Nathan Tankus Profile picture
Sep 15 37 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Like many,I enjoyed reading @SethAckerman's piece on Brenner. He covers a lot of things that I've had a problem with and may eventually write up in a more comphrensive thing on profit rates (there's just a lot to do!) I have a few critical comments though

jacobin.com/2023/09/robert…
I want to emphasize here that I think the piece is good in a number of respects and my critical comments are not meant to reject the piece as a whole. I just care about a lot of issues tangential to the main point but which come up over the course of it.
1) The claim that "jobs programs" were part of the "second new deal" is without foundation and is extremely misleading. Image
2) Also as @_ericblanc pointed out, NiRA had a very important labor component- section 7(a)- which was part of the initial unionization push. The NLRA was a stronger codification of section 7(a) after SCOTUS struck NiRA down. So this is also misleading

laborpolitics.substack.com/p/liberals-get…
3) I am not going to get into the international comparisons because that involves all sorts of messy details but for the U.S. at least, this doesn't line up. The issue from the U.S. policymaker point of view was precisely that wages were **delinked** from economic conditions Image
I wrote about this last year but will comment on it more in the future. I think this is likely even more true elsewhere. crisesnotes.com/the-arthur-bur…
4) I'm really skeptical of this claim about Shaikh's book and its impact.Shaikh's book is interesting in various ways but its largely a collection of his previous papers & I certainly don't see the case for it being THE text putting Marxist economics on "firm theoretical ground Image
It's hard not to read this as a rhetorical move to sharpen the impact of the following section's deconstruction.
5) "The profit rate is the rate of return capitalists earn on their investments in physical capital: machines, buildings, raw materials"- It's worth saying that this is not Marx's definition. The Denominator for Marx is "total capital advanced" which includes wages.
This matters because it emphasizes that use of the capital stock data in the national accounts is a choice of convenience with no theoretical basis. Image
6) In general my concern with this section is it reinforces an uncritical understanding of the various categories involved for the sake of "finishing the job" on Brenner. I care more about the entire profit rate discourse than Brenner himself.
7) I'm skeptical of the idea that the tendency of the rate of profit to fall has anything to do with one's assumptions about competition, but Shaikh seems to indeed think this to a certain extent. So I'll leave that alone. That said...
this section is still misleading. Ackerman focuses on the lack of price cutting when the actual key to the argument, see e.g. the end of this short piece by Shaikh, is not about price cutting or not. It's about the level of investment.

anwarshaikhecon.org/sortable/image…
As Shaikh says in that piece "the general rate of profit will tend to fall (as outlined above), provided that the new methods generally embody higher unit fixed costs". IOW, the argument is about whether firm behavior will keep "unit fixed costs" in balance with profits
Thus its not about overall profits per se, it's about the speed of growth of the denominator and the impact of assumptions about competition on that. This does not at all come out clearly in the piece.
8) Thus, the argument does not seem to me to hinge on the degree of price wars or not. This seems to me to be getting too caught up in the competition theory debates themselves which, at best, only overlap with TRPF
9) That said, the points about price wars are on target but its bizarre that Ackerman brings up this line of argument without discussing its main proponent- Fred Lee. Image
Lee even has a chapter on precisely this issue in the main edited collection about "Alternative Theories of Competition". It also suffuses all of his work.

routledge.com/Alternative-Th…
What Ackerman is talking about is essentially "managed competition" and market governance. You can also read my chapter with @LDHerrine for more on this stuff. The point is far stronger drawing on a deep theoretical tradition than business consultants

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
10) That said, Ackerman than goes off the rails by suggesting that its not actually market governance (or generally, a strategic balance between businesses) preventing price wars but simply product differentiation as a "struggle against competition" rather than a competitive tool Image
Firms still have the ability to inflict unacceptable consequences on their competitors, product differentiation or not. Developing new products and dominating new markets is definitely how firms succeed but that's not a negation of competition.
11) Which leads us to the final issue. This issue is not so much one of Ackerman, but the literature it draws from. Marxist economists are generally not really familiar with business accounting practices and this is most stark in discussions of depreciation. Image
Ackerman here repeats the literatures conflation of machine wear and tear and depreciation. Depreciation is an accounting tool to recognize the expenditures on plant and equipment as a cost. It's not the **actual** state of machines.
The "amortization" period may be chosen to have some relation to the "average" life of machines,but only for planning purposes i.e. the depreciation reserves being adequate for replacement investment. And with accelerated depreciation allowances, clearly this has fallen away
Thus the debates over "depreciation" where the "data" is official statistical offices attempts to estimate wear and tear costs are utterly sterile and have nothing to do with anything. Now, this is cold comfort for Marxist economists who lean heavily on this data. Image
But I worry about reinforcing people's misunderstanding of this topic and making it a starting point for future arguments over this piece and Brenner when I think there are more fundamental issues involved. (lol this got so long I have to finish it after posting most of it)
As I said at the beginning, I think the piece is good in a lot of ways and has made a number of points I've meant to make about Brenner for a long time. These criticisms aren't meant to be some kind of "takedown" of the whole piece.
Oh one Postscript I forgot to include- I get the piece is already long but it seems strange to invoke Paul Sweezy in one place without acknowledging that he was an anti-reformist.
The central point of "Monopoly Capital" is that the tendency to stagnation is realized through the nature of the "Capitalist State". It is kind of strange to sidestep this issue since most of the debate over the Inflation Reduction Act has happened on the terrain of State Theory.
@basiloberholzer on your latter point, I don't really think so. I think the TRPF is abstracted from aggregate demand issues. It's supposed to apply to expanded reproduction with all value "realized" and in Marx's framework aggregate demand issues are "realization" issues.
@basiloberholzer I think what you're gesturing at is right and is the big weakness of the piece as a critique of Brenner- Brenner runs together aggregate demand issues and profit rate issues in a way not consistent with Marxist crisis theory. This to me is the central problem with his work.
@basiloberholzer This point is implicit in Ackerman's piece if you take it as a whole and read carefully, but to me you can skip a lot of the exegesis if you just focus on that central point.
@SethAckerman I've long hammered this. This piece in particular, while focused on neoclassicals, applies just as much to the relevance of profit rates for investment decisions as it does for interest rates.

crisesnotes.com/low-interest-r…
@SethAckerman incidentally, I'm planning on doing a presentation entitled "Against Profit Rates" for the Eastern Economic Association conference next year. Image
@NicolasDVillar1 @SethAckerman This implies a combined flows plus stocks denominator for the rate of profit where the capital stock plus intermediate inputs plus total wages ("variable capital") form the denominator.
@NicolasDVillar1 @SethAckerman Also, if he meant this I don't think he would have called the stock of the means of production "fixed capital". He would have said something like "the mass of means of production only becomes capital when its value is transferred to the product i.e. when it becomes depreciation"

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More from @NathanTankus

Aug 22
FYI @LevMenand and Josh Younger's paper on the repo market as money financing of treasury securities is out. I appreciate their citations to @StephanieKelton and I making a similar argument as well as my 2020 piece where I make the same core argument

journals.library.columbia.edu/index.php/CBLR…
Here's that 2020 piece.

crisesnotes.com/the-way-people…
Not everyday a current prominent New York Fed official not only makes an identical argument to you but cites you making the argument
Read 13 tweets
May 24
"Minting the coin would be almost as bad as default" is such an annoying argument because there's absolutely no evidence for it but you can't ever fully debunk it because it's an argument designed to be impervious to evidence. "hOw CaN YoU eB sUrE???" concern trolling abounds.
The Fed buys trillions of dollars of government securities and it has no impact on household spending plans but suddenly people are going to hear about a big coin and splurge? Give me a break. It's one of the most unserious arguments that has the gloss of "very serious thinking"
Meanwhile just because you're clueless doesn't mean government bond traders are. Even if the automated trading goes "short vol" for a week things will settle down. Averting spending cuts is good for the economy and bond traders know it.
Read 4 tweets
May 23
This piece captures something really important: The Biden administration genuinely thinks doing the coin hurts them more than doing what they are currently doing. They are wrong about that. Shitposters and suburban moms alike will be thrilled.

theverge.com/2023/5/23/2373…
Democrats and Dem-leaning independents want nothing more than for republicans to eat shit and be owned. Politics is about persuading Democratic and Democratic leaning voters that what you're doing is good and defeats republicans and the coin does it in spades.
Imagine the memes, imagine the rhetoric. The way power works is that currently the coin is dismissed as silly and unserious because few with power advocate it. As soon as its the Democratic party's official position and they've won (and they will win), the narrative will shift.
Read 5 tweets
May 23
I'm going to ask the Fed for more detailed demographic information, but based on these percentages of each racial group who use cryptocurrency for investment purposes, Black people don't seem to disproportionately use cryptocurrency for investment purposes. ImageImage
Based on their numbers (and using the "identify as x" only adult U.S. population numbers) the rough estimate of the percentage of cryptocurrency investors who are Black is 11.5%, below the percentage of U.S. adults who only identify as Black.
White adults are 58.8% of cryptocurrency investors and 64.1% of the U.S. population.

Latine adults are 17.8% of cryptocurrency investors and 18.9% of the U.S. population.

Asian adults are 11.8% of cryptocurrency investors and 5.7% of the U.S. population.
Read 8 tweets
May 23
The amount of people who refuse to believe Democratic party leadership would be hubristic and foolish and assume that this debt ceiling episode must be a contrived plot from the beginning to get austerity is staggering. It's just a photo negative of American Exceptionalism.
A party that was just chomping at the bit for austerity would have started negotiating at day one and get whatever deal with cuts was acceptable to house Republicans (if there was one) two months ago. They really did royally screw this up. What's going on right now is not an act.
Democrats haven't historically liked austerity because they're randomly cruel (which isn't to say they haven't been callous to the consequences). They have pursued it because they thought it brought them political advantage. But think through how that "advantage" worked.
Read 14 tweets
May 22
Good newsletter today from @TheStalwart about their upcoming interview with @RajaKorman. I've long emphasized that the most important thing to look for in changing the international currency hierarchy is changes in debt denomination

bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Here's a pull quote from a talk I gave five years ago at the University of Manchester at @johndhaskell . This reminds me I should edit that talk and publish it in the Newsletter. And here's my March 2020 piece on international monetary issues.

crisesnotes.com/the-federal-re… It is the extraordinary amo...
There's a part of me that wishes I had been able to start my PhD in 2018 and written my dissertation on the international law of money in 2019 and 2020. It's still my plan for my PhD. Obviously I think what I am doing is the best use of my time but...

Read 4 tweets

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