Tom Brown Profile picture
Oct 3, 2023 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
All your carbon shall be methanol

Arguments for mopping up all carbon in wastes and residues into methanol; use it to supply sectors that can't be electrified

TL,DR: methanol is liquid; easier to transport/store than CH4/H2/CO2; costs scale down nicely to multi-MW size Image
We need carbonaceous fuels for big chunks of shipping, aviation and chemicals

Methanol can serve all of these

Flexible, distributed synthesis from wastes and residues (topped up with green H2, "bio-e-methanol")

=> minimise direct air capture, and transport of fiddly gases Image
None of these ideas are new; ideas of a methanol economy have been circulating since the 1980s (Asinger, Olah, etc.).

Novelty is to put them in updated net-zero context, remove daft bits like coal-to-methanol and methanol for land transport.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methanol_…
Image
ok, now for the basics

methanol, MeOH, CH3OH, is a liquid up to 65 C

liquid => store in tanks, transport by vehicle/pipeline

burns more cleanly than other fuels (no soot or SOx, low NOx)

synthesised from CO, CO2 and H2 (already at megaton scale in China)

don't drink it! Image
in cost-effective net-zero scenarios almost everything gets electrified

but some thorny sectors remain: dense fuels for long-distance shipping and aviation; feedstocks for chemicals

@Maersk sailed a container ship with green methanol, has ordered lots

maersk.com/news/articles/…
There are even funky concepts around to capture the CO2 on board the ship (using a reformer - the hydrogen goes to a fuel cell) and bring it back to land for synthesis

hymethship.com
Image
while most studies consider Fischer-Tropsch for kerosene, methanol is also in the running!

methanol-to-kerosene is around 90% efficient, but not yet commercial

going via methanol has big benefit that methanol synthesis can be run more flexibly than FT (big advantage with VRE!) Image
even if we reduce, reuse, recycle, we still need some primary production of plastics, paints, adhesives etc.

methanol can serve as a flexible basis for many of these (many already used in China)

obvs we still will also need ammonia for fertilisers, etc.

methanol use today: Image
Yes, the synthesis of methanol adds losses to chain of conversion, but you also save e.g. the compression losses of transporting and storing gases like hydrogen.

If carbon comes from sustainable biogenic sources, cost can be 70-90 EUR/MWh

doi.org/10.1016/j.rser…
Image
So what does methanol production look like?

Let's look first at the gasification route, suitable for solid wastes and residues.

Enerkem's plant in Canada uses non-recyclable and non-compostable waste, thus reducing landfill, to produce up to 38 million litres per year Image
In Denmark several projects are currently underway (BioReFuel and eSMR-MeOH) using biogas, adding electrolytic hydrogen to soak up the excess carbon, to produce e-biomethanol.

ieabioenergy.com/wp-content/upl…
Image
M2X Energy is building small modular reactors 😂 to convert fossil flare gas to methanol

Again note scaleability of methanol, and transportability - lack of easy transport of methane is why it's flared in 1st place

Methanol is the distributed solution!

m2x.energy
Image
The M2X energy synthesis units produce at a rate of around 1 MW - this would be bigger than most biogas facilities, at least in Germany, so either the substrate or the biogas itself would have to be pooled into each methanol synthesis facility.
Do CO2 demand and supply match?

In our EU model, there is ~400 MtCO2/a from wastes and residues (manure, MSW, straw, forestry residues, etc.).

Demand for aviation fuels is ~135 MtCO2/a, shipping ~150 MtCO2/a and chemicals ~80 MtCO2/a.

So enough in principle to avoid DAC.
Green H2 is still needed to mix with excess carbon in biomass, for ammonia and steel, but transport could be minimised.

Methanol could be used as a hydrogen carrier for e.g. backup power.

Or as a carbon carrier to get e.g. cement emissions from inland sites to coast for CCS.
To summarise:

Electrify everything*

*Use methanol for the rest**

**OK, also a bit of hydrogen for ammonia and steel

Happy to hear comments or thoughts!
PS For further reading I recommend the excellent report by @IRENA and @MethanolToday

irena.org/publications/2…

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More from @nworbmot

Sep 21, 2024
future renewable German power system with today's weather 🌬️🌞

last few days got through without touching backup, just good ol' wind, solar, pumped hydro and batteries Image
the hydrogen storage is full, ready for those nasty kalte Dunkelflauten

will we make it through the winter? 🤔 Image
(there is a less positive story here that the H2 storage was dimensioned for 2015-2020, but demand has been lower the last few years => easier to fill storage)
Read 7 tweets
Aug 30, 2024
What flexibility do we need from biogas?🌱

Shifting baseload generation by a few hours with small storage helps, but what we really need is seasonal flex by upgrading to biomethane/ol (and using most of it in other sectors).

A few thoughts on scaling, grids, liquids. 🧵 Image
"Flexibility from biogas" often means switching from baseload to only feeding in at peak hours of the day, which requires a larger generator and biogas storage of 12-24 hours, like this oft-cited example in the Schwarzwald



zdf.de/nachrichten/wi…
fnr.de/presse/pressem…
But in the medium-term most of this inter-day flexibility should be met by batteries and demand flexibility.

If biogas is to live up to its potential it needs to be stored seasonally, like hydrogen in the German Long-Term Scenarios

langfristszenarien.deImage
Read 11 tweets
Jan 23, 2024
🚨 new web app 🚨

future renewable power systems running on today's market data 🌬️☀️, scaled up



- updated each day 🕰️
- wind, solar, hydro, batteries, hydrogen storage 🔋
- Germany as an island 🏝️
- coming soon: interconnectors, new electric demands 🚗 model.energy/future/
Image
How does it work?

We take the current day's demand, wind, solar and hydro time series from (left graphic).

Then we divide generation by current capacities and scale them up to the future capacities (right graphic).

All code and data is open (obvs). SMARD.de

Image
Image
For each day we optimise the feed-in of generation and storage (short-term batteries and long-term hydrogen) with 24 hours of foresight, mimicking the day-ahead market.

Demand here includes today's electricity demand and storage charging. Demand and supply match in each hour. Image
Read 14 tweets
Oct 31, 2023
A renewable power system that is reliable whatever the weather? 🌬️⛅️

The case for e-methanol with carbon cycling ♻️:
liquid storage that can be built anywhere

🚨 New impulse paper🚨 in @Joule_CP with @euronion42

Paper:

Slides: doi.org/10.1016/j.joul…
nworbmot.org/energy/brown-i…
Image
For a very fine overview check out @pfairley's article in @IEEESpectrum or read on for my two pennies 🧵

spectrum.ieee.org/methanol-energ…
What's the problem?

If wind and solar are the backbone of your system, you need to deal with multi-day periods of low feed-in and variability between years.

Fossil+CCS, nuclear, geothermal etc. can help.

Storage? Li-ion batteries can't span such long periods because of $$$.
Image
Image
Read 21 tweets
Jul 27, 2023
Shifting demand in time 🕰️ reduces costs.

But what about moving demand in space 🌍?

Data centres in multiple locations can dynamically shift jobs to where wind and solar are generating.

🚨 New study 🚨 for @Google shows cost reductions up to 34% for 24/7 clean energy matching. Image
📖🔓Today we published a new open-access study, led by colleague @IegorRiepin:



It is a part of an ongoing research project between @TUBerlin and @Google.

Here are the highlights: doi.org/10.5281/zenodo…Image
It is a follow-up to a previous study with @Google on the system impacts in Europe of around-the-clock carbon-free electricity (CFE) procurement by companies

doi.org/10.5281/zenodo…

See also studies for 🇺🇸 (acee.princeton.edu/24-7/) and 🇮🇳, 🇮🇩 (iea.org/reports/advanc…) Image
Read 18 tweets
Jun 8, 2023
The US is not the EU 🇺🇸🚫🇪🇺

For green hydrogen, the US should consider stricter rules because:

- EU has other guardrails in place (ETS, RES targets)

- US needs to comply with EU rules if it wants to export there

- initial volumes in US could be v. high (3 $/kg...)

Thread! Image
The EU has loosened its rules for green hydrogen to require hourly matching only from 2030 (without grandfathering), and additionality by 2028

energy.ec.europa.eu/publications/d…
Loose rules inside the EU aren't necessarily a problem because we still have the ETS cap-and-trade system, as well as national renewable electricity targets like Germany's that include electrolysis demand.

These provide guardrails on the possible emissions consequences.
Read 11 tweets

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