Michael Girdley Profile picture
Aug 22 14 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
I started 9 companies that employ >1,000 people.

But… I don’t build startups like everyone else.

I use a system called “Effectuation”.

It will change how you build innovative businesses… Image
First, some history...

I’ve used the standard startup techniques:

· Lean (“Ask customers their problems”). It produces “small” ideas. Yuck!

· Waterfall (“Build a big vision & customers will come”). Common to VC. It's too risky.

There is a better way...
It's called Effectuation.

Effectuation is playing Jazz in the world of business – all improvisation!

You use available means to take action and let the big vision emerge over time.

Here’s how it works…
Effectuation normally has 5 principles:

1. Bird in Hand
2. Affordable Loss
3. Lemonade
4. Crazy Quilt
5. Pilot in the Plane

I add a 6th, which I think is equally important:
6. The Backwards Cycle

Let’s go through each… Image
1. Bird-in-Hand Principle

First, list your resources.

a. Who you are- your personality and abilities
b. What you know- education and skills
c. Who you know- your network

Explore viable ideas using those strengths.

Then, get started building something ASAP!
2. Lemonade Principle

You WANT mistakes as quickly as possible.

What?!

Mistakes are a GIFT!

They make you learn quickly.

Each piece of bad news or failure gives a clue...

... you use to create new markets!

When a business gives you lemons, make lemonade.
3. Affordable Loss Principle

Each step in startup building has bigger “bets” as conviction grows.

Unlike all-or-nothing bets like VC, you’re running many small experiments.

If they work? Great!

Or you learn how to do better.

And live to fight another day!
4. Crazy Quilt Principle:

Only choose partners willing to put skin in the game.

These people become part of your “crazy quilt” of unique resources that win.

The people and organizations unwilling to be all-in?

You have no room for them!
5. Pilot in the Plane Principle:

You focus on activities you can control.

Don’t worry about things out of your control.

You believe that the future is unknowable.

You create tomorrow solely through your entrepreneurial work!
6. The Backwards Cycle

These principles tie together in a cycle BACKWARDS from what others do.

Capabilities -> initial actions and experiments.

Your experiments maximize learning -> conviction.

And goals (especially audacious ones) emerge!

All done in a low-risk way. Image
I first learned these principles by watching baller entrepreneurs.

Once I’d found it the hard way, I learned Professor Saras D. Sarasvathy had already defined Effectuation!

I've built:

@joinscalepath
@HireWithNear
@gocodeup
@dura_software

..and more.

All with Effectuation! Image
Tl;dr:

Effectuation is a lower-risk but high-upside way to do startups.
Use these 6 principles:

-Start with what you can do
-Make small bets
-Rapid mistakes maximize your learning
-Find skin in the game partners
-You build the future
-Go against the grain

And win!
I’m on a mission to make X be:

- Positive
- Useful

I need your help if you do too:

Bookmark/Like/Retweet this now so it won’t get buried.

Also: What questions do you have? Reply below.

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More from @girdley

Aug 19
If you’re a starting entrepreneur, your first business should cash flow.

Then you can go big.

A particular type of small business is perfect for this:

“Nice Life Businesses.”

Here are my favorite 7 examples of them: Image
Before I list them, each business type meets these criteria:

• You can earn $200k+ a year
• Low capital/time requirements to enter
• Good work-life balance
• Somewhat defensible
• Durable & inflation resistant
• Medium/low risk

With that out of the way, here they are:
** Niche consultant

Pick a winning platform, and be a service provider for it.

Examples: EOS consultant, Salesforce implementations

Pros: The platform provides you with customer acquisition

Cons: Lots of people problems (both customers and employees)
Read 11 tweets
Aug 12
Do you want to look hot in middle age?

I do, too, but in the meantime, I've learned some tricks.

My favorite life hacks for middle aged men: 🧵
* Teeth whitening

This is America. We don’t believe in yellow teeth.

I put these in once a week for 90 minutes.

(Tried dozens - this is the best one.) Image
* Switching from boxers to briefs

When you get older, things sag.

Boxers can't work if you're active.

Briefs make me feel like Borat at the beach.

These are the perfect model as they’re a stretchy thin material: Image
Read 15 tweets
Aug 8
Will you lose your key employees?

Here are 15 simple but effective ways to retain your best team members.

(No, none of them involve stupid Zoom happy hours.) Image
* Be proactive about pay increases.

Word gets around about great people. Others will try to recruit them.

Fair pay is table stakes.
* Embrace flexibility.

Most work these days doesn’t need to be done from the office.

Flex, remote, etc makes a huge difference for people.

The good news is that you can now source talent globally.
Read 20 tweets
Aug 5
20 books that teach you how to be a CEO:

CEO of a small business is a crazy hard job.

You must know something about all aspects of business.

Things like taxes, law, managing sales teams...

But most programs (stupidly) ignore this stuff. Image
I’ve read hundreds of business books about being a SMB CEO.

I boiled that down to these 20.

Here are the areas you must know and the best book for each:

(I’ll link to all these at the end!)
How Taxes Work

TITLE: J.K. Lasser’s Small Business Taxes 2022

WHY IT MATTERS: You have a silent partner in your business and life. They are the IRS. You need to know how to pay them as little as legally possible. Image
Read 25 tweets
Jul 28
Massive businesses use their size to control the playing field.

And nobody can get near them. That’s called a moat.

Starbucks uses 7 of them:
🧵 Image
To most people, the Starbucks brand equals coffee.

How did it get so big?

By the numbers:

- Over 36,000 stores (more than McDonald’s)
- 36.7% market share in the US
- Revenue for 2022 was $32B Image
If you want to know why a company wins:

“Moats” are the aspects of business that create a durable advantage over competitors.

And that’s where you look.

Let’s dig into the Starbucks business through the lens of “moats”:
Read 19 tweets
Jul 25
You want to invest in a private company?

There are actually a bunch of different deal structures.

Use the right structure, you can make big money.

Use the wrong one, you can lose everything.

Here’s all the ones I’ve seen: Image
** SIMPLE AGREEMENT FOR FUTURE EQUITY (SAFE)**

A common one for VC-style hypergrowth co’s.

Came out of YCombinator in CA.

Simple contract: your cash gets converted into equity (at a fixed or max price) when $ is raised in more rounds as co grows.

You get paid when co sells. Image
** CONVERTIBLE DEBT **

Also from VC-style hypergrowth co’s.

Like a SAFE, your $ converts to equity in future funding, but more investor-friendly bc it’s debt. (So first paid at liquidation.)

Plus it gets compounding interest.

It and SAFEs are not tax-advantaged via 1202/QSBS. Image
Read 19 tweets

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