Lars Profile picture
Sep 1 17 tweets 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
@vcdgf555 I think you're right. There is a damaged plane unaccounted for. I looked at the airport for a bit. First to notice: The tiling is not always unique, but often distinctive. Second: We can utilize tiling and angles to get some idea which planes got hit.
@oryxspioenkop Image
Look at this tiling: It is made of concrete tiles with roughly 2x6 m. Starting from Taxi, first the tiles line up with the Taxi, than change Orientation. The numbers represent the numbers of tiles in that direction. Purple: is what I think it is, red is what I am certain of. Image
None of the current accounted planes feature this pattern: pics (1) and (2) destroyed, (3) and (4) damaged. Look closely at the tiling of (3) and (4). it is similar, but not the same


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The airport is made of 3 sections for the Il-76. I call them Section 1-3 Image
In section 1, the following planes have the same tiling pattern as in the video Image
In Section 2 and 3, none matches. Feel free to check for yourself
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From the four seen in section 1, none is currently in Oryx list. Therefore at least one Il-76 is damaged that is currently unaccounted for.
Measuring the angle between the taxiway and the parking leads to 88°, almost orthogonal. which excludes the positions in picture 3, as both have an angle of 82 ° and are visibly angled.

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Which leaves us with these three spots: Since the containers could be moved, we can't simply exclude based on that. However: The Video features few distinctions

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I think it is this one here: Image
On this plane, the distance between the house? and the outer edge of the road is 4.5 times the road width, and lines up perfectly with the last narrowing of the tiling. The same can be seen in the video. None of the two other bays feature this, as the houses don't line up.
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Additional details also fit, like the missing tile in the top left corner and those two round objects in the front.

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I am not sure that this is conclusive evidence that this bay was hit, however it is certain that one plane is damaged that isn't in Oryx list but should be :). I hope somebody reads this, because I spend some time on that
@naalsio26 I think you might find this thread interesting.
Looking at the tiling of the concrete plates of the second planes damaged in the video, I come to the conclusion that it also doesnt fit any of the currently accounted planes. I am not going to do the analysis on which plane it is, as probably no one will read this anyway... Image
Five*

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