Aaron Fritschner Profile picture
Oct 4, 2023 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Pretty evident people don't understand a key piece of House Dems' thinking on McCarthy and governance of the House. The idea that we acted out of schadenfreude or pique with no thought to the legislative outlook is, of course, silly nonsense. Here's what the takes are missing-
On Saturday morning we had no idea what was happening. Scalise told the GOP they were moving bills that signaled imminent shutdown. This is what we expected. Then McCarthy suddenly and unexpectedly did an about face and announced a vote on a CR. We didn't know what to make of it
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How to interpret this? McCarthy has resisted doing this all along, the wingnuts threatened to kick him out if he did it and he was running every play at their call. My immediate read was he wanted and expected us to vote against the suspension so we would be blamed for a shutdown
I said this the (see below). And our members believed it, in fact without naming names I can say I heard it from multiple members yesterday as they were weighing how to vote, and that was with hindsight about what happened.

So in this moment, you look to McCarthy for signals—
And what signals is McCarthy sending us?

Dems: "We would like to read the $200 billion, 71-page bill we've never seen. You promised 72 hours but we'll settle for 90 minutes."

McCarthy: GFY
Dems: well we are going to take that time, but we are satisfied, we'll pass your bill to help you get out of the jam you created for yourself

McCarthy: the Democrats wanted to shut down the government and f*ck the troops Image
People want us to give the guy credit for stopping a shutdown but it is still not clear to me right now sitting here writing this that he *intended* to do that.

This really matters and not just on an emotional level- the resolution set up not one but two new legislative problems
Now we have to pass an omnibus or face a shutdown again by Thanksgiving AND we have to fund military assistance to Ukraine pretty soon. But we are told McCarthy is going to help us there, he has made an agreement to help Ukraine.

And what does McCarthy say about that? This:
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And what is McCarthy signaling to us on funding? He's going to steer us directly back into the crazy cuts and abortion restrictions, the Freedom Caucus setting the agenda, breaking his deal with Biden, and driving us towards a shutdown in November
x.com/Olivia_Beavers…
Ok we are reasonable people, maybe he's just telling them what they have to hear and he'll screw them at the last minute. So what's he saying to us privately? What reason is he giving us to think any of this is going to turn out well if we help him? None.
x.com/JakeSherman/st…
The supposed "institutional interest" would have us not only put out Republicans' many fires for them, it would have us do so based on our specific belief and trust that *McCarthy is lying*. Like, his lying is supposed to be a good thing, and what sells the arrangement for us.
A speakership founded upon Democrats' trust that McCarthy will lie to his own guys and not to us is not rational, folks! It isn't sustainable or reasonable and it's no way to run the House. We needed him to give us any reason to help him and he very intentionally did not do so.
People say "he couldn't make a deal it would compromise his power" and they're just wrong, that was a solvable problem. He could've publicly or privately given us a sense the CR was good faith and we were going to get through the omnibus, stave off a shutdown, and help Ukraine.
This came down to trust, and that's the word I saw and heard from House Democrats more than any other word. We did not trust Kevin McCarthy and he gave us no reason to. He could have done so (and I suspect saved his gavel) through fairly simple actions. He chose not to do that.
Even after all that happened - January 6th, the debt limit crisis, his vengeance against our members, breaking his word to the President, impeachment, empowering the right wing - there were Democrats who were imho willing to help McCarthy if he had given them a reason. He didn't.

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More from @Fritschner

Jan 24
Hi folks! Here to remind you that Executive Orders cannot lawfully undo laws passed by Congress.

FEMA is established in statute; the title of the bill that established it is worth knowing: The Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006
doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/… x.com/JenniferJJacob…
*that established it with its current form and name within DHS, I should say. It has been kicked around a lot over the years between agencies and names
The sponsor of the Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006 is still in Congress and would probably be a good person to discuss this with! Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 2
As the sun sets on the last full day of the 118th Congress, which was such a real one, here's a thread to reminisce about some of the moments that made this session unforgettable...
I wrote some predictions (below) about the 118th months before it started, which proved more accurate than I thought possible. The Speaker fight, the mods v right dynamic, palace intrigue, policy fights and paralysis, Dems legislating- it all came to pass
It started with predictions of 70-seat pickups which failed to materialize; in the event the majority was not called on election night or for a week afterward, and ultimately was exactly 5 seats.
Read 37 tweets
Dec 12, 2024
1) Trump runs on ridiculous promises he can't deliver
2) Much of the electorate believes him
3) Trump wins
4) Trump admits he can't deliver

I just don't see how this happening (a second time!) isn't a damning indictment of American media. Like, it definitely is one!
How much more airtime and ink did "wHaT aRe KAmAla'S PoLiCIeS" get than interrogation of Trump's obviously impossible promises to magically reduce prices? Just in mainstream press, not even touching the black hole of the right wing information environment. 20 times as much? More?
Did voters understand the distinction between the VP's policies that would in fact reduce some of their costs and Trump's policies that would raise them? It's pretty clear that much of the electorate did not.

Who informs the electorate? Where does their understanding come from?
Read 8 tweets
Oct 16, 2024
"Donald Trump is campaigning on the most significant increase in tariffs in close to a century, preparing an attack on the international trade order that would likely raise prices, hurt the stock market and spark economic feuds with much of the world."
washingtonpost.com/business/2024/…Image
"Gas prices would increase by as much as 75 cents per gallon... the Yale Budget Lab said in an estimate released Wednesday that the annual cost could be as high as $7,600 for a typical household. As a share of their income, the poorest Americans would pay 6 percent more" Image
Associated Press: "Trump's Economic Plans Would Worsen Inflation, Experts Say"
apnews.com/article/trump-…Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 27, 2024
We had hurricanes and floods in Western North Carolina growing up, but the devastation today is so much worse than anything I've ever seen or could have imagined there. Truly awful and heartbreaking
Chimney Rock is just like, gone. It's impossible to process
Read 8 tweets
Jul 31, 2024
People should note what @rachelvscott said to Trump at the end of the exchange when he attacked her: “I repeated your statements.”

Every part of Scott’s question referred to specific public statements Donald Trump previously made.

Here’s a thread documenting each one:
1: SCOTT: "You have pushed false claims about some of your rivals, from Nikki Haley to former President Barack Obama, saying that they were born in the United States, which is not true"

NPR, 1/23/24: "Trump is spreading birtherism falsehoods again — this time about Nikki Haley" Image
[that NPR story linked here: ]

And re President Obama-- ABC: 9/16/16: "How Donald Trump Perpetuated the 'Birther' Movement for Years"
npr.org/2024/01/23/122…
abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/d…
Image
Read 9 tweets

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