1. The national post office distributed this leaflet, "Your Referendum Vote," to everyone in Poland. An acquaintance got it yesterday. Main headline: "IT'S ALREADY AN INVASION, THEY ARE SAILING HERE!" Photo is of African refugees on the Mediterranean
2. the leaflet is printed by the deceptively named "Indepedent Media Foundation," a state-funded organization, according to this article: wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/poczta-po…
The reference is to a question on the referendum that will be held on Oct 15: "Do you support the admission of thousands of illegal immigrants from the Middle East and Africa, in accordance with the forced-relocation mechanism imposed by the European bureaucracy?”
4. Note that there is no "force-relocation mechanism imposed by the European bureaucracy", this is an invention. The purpose of the referendum, which is of dubious legality, is to persuade Poles that there is, and that the opposition approves of it.
5. The referendum is being held alongside a general parliamentary election, and is, a designed to persuade voters that an opposition victory will lead to immigration from the Middle East and Africa. Also more higher retirement age, etc
6. The biggest immigration from the Middle East and Africa in Polish history took place over the last several years, under the current government, some of whose bureaucrats were selling visas in exchange for bribes. Obviously the leaflet doesn't explain that.
8. Millions in taxpayers money is being spent, nevertheless, in order to scare Poles into believing that they will be "invaded" if they vote for the opposition. It's a state-organized disinformation campaign. Here's the leaflet again:
Lesson of the story: Don't let an autocratic political party take over your country.
More here: theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
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Poland's far-right, 'anti-immigration' government has blamed the EU for forcing them to take migrants. The same government has giving out work permits all over Asia and Africa: In 2021 (before the war) more than 790,000, a number dwarfing the rest of the EU, reportedly for profit
The system is now under investigation because *other EU governments* started complaining about numbers of non-EU citizens entering their countries from Poland politico.eu/article/poland…
I met the engineers whose sea drones were blocked when Starlink didn't function in September 2022. But they tried the same attack again a month later, and they hit several targets in Sebastopol.
World War Three did not break out. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Musk was deterred by Russian propaganda. So are many others. But the Russians respect strength - they will pull back, recalibrate when they meet resistance. Weakness propels them forward.
Russian ships stayed in port for several weeks after the Sebastopol attack. This was a good outcome. Maybe fewer people died.
Even on the very long list of people who have been shot, hanged, poisoned, or subjected to lethal accidents because they somehow got in Putin’s way, Yevgeny Prigozhin's plane crash, on a sunny afternoon, is something extraordinary.
Prigozhin wasn’t an opponent of Putin; he helped create Putin. He wasn’t a critic of Putin’s kleptocracy; he built the Wagner mercenary group, which supported African and Middle Eastern dictators and exploited diamond mines on behalf of Moscow.
“Total control of a political system can make the victors not more magnanimous, but more frustrated, not least because they learn that total control still doesn’t deliver what they think it should.”
"Nashville is not Budapest-on-the-Cumberland. The Bill of Rights still applies. Federal judges rule on Tennessee laws. The U.S. Constitution is widely and even ostentatiously revered. There is no Central European gloom. but..."
"a Russian government document obtained by The Associated Press dating to January outlined plans to create 25 new prison colonies and six other detention centers in occupied Ukraine by 2026."
"Putin signed a decree in May allowing Russia to send people from territories with martial law, which includes all of occupied Ukraine, to those without, such as Russia. This makes it easier to deport Ukrainians who resist Russian occupation deep into Russia indefinitely"
"Putin has blamed his troubles on outsiders: America, Europe, NATO. He concealed weaknesses behind a façade made of bluster, arrogance, and appeals to a phony “white Christian nationalism” for foreign audiences, and appeals to imperialist patriotism for domestic consumption..."
"Now he faces a movement that lives according to the true values of the modern Russian military, and indeed of modern Russia. Prigozhin is cynical, brutal, and violent. He and his men are motivated by money and self-interest. They are angry at the corruption of the top brass...."