
Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
May 2
A big part of Trump's political appeal is showily "fighting" culture war battles but not actually trying to win (or being so haphazard in the effort it's effectively the same).
A lot of his base doesn't really want, say, protracted legal battles with Disney. They want reality TV.
Doesn't mean Trump isn't dangerous. As Arendt argued, it might make the threat to democracy greater, as the absurd aspects lead more to dismiss it as buffoonery.
And some really want "semi-fascism."
But to understand his political success, you need to think reality TV or kayfabe.
Actually banning books is unpopular.
Govt forcing pregnant women to carry to term against their will is unpopular (especially when the woman was raped).
Obsessing over CRT/DEI/ESG is unpopular.
Sounding like an a-hole in public? Now that's popular (at least among GOP voters).
Read 5 tweets
Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
Apr 22
I'd debunk "SecState Blinken orchestrated letter saying Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinfo!"—the testimony said he didn't, he wasn't SecState then, and the letter doesn't say that—except it's so pathetic it's not resonating with anyone who isn't already into the rabbit hole.
Imagine spending time in 2023 aggrieved that some *former* US intel pros said in 2020 a story about a candidate's non-politician son containing possibly hacked material that was so shady various media orgs wouldn't touch it was shady, or thinking that this decided the election.
It's boring to repeat this, but the liars and conspiracy theorists appear inexhaustible, so if you'd like a reminder why it was reasonable to suspect the "Hunter Biden laptop" may have included some Russia-hacked material, and was shady regardless, here:
Read 5 tweets
Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
Apr 14
They're attacking whistleblowing itself.
That's not an incidental aspect of the BS that sharing info with a private group to impress them is whistleblowing.
See also: opposing actual whistleblower on Trump-Ukraine, who exposed a govt official's malfeasance using proper procedure.
I don't know how conscious the effort—varies per participant—but there's a sizable movement working to strip everything of meaning. To take the concepts of whistleblowing, free speech, patriotism, even truth itself, and turn them into mere tribalism.
No principles, just "sides."
Whistleblowers tell the public about bad things powerful people are doing in secret.
Stealing secret info and giving it to a private group—and not one with people who will publicize it, such as journalists—is obviously not whistleblowing.
But "whistleblower" does sound better.
Read 4 tweets
Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
Apr 13
The US intel leaks—apparently done by a guy trying to impress internet friends—could easily get people killed. Ukrainians by Russia, US intel sources anywhere.
But sorry that his slur-yelling on camera and anti-govt conspiracy theory rants weren't done in a non-nutty way I guess.
Making copies of classified docs and sharing them online is unambiguously illegal.
No hint of whistleblowing, no belief (rightly or wrongly) that the US was doing something bad that deserves exposure.
But it hurts the US and helps Russia. So of course the horseshoe left likes it.
I'm critical of Snowden, but it's quite reasonable to think US govt spying on US citizens is wrong, and that Americans deserved to know. (The Snowden leaks that helped China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, al Qaeda, and ISIS, on the other hand...)
But nothing in this leak like that.
Read 4 tweets
Nicholas Grossman Profile picture
Apr 12
Twitter does not drive substantial traffic for any *established, funded, professional* news publication.
I can't help but notice that it's people with big platforms, who know that their voice will get out regardless, who are quickest to declare Twitter doesn't matter for anyone.
Looking only at content creation and traffic: There are many voices on Twitter I find valuable that aren't available in any legacy media. People experiencing, say, the war in Ukraine, or protests in Israel. Plus a variety of Americans with perspectives NYT etc. don't offer.
A high portion of the traffic for a lot of smaller, independent websites comes from Twitter. Upstart publications without money behind them rely heavily on social media for traffic. And if they're doing political/cultural commentary, Twitter may be the single biggest source.
Read 4 tweets

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