There are even funky concepts around to capture the CO2 on board the ship (using a reformer - the hydrogen goes to a fuel cell) and bring it back to land for synthesis
while most studies consider Fischer-Tropsch for kerosene, methanol is also in the running!
methanol-to-kerosene is around 90% efficient, but not yet commercial
going via methanol has big benefit that methanol synthesis can be run more flexibly than FT (big advantage with VRE!)
even if we reduce, reuse, recycle, we still need some primary production of plastics, paints, adhesives etc.
methanol can serve as a flexible basis for many of these (many already used in China)
obvs we still will also need ammonia for fertilisers, etc.
methanol use today:
Yes, the synthesis of methanol adds losses to chain of conversion, but you also save e.g. the compression losses of transporting and storing gases like hydrogen.
If carbon comes from sustainable biogenic sources, cost can be 70-90 EUR/MWh
Let's look first at the gasification route, suitable for solid wastes and residues.
Enerkem's plant in Canada uses non-recyclable and non-compostable waste, thus reducing landfill, to produce up to 38 million litres per year
In Denmark several projects are currently underway (BioReFuel and eSMR-MeOH) using biogas, adding electrolytic hydrogen to soak up the excess carbon, to produce e-biomethanol.
The M2X energy synthesis units produce at a rate of around 1 MW - this would be bigger than most biogas facilities, at least in Germany, so either the substrate or the biogas itself would have to be pooled into each methanol synthesis facility.
Do CO2 demand and supply match?
In our EU model, there is ~400 MtCO2/a from wastes and residues (manure, MSW, straw, forestry residues, etc.).
Demand for aviation fuels is ~135 MtCO2/a, shipping ~150 MtCO2/a and chemicals ~80 MtCO2/a.
So enough in principle to avoid DAC.
Green H2 is still needed to mix with excess carbon in biomass, for ammonia and steel, but transport could be minimised.
Methanol could be used as a hydrogen carrier for e.g. backup power.
Or as a carbon carrier to get e.g. cement emissions from inland sites to coast for CCS.
To summarise:
Electrify everything*
*Use methanol for the rest**
**OK, also a bit of hydrogen for ammonia and steel
Happy to hear comments or thoughts!
PS For further reading I recommend the excellent report by @IRENA and @MethanolToday
future renewable German power system with today's weather 🌬️🌞
last few days got through without touching backup, just good ol' wind, solar, pumped hydro and batteries
the hydrogen storage is full, ready for those nasty kalte Dunkelflauten
will we make it through the winter? 🤔
(there is a less positive story here that the H2 storage was dimensioned for 2015-2020, but demand has been lower the last few years => easier to fill storage)
Shifting baseload generation by a few hours with small storage helps, but what we really need is seasonal flex by upgrading to biomethane/ol (and using most of it in other sectors).
A few thoughts on scaling, grids, liquids. 🧵
"Flexibility from biogas" often means switching from baseload to only feeding in at peak hours of the day, which requires a larger generator and biogas storage of 12-24 hours, like this oft-cited example in the Schwarzwald
future renewable power systems running on today's market data 🌬️☀️, scaled up
- updated each day 🕰️
- wind, solar, hydro, batteries, hydrogen storage 🔋
- Germany as an island 🏝️
- coming soon: interconnectors, new electric demands 🚗 model.energy/future/
How does it work?
We take the current day's demand, wind, solar and hydro time series from (left graphic).
Then we divide generation by current capacities and scale them up to the future capacities (right graphic).
For each day we optimise the feed-in of generation and storage (short-term batteries and long-term hydrogen) with 24 hours of foresight, mimicking the day-ahead market.
Demand here includes today's electricity demand and storage charging. Demand and supply match in each hour.
It is a follow-up to a previous study with @Google on the system impacts in Europe of around-the-clock carbon-free electricity (CFE) procurement by companies
Loose rules inside the EU aren't necessarily a problem because we still have the ETS cap-and-trade system, as well as national renewable electricity targets like Germany's that include electrolysis demand.
These provide guardrails on the possible emissions consequences.