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The strike on Sevmorzavod last September 13 would be the first time that Ukraine would strike a naval support facility in the 'heart of the Black Sea Fleet'.

Fleet maintenance played a vital role in the sustainment of the Black Sea Fleet, even with the increased threats. Image
Sevastopol served as the city that housed both the Imperial, Soviet, and the Ukrainian Navy HQ and Russian Naval HQ in the Black Sea.

With a city that has deep roots in naval history, naval shipbuilding and ship repair eventually would follow.
Shipbuilding in the city would start when the then-Akhtiar Admiralty was founded alongside the city in 1783. This yard would be the primary ship repair center in the city and peninsula until the formation of the 13th Ship Repair Plant in 1945. Image
Akthiar would become known as Sevastopol Marine Plant today and was privatized. At the same time, the 13th SRZ is unique in that it is under RU MOD and not under a civilian state enterprise.

These two shipyards shouldered the majority of fleet maintenance since they were built. Image
Other yards also existed for warship ship repair like Mykolayiv and Zaliv. But either those were more focused on the civilian cargo, fishing, and passenger ship business, manufacturing of components, or they were too small to accommodate larger fleet vessels.
After the dissolution of the USSR, Russia lost the majority of its ship repair and construction facilities in the Black Sea, with only the 13th Shipyard being the only ship repair center available to handle significant warship repairs.

Image of 13th Shipyard: Image
Naval equipment maintenance facilities are also in the city.

With the agreement between Ukraine and Russia regarding Sevastopol and renting it for the use of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, it also means access to one of the largest yards for maintenance. That being Sermorzavod.
The setup ended up being that the Russian Navy via the 13th Ship Repair Center, would contract Sermorzavod, now a privatized Ukrainian company, to conduct maintenance on Russian naval vessels.

Especially regarding capacity, as the 13th SRZ only has two floating drydocks. Image
So, both the naval maintenance facilities of the Black Sea Fleet and the equipment repair facilities are secured, and they do not have to reshuffle the majority back to mainland Russia.

But they also have plans to develop Novorossiysk as a rear base for the Black Sea Fleet.
However, after the annexation of the Crimean Peninsula, they now have complete control of the major ship repair plants and shipyards needed to sustain the Russian BSF in the long run.

Which further justifies their goals of keeping it Russian regardless. Image
But after the strikes on September 13th, the sustainment and survival of the fleet are now in question.
Ukraine has shown that it can strike manufacturing and maintenance facilities, which is an enabler of the RU war effort. What is there to keep them away from other facilities? Image
Then there is the question, "But what about Feodosia, Kerch, or Novorossiysk for maintenance?"

1. Feodosia does not have a floating drydock to use. They have a shipyard (JSC More Shipyard), but they lower ships using rails and not floating drydocks. Image
2. Kerch houses Zaliv Shipyard, the largest shipyard Russia has in this area. Although they can use their one assembly slipway to house multiple vessels for deeper repair, the yard is currently occupied by blocks for the Project 23900 LHD and two cable laying ships. Image
While Zaliv also has a floating drydock of its own. It isn't really used for maintenance. It is used primarily as a transfer dock to transfer ships from open slipways. Image
3. Novorossiysk houses the Novorossiysk Ship Repair Center. This yard was not known to everyone until one ship, Olengorsky Gornyak, went there and had its holes patched up to be sent to Sevmorzavod for a thorough repair.

This yard is the closest to the Novorossiysk Naval Base. Image
While it has dry docks large enough to accommodate most if not all, the vessels of the BSF, it isn't set up for military maintenance, unlike the 13th Shipyard (Below), which has surrounding facilities for machinery repair, etc. Plus, they are not equipped for submarine repairs. Image
Now, Russia faces a dilemma of keeping its fleet intact or having the facilities that support it get crippled so it could be taken out of action without even striking the platforms themselves.

They can't go anywhere without the facilities offered by Sevastopol's yards.
Imagery and image annotations are courtesy of @Tatarigami_UA and @MT_Anderson

cc: @TayfunOzberk @The_Lookout_N @COUPSURE @DefMon3 @Osinttechnical @Saturnax1

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More from @GrangerE04117

May 16
Last March 20, BGen. Ronie Petinglay, commander of the 580th Aircraft Control and Warning Wing. Presented to the Provincial Council of Antique during the 9th Regular Session the proposal for the establishment of an Air Force Radar Station in Mt. Liwliw, Anini-y, Antique. ImageImage
In the image, it shows the radar coverage of the Air Surveillance Radar from H1 to H3.

Based on the presentation, blue is for Horizon 2 (Phase 2) and green is for Horizon 3

New locations (marked as green) that have not been mentioned before now include Davao & Pag-asa Island. Image
The provincial council supported and approved for the construction of the site per the provincial committee on peace and order and public safety.

Article: pna.gov.ph/articles/11978…
Read 6 tweets
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This is a leaked report on the readiness status of Moskva as of February 10, 2022.

This was posted on VK but was immediately taken down.
I recall reading that such reports did exist internally and is the basis of the comments of some retired sailors about the condition of their ships in forums that I have been hanging around and participating in discussions.

This is the first time I encountered such report.
Translated Part 1 of the technical readiness status report from the ship's captain A. Kuprin ImageImageImage
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Finally a clearer image of the unified drydock for 35th SRZ to replace the sunken PD-50.

Some months ago, Sentinel-2 imagery over Murmansk shows that they already flooded the drydock.
While the gates for the drydock is still not complete, they intend to dock Kuznetsov without the gates.

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This plan was proposed last year when they were in the process of concreting the drydock floor.

How this plan would turn out is anybody's guess. But finally the Northern Fleet can have a "new" drydock they can use to dock their shipd without renting Rosatomflot's drydocks
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Initial analysis on the images:

In the images of Moskva after the hit. The damage and the active fire seems to originate in the amidships of the ship where the chimney is located and two of the six AK-630s are located.

Some people suggest it is where the two missiles hit it.
If that is indeed the case, then the ship's survival would be slim to begin with.

For starters, directly below the chimney and the secondary radar mast is where the propulsion and electrical power machinery is located for the Slava-class.
In this highlighted image of the cross section, we can see the bow and aft powerplants (yellow) presumably for power generation, then the two gas turbine engines for cruise and high speed (orange).

But what about the red box? What is it?
Read 8 tweets
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So I read and got a lot of questions about:

"Why the Osa didn't work on the missile?"
"They have a layered air defense. Why did the missile go through?"

First off, there are no defenses that are impenetrable.
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On April 16, 1987, an anti-air / missile interception exercise ended in disaster when Musson, a Nanuchka-class small missile boat got hit by an RM-15M target practice missile.
Musson used the same 'short-range' missile-based air defense system that Moskva uses, a 9K33 Osa. Visible in the image are the two arm launchers that are notable on the naval version of the Osa.

Musson tried to intercept the target missile. While sources vary, they either hit 2/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 24, 2022
This is a screencap from a 10 minute webcam video of the fire in the Port of Berdyansk. Around the time where the fire in the Alligator-class LST is starting to ramp up with small explosions noted.
Notice the two LSTs leaving which is around the same time as this image is captured in this previous tweet of mine.

One has an active fire in progress on the top deck while the other has a small smoke coming near the bow.
Wide image here. Also, one of the vessels still has their pennant number painted.

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Read 5 tweets

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