I was looking something up in @bterris's book (which you should read), and I recalled the chapters about Matt Schlapp in there. And I wonder if, in their hearts, all of the people who got on Team Trump - including Trump - wish they could go back to 2016 and lose. /1
They could win again, of course. But nothing will be the same - and Trump will likely not bring them back in. He'll choose new cronies. Trump himself will be in a cold sweat every day (as he is now). Republicans will be chained to a sociopath (as they are now). /2
I can't help but wonder if so many of the people who talked to Ben would, in the dark of night, admit that their lives would have been better off in every way if Trump had run and lost, and they could have spent four years chasing after Hillary Clinton. /3
And the people that voted for him? Instead of imaginary worries that others look down on them, they know now that others - their neighbors, in many places - now really do look down on them, and for good reason. If Trump had lost, they could have written it all off. /4
Instead, they've had to insist they remain loyal to a cult to avoid a cognitive dissonance meltdown. If Trump had lost, they could say "Well, I woulda given him a chance, who knows." But now, they're stuck. He screwed them; nothing changed; they know it; they won't say it. /5
All this because of boredom and listlessness in a society that can't seem to find meaning in anything but the worship of celebrities and a generic counter-cultural childishness that asserts individuality by opposing whatever most other people think, purely to be shocking. /6
Sad coda: I agree with @DavidAFrench that a real tragedy in all this is watching old people piss away their later years marinating in synthetic rage instead of enjoying their familes.
And all for what? For nothing. For less than nothing. /7x
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Anyone who knows me - and the people who had the bad luck to work with me - knows I am a fount of criticism about the U.S. war colleges. But the article going around about how our generals are being corrupted by war colleges is just crapola. Let me clear up two things quickly. /1
My qualifications to say all this? Over 30 years, in various roles, with the Naval War College, including as a department chair in Strategy and Policy, and a course director in National Security Affairs. /2
First, if you think we're screwing up wars because of war colleges, remember that education is still not a priority for the services. They do it because they have to by law. Some of the officers are goods students, others sneer at the whole thing even in class. /3
I wrote a whole book on why democracies become illiberal, but something about America after Trump's indictment really strikes me. Yes, MAGA world is about resentment and ignorance and displaced anger and all that. But it's also a time that seems to me incredibly...juvenile.
🧵/1
Trump hawking t-shirts with his mug shot is like some hair band selling posters of their guy getting busted for drugs or waggling his junk onstage or something. It's beyond unserious. It's child-like, the political version of Oppositional Defiance Disorder. And yet it'll sell. /2
In the book, I argue that peace and affluence have been a big part of America's slide: Life's good and people don't grasp that ghastly decisions can have disastrous effects - including on *them*. Because other adults make sure the nation functions even when the voters go nuts. /3
A reminder that calling former presidents "Mr. President" is not only discretionary, but it's actually (by old school etiquette) incorrect. It can be done as a mark of respect, but it's not required by any protocol. /1
Some titles - governor, ambassador, certain military ranks, and yes, "professor" - are lifetime titles. "President" is not; a president is the "presiding officer" while he presides, which is why Senate Presidents are "mr/madam president" only while they hold the gavel. /2
More to the point, America has only one president at a time. As an honorific, "Mr. President" or "President Carter," or "former President Bush" (that being the most correct) is okay. But it is *never* okay to refer to "the" president unless you mean sitting POTUS. /3
Each time I see a story like this, it's a reminder that there is no actual Russian strategic goal in this war: The idea of "defeating" Ukraine and capturing it whole went down the tubes over a year ago. All that's left for Russia is fighting over map squares. /1
This leaves Russian forces not knowing what to do even if they *could* win on the ground in various areas (which they're not.) As we teach at US war colleges: operational victories do not automatically translate to strategic success, esp if you have no idea what your goals are./2
I suppose "Do not keep losing territory in areas you invaded" is a "goal," but it's by definition temporary. "Capture Kyiv and force a surrender" was the Kremlin order but that plan went to shit; Russian forces now find themselves fighting because those are their orders. /3
An important line from the @DavidAFrench piece today: "About half of self-identified evangelicals now attend church monthly or less often. They have religious zeal, but they lack religious community. So they find their band of brothers and sisters in the Trump movement." /1
But think about that: It suggests how shallow the roots are of a particular kind of religious belief that is less a belief system than an expression of social identity. (If your replacement for Christian worship is a Trump rally, maybe church-going wasn't about Christ.) /2
I've seen that with ethnic churches, where being from a certain country is more important than the mass or liturgy. It's not a surprise that the collapse of some strands of evangelicalism led to the cultish experience of Trumpism. /3
I was thinking about this today while, of all things, hearing John Denver.
Bear with me.
I was listening to "Country Roads" and thinking of the great diversity of America. I was on my way to a beach in RI, but I've seen the beauty of WV.
All of it is America.
/1
When I would travel in the old USSR, or even in the new Russia, if you ran into anyone from the United States, it was like family.
Boston? Wheeling? Jackson? Didn't matter. It was like encountering long-lost cousins.
/2
As much as I've been a part of the Blue/Red state divide, I hate it. And sure, I can blame some of it on the Dems, but elite culture warriors in the conservative media really created the sense that you had to hate people based on their license plates. /3