Saint Javelin Profile picture
Sep 30, 2023 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
The mysterious disappearance of Russian tanks, but how can this be? There are no losses they said.

This is the 22nd Central Tank Reserve Base, located at geographic coordinates 58.46468165, 41.50848361. It stands as one of the largest in terms of the number of T-80UD and other tanks.

Research conducted by OSINT specialists revealed that as of June 2021, there were approximately 700 "good" tanks at this facility, meaning tanks ready for active deployment.

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February 2023: By this time, the number of tanks ready for deployment had decreased to 575. This is our starting point. Image
Let's make some comparisons regarding the decrease in the number of tanks since February. Photos above and below from left - spring-winter 2023. Photo below right - summer 2023. It's evident that even in the highlighted areas, the number of tanks has decreased, at least by 55 units (the red, blue, and orange rectangles in the photos). Interestingly, the pink rectangle indicates the area where tanks are in poor condition, yet there's still a decrease in the number of tanks. According to estimates, between 10 to 30 tanks were removed from the zone of tanks in poor condition.
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The most significant change affected the T-80UD tanks, the quantity of which remained unchanged from 2021 until the summer of 2023. In the photo, you can see the condition of the area with T-80UD tanks as of spring-early summer 2023. Image
June 12, 2023: The first appearance of the brown color indicates that tanks were relocated, and places where the grass didn't grow became visible from satellites. In simple terms, there is no green color, as seen in previous photos, in the orange zone, which means there are no tanks there.
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By August 8, 2023, the number of tanks had decreased even further, leaving only a few rows. It's worth closely examining the previous photos to notice the difference. The second photo shows the situation on September 13, 2023. There are fewer tanks in the highlighted squares.
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As of September 23, 2023, there are not many tanks left in this area. Thus, from the 575 tanks in "good" condition on February 20, 2023, we can visually confirm the deconservation of 180-200 T-80UD tanks and up to 80 units of other tanks.

Out of the 700 tanks before the start of the war, at this moment, there are up to 300 tanks left in this storage base. Perhaps even fewer, but the quality of the images allows us to track changes only in areas where tanks are clustered, it's almost impossible to spot tanks that stay alone.
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All of this points to significant losses incurred by the occupiers in Ukraine. This material once again prompts us to consider the value of investing in the Ukrainian army and the invaluable contribution made by Ukrainians to the victory of democracy over the growing threat posed by authoritarian states. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have essentially dismantled the world's second-largest army. At this point, all that's left for Russians is to frantically extract the remnants of "Soviet greatness" from storage to avoid a complete loss of combat capability.

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More from @saintjavelin

Sep 8
This whole interview in the @globeandmail with the director of "russians at war" is worth reviewing... 🧵

First, the reason why russian soldiers are portrayed as war criminals is because they are war criminals. They are responsible for nearly 200,000 documented war crimes. Image
Second, we've already disproven this by digging up another interview that this director gave to a russian outlet. She admits she was even given a uniform to keep her safe. Why?

Perhaps it's because russian soldiers shoot civilians!


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Third, this is like saying well sure I worked for Goebbels but actually I was super special so I had creative freedom and my stuff specifically wasn't propaganda, it was just "the truth" Image
Read 7 tweets
May 30
During a rotation on the frontline, a combat medic, Iryna 'Cheka' Tsybukh was killed in Kharkiv region. She would have turned 26 on June 1st.

Her brother, Yuriy Tsybukh, shared a posthumous letter that Cheka' wrote in case she would get killed—translation in the thread below. Image
“Hi, accept my condolences. I don't like seeing you sad, but over time, this despair will fade, and life will go on. So don't waste time on suffering, move forward.

It's now 7:19 PM, Saturday, April 8, 2023. My team and I are working on reconnaissance for the 80th brigade. ‘Dream On’ by Aerosmith is playing in the background. There have been so many close calls this past year, I figured I should write a posthumous letter just in case."
It's sad to me how we lead our frail lives, relying on societal approval so much, that we only find true freedom in death alone. The only problem is life ends, and that freedom bears no meaning.

From today on, I don't care what people will say about me, about you, about this text, about anything. Whether these words get likes or not, finally no one's opinion matters to me anymore because I'm dead.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 14
Last minute St. Valentines cards from Saint Javelin with love

a thread 🧵 Image
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Read 9 tweets
Dec 11, 2023
Photos from the line 0 by Marian Kushnir.

He spent a day with the 118 Brigade and he describes their conditions like nothing but hell. The tranches are covered with the bodies of the russians. The bullets are flying above. The shells are bursting around. It’s cold and it smells like death.
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Bringing drinking water to the frontlines is a difficult task. It’s so cold that it’s impossible to sleep and all you can think of is having hot water. Image
Amidst the shelling and constant fire, the soldiers manage to make calls to their loved ones back home. Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 4, 2023
“I crawl to the cell on the faeces on the floor because the pipe is leaking. I barely have the strength to get up, but my heart is full of joy. I did not feel pain. At the subconscious level, I understood that I was eating meat (a rat). And this will help me survive until the morning. The taste of blood and liver in the mouth. It's like licking lead. The wool is stuck between the teeth. I spat out only mouse teeth and was chewing the tail for a long time, like chewing gum.”
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On December 31, 2022, 140 Ukrainian soldiers, including 30-year-old Oleksii Anulya, a kickboxer from Chernihiv, returned from Russian captivity. Oleksiy talked about torture, beatings, torture with electric shocks and starvation. Read excerpts from his testimony published in @TextyOrgUa below.
It started — at 7.00 they beat you, at 8.00 — they beat you during the inspection; at 10.00 — they beat you before the walk. Every time we walked through the detention center — they beat you; in front of the exercise yard — they beat you; when you went in — they beat you even more. When you came out — you were searching thoroughly and beat you from all sides with sticks. If you went further — they beat you again.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
"If you look at NATO’s textbooks and at the maths which we did [in planning the counter-offensive], four months should have been enough time for us to have reached Crimea, to have fought in Crimea, to return from Crimea, and to have gone back in and out again," - General Zaluzhnyi said sarcastically in an interview with the Economist.
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1/ Despite General Zaluzhny’s sardonic tone, the anticipation surrounding Ukraine's summer and autumn offensives was substantial. Prior to their commencement, there was a prevailing notion that perhaps only the Russian military struggled offensively, a belief bolstered by their recent setbacks around Vuhledar.
2/ The conflict has now evolved to a point where, as Zaluzhny suggests, a breakthrough akin to the invention of gunpowder is required. What could be this transformative 'gunpowder' for the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU)?
Read 12 tweets

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