Interesting write up recently from Toyo Keizai about the influx of rich Chinese into Tokyo
A few key takeaways from the article: 1. Since 2022, over 20,000 Chinese with assets of over 1m USD have left China. Many are coming to Japan. Japan is easy to enter toyokeizai.net/articles/-/696…
2. Why is Japan easy to enter? It's just a 3hr trip from Shanghai/Beijing (where the wealthy are from) 3. Visas are easy: if they invest 5m yen (with some conditions), they can get a business resident visa. 4. Japan has no restrictions or extra taxes on foreigners buying property
Also: 5. Tokyo has many English international schools 6. New high class tower mansions in prime areas of Tokyo are seen as cheap (article says they are 40% cheaper than similar property in Beijing/Shanghai and in some new buildings now over 20% of residents are Chinese)
7. China's rich want to leave: since zero covid and the Russia/Ukraine conflict, there is a worry that a future conflict in Taiwan will shut all of China's borders, so it's important to leave soon. While many prefer the U.S. or Singapore, Japan is closer and easier for visas
8. Tokyo is comfortable for Chinese. Since 2018, Tokyo's Chinese population has grown by double digit percentages in a majority of Tokyo's 23 wards. There is also a big online network and support system for Chinese living in Tokyo. Japan's Chinese population grew by 60k in 6yrs
Other tidbits: 9. There are Chinese jukus in Japan marketed towards Chinese so that they can study and pass exams for Japan's high schools and universities 10. There are Chinese who grow vegetables in rural parts of Japan who sell their produce online to other Chinese in Japan
11. There are also Chinese businesses in Japan that help and introduce properties to Chinese so that they can buy real estate in Japan and get businesses visas (of course)
12. Article openly wonders if the Japanese govt will actively welcome Japan's growing Chinese immigrant population as Japan faces population decline or continue its current stance (which is doing nothing at all). Writer also wonders if Chinese will influence Japanese politics
Overall, many interesting points from the Toyo Keizai. How many Chinese actually live in Japan now? A different article from Shukan Diamond in 2018 estimated there were over 1 million Chinese living in Japan when counting naturalized citizens and illegals diamond.jp/articles/-/188…
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Most wealthy people I know or have met in Japan own land, property, or run some 100+ year old family business. Stocks are not really part of the equation. It's still true for many Japanese to think that stocks are scary/not correlated much with wealth. A barrier to investing here
Then you have reasonably stable family businesses here that hoard lots of cash but are publicly traded (prestige) and have various family members among all the major shareholders. It's sort of a "If it ain't broke, don't change it" mentality.
Even among families that own land and property, it often feels like there isn't much upkeep or maintenance on them. Many buildings look old and drabby, but generate income, just fine. "Why change what works?"
Kishida recently announced that he wants to increase the number of foreign students studying in Japan. Already, a record nearly 300,000 foreign students are now studying in Japan. What is left unsaid however: it's essentially an worker immigration program www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/2022…
It's now common in many Japanese cities to see foreigners (mostly from China, Vietnam, and Nepal) working at convenience stores and restaurants. Other places less visible: growing number of foreigners who work in factories, kitchens, and bento packaging stations.
Wedge ONLINE article from 2020 details the relationship between foreign student programs and immigrant workers. The basic process: students in poor Asian countries borrow money to pay a broker to forge bank documents so that they can get a student visa wedge.ismedia.jp/articles/-/208…
Expect lots of Western media coverage next few days to spin Japan’s recent election results as some sort of right wing shift. That kind of reporting is disingenuous. Japan is a center right country with lots of apathetic voters. There are no western style culture wars here.
Japan is also not really democratic. Real “Western style” democracy was imported to Japan by occupation forces. Culturally, many people in Japan will always prefer stability and predictability. The LDP represents this: why they’ve been in power nearly uninterrupted since WWII.
Japan lowered its voting age from 20 to 18 in 2016 but widespread disinterest persists. My wife isn’t so unusual in her late 30s as having never voted or taken any interest in doing so (all her friends are the same) Japanese people just don’t talk politics much like in the US
“Bro, your family can visit you in Japan, no problem. They just need to quarantine at your house for 10 days. No big deal.” LOL. Dude. My wife would kill my family if they stayed at my house for more than 3 days. Hell, I can’t even stand my family after a few days!
“Why don’t they just stay in a hotel for 10 days then?” Like that’s better? Fuck, my family would probably kill each other trapped in a small room for 10 days.
“Why don’t you just visit America again?” Right. And take off 3-4 weeks from work so I can visit for 2 weeks and quarantine for 10 days at home with a screaming toddler in her full blown terrible 2 phase. Why doesn’t anyone get it?
After getting a lot of feedback on my thread on Kiritani, Japan's most famous retail investor ("the poor man's Japanese Buffett!), I decided to do a deeper thread on Kiritani, the millionaire investor who lives like a rat. /1
While Kiritani is a household name in Japan, he had actually already been famous for years before as a professional Shogi (Japanese chess) player. He also famously made (and then lost) a million dollars trading stocks during Japan’s bubble era. /2
But it was around 2007 that Kiritani quit shogi and embraced his current investing strategy: buy as many stocks with shareholder perks as possible and then live off the gifts and benefits /3,
America has Warren Buffett, but Japan's most famous investor is 71-year-old Kiritani, who has a portfolio of over 500 stocks totaling over 400 million yen. He does not own a car and rides around everywhere in his bicycle. He's also known for his love of shareholder perks. /1
Shareholder perks are called kabunushi yutai 優待 in Japanese, and are a strange feature of the Japanese stock market. About 1/3 of all Japanese companies give out shareholder perks. Assuming a 1% yield, Kiritani is easily collecting 40,000 dollars in tax free gifts every year /2
Kiritani is super dirty and famously lives like a rat in a tiny apartment where he gets boxes of shareholder gifts and perks sent to his house every year. But he makes for good entertainment and has helped popularize Japan's shareholder perk industry to a larger audience /3