Tonami Playman Profile picture
Sep 9, 2023 20 tweets 7 min read Read on X
With the Lagos blue line seeing strong patronage, I'd like to turn some attention to the ill-fated Abuja metro.

I had proposed short term solutions to make the line more useful once its restarted, but here, I'll look at some necessary capital investment for network expansion. Image
Quick recap, the metro opened in 2018 with a multitude of bad planning decisions that led to it being shut down only 2yrs later in 2020.

This is the current map of the Abuja metro. Operations started in 2018 serving only 3 stations, Airport, Idu, & Abuja metro on the Yellow line.

The other 4 stations on the Yellow line were skipped and none of the stations on the Blue line were served. Image
My proposal for restarting the line involves reprioritization of the branches & bringing all 12 stations into service.

The Gbazango branch gets higher priority with 15min service, while the Airport branch gets 30min service.


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Both branches will combine for 10 min service (6tph) in the core between Abuja Metro & Idu.

Now back to the expansion plan.

I propose 3 new lines in order of build priority.

1. Yellow - Kubwa extension - 1.9km

2. Yellow - Abuja Central to New Nyanya 22km+ a 6km Karshi branch.

3. Teal - Gwarinpa to Kaura - 24km

4. Red - Karmo to Lokogoma - 24km Image
The new Yellow line to Nyanya will be an extension of the existing network.

The New Nyanya branch will be paired with the Kubwa branch and serve the densely populated suburbs of Nyanya & Mararaba.

The Karshi Branch will be paired with the Airport branch.
The New Nyanya line will be mostly elevated, but will require 2 tunnels to traverse the Asokoro escarpment at acceptable 4% grades.

Asokoro Tunnel - 2.2km
Kugbo Tunnel 1.5km

Both Tunnels can be built Cut & Cover along with the stations. Image
Those 2 stations will be the only underground stations in the system at Mogadishu & Kugbo. Image
The Depot of the New Nyanya line can be located next to the Karu station. Image
The #3 priority line is the Gwarinpa line (Teal) runs through the existing 60m wide reserved right of way and can be built on an embankment with concrete retaining walls. Image
The Depot for the Gwarinpa line can be located in Kaura next to the Kaura station. The site would have to be acquired from its existing owners with compensation. Image
The #4 priority line is the Red line going through Wuse. It also has a reserved right of way that reaches 70m width in some spots.

Just like the Gwarinpa line, it be built on embankments. Image
The depot for the Wuse line (Red line) can be located between Karmo station & Defense Quarters station. Image
The 3 lines will all meet at a triangle of stations with 2 line interchanges at

Abuja Central between the Red & Yellow line,

Garki Station between the Red & Teal line,

And Ahmadu Bello Station between the Yellow & Teal line. Image
Both the Red & Teal lines with wide reserved ROWs should be built quad track to enable express & local services, with the expresses becoming very useful in future outer extensions.

The express stations can use a similar layout to the Van der Madeweg staion in Amsterdam. Image
Running 2 central local tracks & 2 outer express tracks. The 2 local tracks can be built first, but the embankment should be wide enough to accommodate the 2 express tracks at a later date.
The local stations can use a similar layout to the Gamo Staion on the Tobu Skytree line with a single island platform and 2 tracks on either side. Image
The Yellow line would be a double deck layout. The elevated sections would be similar to the double deck section of the Bangkok metro around Siam station, while the underground section would be stacked track layout built cut & cover.

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For the Abuja metro, the Teal & Red lines would be much easier to build since they have a reserved ROW and would need less complex elevated or underground structures.

The system just has to be prioritized right & built accordingly.

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More from @TonamiPlayman

Nov 4, 2025
There's no such thing as free lunch. Uncontrolled extraction of groundwater will lead to land subsidence.

Tokyo & Shanghai used to have a sinking problem until they stopped the extraction. Venice sank because of it.

A 🧵 on subsidence & groundwater extraction. Image
" fast-growing Indian megacities — Delhi (National Capital Territory, NCT), Mumbai, Kolkata, Bengaluru and Chennai, are exhibiting widespread subsidence"

Millions of buildings are at risk of damage due to uneven subsidence. Image
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Read 14 tweets
Oct 2, 2025
Designing a national rail network and prioritizing phase 1 (red) shows that they did not consider actual traffic patterns.

Lagos-Onitsha is the busiest traffic corridor but gets no direct connection in this plan.

Also, HSR from Sokoto to Mauduguri (top yellow) is LOL. Image
Trips between Onitsha & Lagos would have to go via Abuja with a transfer extending a 475km direct route to a 1,000km route. 110% ⬆️

The Lagos-PHC route would increase from 675km to 1,200km. 78%⬆️
Which is why when I envision connecting these cities, I choose the compromise of building the Y junction at Onitsha instead of Abuja.

You get fast connections between East & West, the busiest travel corridor.

Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 5, 2025
@mucheke @kinjeketile @K2grind @Jasiri_CCIP Running more trains would be a better option than procuring double decker coaches. Currently only 2 express trains & 1 inter-county train run daily. Just add more trains.

Current coach capacity
Economy - 118 seats
First Class - 72 seats
Premium - 28 seats
@mucheke @kinjeketile @K2grind @Jasiri_CCIP The SGR platforms are 450m long
Each passenger coach is 26.6m
Each locomotive is 22.5m

Longest train that can be accommodated is
(15 * 26.6m) coaches + 1 * 22.5m loco
421.5m total length

SGR fleet size
40+19 = 59 coaches
5+1 = 6 passenger locomotives Image
@mucheke @kinjeketile @K2grind @Jasiri_CCIP Possible Train Configuration
9 economy = (9*118) = 1,062 seats
3 first class = (3*72) = 216 seats
1 Premium class = (1*28) = 28 seats
1 dining coach
1 luggage coach
15 coaches total - 1,306 seats

Current fleet of 59 coaches can only assemble 4 trains of 15 coaches each.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 5, 2025
That's why the Akosombo dam was built in the first place to support the Aluminium smelter that became VALCO.

VALCO uses about 1/3rd of Akosombo dam's 1,038 MW capacity. Image
Aluminum smelters consume 13-15 MWh of electricity per ton produced.

VALCO has a capacity of 200,000 tons per annum. Aluminium smelting pots must run continuously 24/7 to prevent solidification.

So at 13MWh per ton, that's
200,000*13/365/24
=297 MW power demand. Image
The referenced Alba Aluminium smelting plant in Bahrain has a capacity of 1.62 million metric tons per annum.

1,620,000*13/365/24
=2,404 MW power demand. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13, 2025
When trying to determine what location would be best to site a new Lagos airport, you're left with 3 possible sites.

Distance from Lagos island.
West - Ado Odo / Agbara - 50km
North - Papalanto / Olorunsogo NIPP - 51km
East - Lekki FTZ - 65km Image
The current Lagos airport at Ikeja is already surrounded by dense urbanization creating a noise nuisance, & restricting any future growth.

One could consider a multi-airport system, but those are highly inefficient.
For a airport hub serving Lagos, a site with roughly 30sqkm of relatively flat land is required. This would have enough room to expand to 5 runways.

For Reference, the world's 3 busiest airports are,
1. Atlanta - 19sqkm
2. Dubai - 29sqkm
3. Dallas - 70sqkm
Read 10 tweets
Jun 24, 2025
The cost of Grid Solar PV + Battery Storage has dropped so low that most African cities can meet more than 90% of their annual electricity needs with only Solar + Storage. The Shortfall can be met by other sources like Hydro, Coal, or Gas.
The dramatic drop in CAPEX is mainly due to the drop in battery systems costs, which dropped by 40% between 2023 & 2024 due to the proliferation of LFP chemistry.

Further cost reductions are expected as 2nd Gen Sodium-ion batteries reach mass production.

Countries like Sierra Leone which has relied on expensive oil fueled powerships to power their grid should start considering building out solar + storage into their electric grid.

african.business/2023/09/trade-…Image
Read 10 tweets

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