For over a year now we have been hearing that 🇷🇺 is losing the war in Ukraine and running out of everything because it can't produce military equipment due to reasons varying from sanctions and isolation to lack of chips and ball bearings.
"Things that 🇷🇺 is running out of" 🧵
The most common commodity that Russia has been running out of since March 2022 is of course missiles.
"The CIA was central to the war even before it started."
Newsweek has published an article describing the CIA role in the ukrainian conflict and, boy, is it set to embarrass the "unprovoked illegal invasion" clubs of pro-🇺🇦 commentators from around the world. 🧵
The rough outline of the article is as follows: 1. There are unwritten red lines the US, and thus ukraine agreed not to cross 2. The CIA is carrying out clandestine operations in ukraine, so not to involve the US military 3. The CIA was central to the war even before it started
4. The CIA does not have full control over Zelensky's or ukrainian military actions or fully understands factions within the criminal Kiev regime 5. Zelensky blackmails the West for military support by escalating through crossing the unwritten red lines
The WaPo published an article about CIA director Burns visit to Kiev. It reveals a few interesting key points that have not been considered by Zelensky's handlers before. The biggest one being the scenario where Crimea is no longer the end goal for ukraine. But there's a catch.🧵
According to criminals in Kiev the ideal scenario would be to advance troops to the Crimea border and to use heavy weapons to hold a population of 3 million residents hostage to gain a stronger negotiating position with Russia. In other words terrorism at the state level.
So, ukraine wants to acquire security guarantees from the West in exchange for not taking the Crimea. Judging by the way the counteroffensive is going so far, even thinking about getting to the Crimean border seems like an ambition of a very tall order.
ukrainian officials continue to downplay the immense casualties that the AFU have sustained, but the grim reality of overfilled cemeteries around ukraine and the allocation of 100 hectares by Kiev for a new cemetery paint a completely different reality.
In the past few weeks we've seen articles in the Western war media with a definite shift of narrative from how inept the Russian army is to a completely contradictory to the said narrative picture in order to explain the shitshow that the counteroffensive turned out to be. 🧵
The article observes some changes in tactics and outlines the key points:
- Russian armored vehicle columns no longer run to areas where they can be quickly damaged or destroyed. Troops are more likely to use drones to locate Ukrainian trenches before striking
- The RF Armed Forces have improved defence, artillery coordination and air support
- The Russian army is trying to find the rear command posts of companies, brigades and destroy them at a great distance to disrupt communication between units as much as possible