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Conor Browne Profile picture
@brownecfm
Aug 13 • 5 tweets • 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. I rarely quote tweet, but Professor Lucey has provided me with what might be referred to as a 'teachable moment' here. So, to clarify, the professor is correct in one regard: I am not a medical doctor. However, my work explicitly does not depend on a 'constant fear of...
2. ... Covid', as he puts it. Rather, I collaborate with organisations who, for their own reasons, want to understand how Covid - and other infectious diseases - will affect their business in the future. In that regard, my role, as I've said many times before, relies on the...
3... accuracy of my predictions. I can assure you these organisations are not driven by fear; rather, they are driven by profit. I also collaborate with organisations in the diagnostics sector - again, not just for Covid but for other infectious diseases as well; these...
4...organisations are attempting to *work the problem* we're currently in. Neither of these aspects of my work are driven by fear: rather, they are driven by a hard-headed and realistic appraisal of the current and future problems the world faces due to infectious...
5... diseases and other biological risks. I hope that clarifies it for you, Professor /end.

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More from @brownecfm

Conor Browne Profile picture
Aug 8
1. As many of you know, my mother lives in a nursing home, and has done so for nearly four years. She is clinically extremely frail and bedridden. A few days ago both myself and the staff nurse in her nursing home noticed a sharp decline in her health, and a GP visit was...
2... arranged for yesterday. As always, I visited my mum yesterday, and the nurse on duty told me the GP had been to see my mum earlier in the morning and would ring me later. Early afternoon yesterday the GP rang me, and told me, very gently, that it is very likely indeed...
3... my mum is in the final weeks, or even days, of her life. We had a discussion about hospitalisation, and both agreed that, sadly, it would be of no value to my mother at this point, and would only make her anxious and uncomfortable.

This news, while very sad, does not...
Read 8 tweets
Conor Browne Profile picture
Aug 4
1. Covid-19 Exceptionalism and Healthcare Systems Pressure: 🧵

I am constantly bewildered by the utter lack of joined-up thinking that I encounter when having conversations about this topic both on and offline. Simply put, the majority of people - who, sadly, at this point...
2. ... either hold the 'Covid is over' mindset or the 'Covid is just another respiratory virus' mindset (or, even more puzzlingly, both simultaneously), don't realise that - when it comes to pressure on healthcare services - they still, subconsciously, think of Covid as...
3. ... exceptional. That is to say, their psychological framework for Covid-19 is that there is one category of medical issues that is composed entirely of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, and another category that contains every other possible medical issue. Basically, there is...
Read 10 tweets
Conor Browne Profile picture
Aug 4
1. As I keep saying to anyone who will listen, this will keep happening until we reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the community. These incidents of increasing Covid cases adversely affecting healthcare systems are not 'one-offs'. Quite the opposite:
thesun.ie/health/1113340…
2. ... they are mathematically baked into the situation we have created for ourselves. In the absence of 2nd generation vaccines or therapeutics and / or significantly increased health care capacity, if we allow the virus to spread without any mitigation, extreme healthcare...
3... service pressure is now the norm and will continue to be so. And make no mistake, people will die because of it. People who otherwise would not have died if our governments would actually take this virus seriously. This is what angers me the most. That, as a society, we...
Read 4 tweets
Conor Browne Profile picture
Aug 3
1. The interesting section of this article is worth quoting in full:

'Since the pandemic there has been a sharp rise in the number of economically inactive people, those who are neither working nor looking for work. About 8.6 million people... theguardian.com/society/2023/a…
2. .. in the UK – equivalent to one in five working adults – are classed as economically inactive, according to the Office for National Statistics. More than 3.4 million of them are over 50 but under the retirement age.

This is placing strain on the labour market, with many...
3. ...employers struggling to recruit, and is part of the reason for high inflation, the Bank of England has said'.

What galls me the most about this story is not the ridiculous suggestion that over-50s should become delivery riders (which is just typical nonsense from our...
Read 6 tweets
Conor Browne Profile picture
Aug 2
1. Confirmation bias and analysis: a late-night 🧵

As an analyst, the most serious cognitive bias that I have to be aware of is confirmation bias: the tendency to only accept and process new information that supports a previously held belief. I must always be on guard for it.
2. The problem, of course, is that when one lives one's life according to a firmly-held belief, avoiding confirmation bias becomes difficult; vigilance is the order of the day in this regard. To stay vigilant for this great error of analysis, that I could fall victim to at any...
3... time, I utilise two key practices. First, on observation, I always interrogate myself: am I seeing this pattern because it's there, or because it's warped by my own belief? Am I dismissing data because it's shoddy, or am I considering it shoddy because it contradicts my...
Read 9 tweets
Conor Browne Profile picture
Jul 29
1. I've been thinking about this question today. My answer is threefold. First, because my research background is in CBRN defence, I was never caught up in the 'is it airborne' debate, because that debate was primarily one that was grounded in civilian healthcare infection...
2. ... control dogma, not in biodefense. 'Airborne' is not a contested idea in CBRN. That served me well from the very start (and it's why I also vividly remember surreptitiously passing a friend an FFP3 respirator in a bar in Belfast in late February 2020). Second, I had time..
3... to mentally prepare, because it was very obvious to me in mid-January 2020 that we were facing a pandemic. Third, because, previous to the pandemic beginning, I'd spent a lot of time in a lot of sketchy places all over the world, I'd learned to never, ever let me guard..
Read 5 tweets

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