The Transformation of the BJP into India's Big Tent Party
I’ve written much about modern Indian politics, and I don’t think I’ve encapsulated it better than this:
“There is nothing that quite mimics the bloodsport and realpolitik of Game of Thrones like Indian politics. Hereditary houses and regional satraps are now collapsing as a dragon-bellied leviathan engulfs India in an unending fire. From the ashes of the old guard spawn new elites eager to stamp themselves into the saga of the saffron march. A peerless leader of ordinary origin puts storied royalty to the sword as internal rivals are bashed by his hilt and banished to the hills.”
Like Indira Gandhi before him, Modi has become the nucleus of Indian politics. The BJP has become the most potent political machine on the planet under the helm of Narendra Modi and his trusted lieutenant, Amit Shah.
Term 2 of the NDA began with a bang, three to be precise.
Since independence, Kashmir had a temporary law that enabled it more autonomy than most other Indian states. Combine this with the latent supremacist and secessionist sentiments mentioned earlier, and the state has always gone through fits of rebellion as a result.
The government abruptly removed this act, Article 370, as well as removing the statehood of the province of Jammu and Kashmir.
Terrorism has plummeted since then with a trickle of Indians from other states moving in, something not allowed prior.
As critics raged against this decision, the BJP would celebrate another controversial and emphatic victory via the Supreme Court.
Over a century in the making, the Supreme Court gave a unanimous decision in favor of establishing a temple on Ram’s birthplace in Ayodhya while allocating funds for a mosque elsewhere.
The fulfillment of this bloody struggle was jubilation for many Hindus and etched Modi not just into the Indian Republic’s history, but into Indian civilization’s history. Finally, the BJP would pass a law called the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) in December.
This law essentially granted accelerated citizenship for non-Muslim refugees of several South Asian countries. It would be twinned with another law called the National Register of Citizens (NRC), which was essentially a citizenship confirmation exercise.
Both were innocent on their own, but combined they stoked fears of Indian Muslim citizens being disenfranchised of their voting and citizenship rights.
Indian Muslims had enough and began large-scale protests across India, which soon went awry into riots.
The CAA would be delayed and the NRC shelved. What appeared to be a tactical victory for Indian Muslims transformed into a strategic catastrophe.
Hindus viewed these riots not as a fight for rights but an assertion of supremacy and petulance that stopped a humanitarian law aimed at some of the most oppressed people on the planet.
CAA was seen as addressing one of the errors of the partition, leaving non-Muslims to the wolves in these Islamic states, something even the godfather of secularism, Nehru, acknowledged as a grave wrongdoing.
The pulverization of non-Muslims in these states and apartheid-like laws were well observed as the internet penetrated Indian eyes.
The alienation of Indian Muslims has accelerated greatly since.
This alienation has been a long arc.
The BJP’s Hindutva is greatly dependent on the othering of Muslims, which aids in blurring caste identities and emphasizing a Hindu unity. The rhetoric is powerful because the history and present is damning.
Almost every ancient temple in the northern half of the Indian subcontinent has been either destroyed or defaced by Islamic invaders.
Wounds of the partition are still fairly fresh and contemporary troubles between Hindus and Muslims are a regularity.
Double standards such as how the government interferes regularly in Hindu institutions but leaves other religions alone, the lack of uniform civil laws, or societal issues such as a recent spat of beheadings conducted by Islamists due to perceived insults to the Prophet only exacerbate this fissure.
This is all without mentioning the aggression that arises from the Hindu side as well as notions of Hindu identity comes to the forefront.
While recent Pew data polls indicate a large majority of Indian Muslims are proud Indians and feel free to exercise their faith, one cannot help but notice the vitiated atmosphere of communal relations in India as social media illuminates inter-religious tensions never before witnessed by most.
Hindutva is an ascendant ideology.
As India urbanizes and becomes more cosmopolitan, parochial identities such as caste and region experience the pressure of modernity. Indians are mixing.
The infrastructure explosion has enabled more commerce and travel across the country. An overarching Hindu identity, one where a Gujarati can take pride in the achievements of Tamil kings, Bengali saints, and Telugu scholars, is a paramount interest for the BJP.
Every time caste conflict erupts, a Hindu ceases their Hinduness and falls back into being a Rajput, Ramgarhia, Ror, or various other caste identities.
The BJP must balance caste interests in the short-term while grinding against the idea of caste in the long-term. This is a very difficult endeavor considering how deeply caste is embedded in the minds of Hindus.
One very under-discussed evolution of their ideology is the co-opting of lower caste icons into the Hindutva fold.
The BJP was for so long known as the Brahmin-Baniya party, the party of successful upper castes. Now the BJP reaches out frenetically to lower-castes leading to large electoral success.
Icons such as BR Ambedkar, the Phules, and various others had led to an almost fanatic zeal towards them from the BJP. This is despite many of these icons having dismal views of Hinduism at large.
This is a delicate game. For too much outreach and caste-based doles could easily anger other castes as accusations of unfairness and appeasement abound.
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Many are disappointed with the ceasefire, including me, but I think we need to zoom out (& zoom in via satellites) to really get a handle on what the latest Indo-Pak conflict means for 🇮🇳
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PS - Sunrise at 3:15 AM in Pakistan really captures what we should focus on.
Strategically, India has gone far beyond what most would assume, especially in the shadow of cowardice that gripped India pre-Uri/Balakot.
India unleashed its vaunted missile arsenal, wreaked havoc with drones, & resolutely defended the skies via its air force & especially its air defense systems - the latter of which proved to be a surprise prize winner amongst the lot, especially considering how much of it was indigenously made.
What should be certainly appreciated more is the sheer depth of Indian penetration in Pakistan while the reverse was rendered almost completely null by India's stellar air defense systems.
Beyond the surreal videos of missile strikes, we are seeing satellite images & amateur stills & clips of the aftermath.
In this case, I will refer to strict subcontinental boundaries at inception, so I will skip Āryavarta in the Vedas & go directly to Bhārata - named after all-conquering King Bharata.
Here's an emphatic declaration from the Vishnu Purana. You cannot argue with geography...
Jambudvīpa, the Island of the Jambu (Indian blackberry) tree, is found across ancient literature as well.
The below excerpt shows how subcontinental the idea really was as the extreme south is directly correlated with extreme north for pilgrims.
A few thoughts on the (geo)political ramifications of the Pahalgam Massacre:
Firstly, we have to start with Pakistan. There was local support in Kashmir, but the signs point to Pakistani involvement whether via the actual terrorists (a couple have already been ID'ed as Pakistani) or just clandestine support from the Pakistani state.
If you look at it from their angle, this is a great time to pull this off. Whether Pakistanis are seen as strong-willed or numb, they've endured massive economic stress which now seems to be cooling. Simultaneously, Baloch & Pashtun lands have seen much more militant attacks recently. For the Pak Army, there's no better time to unite the Pakistani people via provoking India than now.
They won't seem desperate due to economy not being the *worst* it could be (while still being bad). And also they can rally around alleged Indian involvement in Balochi & Pashtun areas.
For India, it is an interesting situation to say the least. The economy is doing good, but could be doing better - much better in fact. Reforms are coming via state and some backend central moves (that may materialize or not) but for the centre, there is a looming notion of pulling the trigger of reform and going head to head with anti-development forces, something that could definitely result in electoral defeats and power loss.
This is a double-edged sword here. On one hand, Modi could use a riled up populace to sneak in reforms on the down low. On the other, it could be seen as too opportunistic in a time where he should be doing more to address the issue of Kashmir/Pakistan. Nonetheless, the initial diplomatic silo has been a solid and uncharacteristically quick first move. Keep an eye on how uniform the condemnation has been from the West & Gulf countries, this may play a role in further long term beyond military action like economic or diplomatic isolation that could bleed Pakistan over the years.
Kashmir has had issues recently with terror attacks, but it is relatively much more stable than pre-370 and easily much better than high octane periods like the 90s. Tourism and investments were rising. For local separatists, this wasn't a good situation. They do not want locals to let go of their very real religious bigotry & ethnic animus towards Hindus & Indians just for a couple of rupees. This attack in coordination with Pakistan helps kill the money train & slow motion normalization (some may say futile normalization).
Our final segment: 🇮🇳 at the eve of colonization was a sight to behold for adventurous Europeans.
The prize of the world attracted missionaries, merchants, mercenaries, & metaphysicians who wrote in detail about what they saw.
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The explorer, Fraser, gives a stunning description of Gangotri - being the first European to ever lay eyes on the holy site.
The account continues after the below page: “…now reached the holiest shrine of Hindoo worship which these holy hills contain. These are surely striking considerations, combining with the solemn grandeur of the place, to move the feelings strongly.”
Another riveting description of the site.
The Gangoti temple built by the Gurkha General Amar Singh Thapa is still there today.
One of the biggest precursors to the Meiji Restoration was the downfall of the samurai.
Once revered as emblematic warrior elites, they were now debased in the eyes of commoners.
This collapse of hierarchy would pave the way for a cataclysmic civil war changing Japan forever 🧵
The primary reason for their fall was their involvement in commercial affairs & subsequent deep debt many took on due to a weak hand when it came to finances:
The most kinetic aspect of this was the entry of commoners into formal armies in the form of mixed units (kiheitai), especially those of the Choshu domain.
The kiheitai were originally not that successful as Choshu commoners didn't respect the samurai, especially rebels (ronin).