Aaron Fritschner Profile picture
Oct 4 15 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Pretty evident people don't understand a key piece of House Dems' thinking on McCarthy and governance of the House. The idea that we acted out of schadenfreude or pique with no thought to the legislative outlook is, of course, silly nonsense. Here's what the takes are missing-
On Saturday morning we had no idea what was happening. Scalise told the GOP they were moving bills that signaled imminent shutdown. This is what we expected. Then McCarthy suddenly and unexpectedly did an about face and announced a vote on a CR. We didn't know what to make of it
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How to interpret this? McCarthy has resisted doing this all along, the wingnuts threatened to kick him out if he did it and he was running every play at their call. My immediate read was he wanted and expected us to vote against the suspension so we would be blamed for a shutdown
I said this the (see below). And our members believed it, in fact without naming names I can say I heard it from multiple members yesterday as they were weighing how to vote, and that was with hindsight about what happened.

So in this moment, you look to McCarthy for signals—
And what signals is McCarthy sending us?

Dems: "We would like to read the $200 billion, 71-page bill we've never seen. You promised 72 hours but we'll settle for 90 minutes."

McCarthy: GFY
Dems: well we are going to take that time, but we are satisfied, we'll pass your bill to help you get out of the jam you created for yourself

McCarthy: the Democrats wanted to shut down the government and f*ck the troops Image
People want us to give the guy credit for stopping a shutdown but it is still not clear to me right now sitting here writing this that he *intended* to do that.

This really matters and not just on an emotional level- the resolution set up not one but two new legislative problems
Now we have to pass an omnibus or face a shutdown again by Thanksgiving AND we have to fund military assistance to Ukraine pretty soon. But we are told McCarthy is going to help us there, he has made an agreement to help Ukraine.

And what does McCarthy say about that? This:
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And what is McCarthy signaling to us on funding? He's going to steer us directly back into the crazy cuts and abortion restrictions, the Freedom Caucus setting the agenda, breaking his deal with Biden, and driving us towards a shutdown in November
x.com/Olivia_Beavers…
Ok we are reasonable people, maybe he's just telling them what they have to hear and he'll screw them at the last minute. So what's he saying to us privately? What reason is he giving us to think any of this is going to turn out well if we help him? None.
x.com/JakeSherman/st…
The supposed "institutional interest" would have us not only put out Republicans' many fires for them, it would have us do so based on our specific belief and trust that *McCarthy is lying*. Like, his lying is supposed to be a good thing, and what sells the arrangement for us.
A speakership founded upon Democrats' trust that McCarthy will lie to his own guys and not to us is not rational, folks! It isn't sustainable or reasonable and it's no way to run the House. We needed him to give us any reason to help him and he very intentionally did not do so.
People say "he couldn't make a deal it would compromise his power" and they're just wrong, that was a solvable problem. He could've publicly or privately given us a sense the CR was good faith and we were going to get through the omnibus, stave off a shutdown, and help Ukraine.
This came down to trust, and that's the word I saw and heard from House Democrats more than any other word. We did not trust Kevin McCarthy and he gave us no reason to. He could have done so (and I suspect saved his gavel) through fairly simple actions. He chose not to do that.
Even after all that happened - January 6th, the debt limit crisis, his vengeance against our members, breaking his word to the President, impeachment, empowering the right wing - there were Democrats who were imho willing to help McCarthy if he had given them a reason. He didn't.

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More from @Fritschner

Sep 28
This hearing was a major tactical mistake by Comer, Jordan, and McCarthy. The whole point is to damage the President politically, but the first hearing totally backfired. Having started this it's hard to stop, and it will get harder as they go, for all of them. Real risk here imo
The Biden-district guys are in a bad spot here. McCarthy gave a green light over their objections to win cool points with the right (a total failure, it turned out), but now that it's going, it has to end somehow. Are they just gonna stop if they keep striking out? Seems unlikely
It's already a terribly unpopular impeachment, they have no evidence and as yet haven't even agreed what accusation they are making. Do they make the "moderates" vote on something? If they do they have to twist their arms all the way, losing that vote will look terrible for them.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 24
There’s so much in the Menendez indictment, but the gold and other sensational details have thus far outshined the most important point: Egypt allegedly ran an intelligence operation in the US that included bribing a key Senator to keep aid flowing despite human rights violations
Egypt is one of the top recipients of US military aid. Its ruling military dictatorship has a horrifying record of human rights violations: mass imprisonment without trial of critics (including US citizens), disappearances, custody deaths, torture, rape, extrajudicial killings Image
@amnestyusa Congress conditioned some of that aid on Egypt improving its human rights record, resulting in substantial $$$ withheld. Some in Congress (my boss @RepDonBeyer, @Malinowski, @ChrisMurphyCT and others) regularly push for further reductions over ongoing human rights violations. Image
Read 16 tweets
Sep 20
The looming shutdown and GOP dysfunction will mean you'll see more Republicans in Biden districts head faking towards bipartisanship as a negotiating tactic.

Many were taken in by this in January so I'll offer a metaphor as a way to understand it from their point of view— Image
You are babysitting a toddler and it's dinnertime. You want them to eat their dinner, vegetables etc. They throw a tantrum. You offer cookies and candy if they'll eat it. They still refuse. You threaten to give their sweets to their older sibbling if they don't eat their dinner.
Your goal here is not to give more sweets to the older sibbling, it is to get the toddler to eat their dinner. Your threats are not intended as a way to be nice to the other sibbling or to accomplish anything other than manipulating the toddler. That's the entire point.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 21
Those who take it upon themselves to defend "norms" and "decorum" were very quiet today as Republicans passed a motion to censure Adam Schiff, a gross abuse of power via a process historically reserved primarily for criminals and acts of violence. This was a *dreadful* precedent.
Adam Schiff carried out functions of a job to which he was duly appointed by Speaker of the House, under authorities vested in him by the Speaker and by votes of the full House. The Republicans didn't like what he did but they never made a case that he even broke House rules
When we removed two Republican members from their committees last Congress the votes were *bipartisan* and that was because both of those individuals espoused violence against other members of the House. I recall lots of grousing about precedents THEN from both Rs and press
Read 6 tweets
Jun 21
Democrats currently gathered in the well of the House Chamber yelling "shame" at Kevin McCarthy, showing solidarity with Schiff Image
Dems are gathered around Schiff chanting and clapping and cheering him on as McCarthy tries to read the censure, it has the feel of a pep rally Image
McCarthy is trying to read the censure and they keep interrupting him yelling "NO" each time he pauses Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20
One can readily discover that this is not true with a five second google search but it appears this technology was unfortunately not available to the Daily Caller
I'm going to level with you, I had literally never heard of this rapper before Republicans started tweeting an extremely dumb legal take about him ImageImage
HOWEVER thanks to google I learned that this gentleman was prosecuted for multiple weapons charges that followed prior convictions and that prosecutors sought a heavier sentence after he started a fight in jail that sent a guard to the hospital miamiherald.com/news/local/cri…
Read 4 tweets

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