John Burn-Murdoch Profile picture
Oct 18 15 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Some quick thoughts on why large parts of the mainstream media keep slipping up on Gaza/Israel (and why it was the same at times with Covid):

The main reason is a failure to keep pace with modern news gathering techniques, but there’s more.
With the proliferation of photos/footage, satellite imagery and map data, forensic video/image analysis and geolocation (~OSINT) has clearly been a key news gathering technique for several years now. A key news gathering technique *completely absent from most newsrooms*.
Obviously not every journalist should be an OSINT specialist, just as not every journalist is a specialist in combing through financial accounts, or scraping websites, or doing undercover investigations. But any large news org should have *some* OSINT specialists.
Some of the biggest international news orgs now do have OSINT teams (or similar). @washingtonpost calls theirs “visual forensics”, @nytimes and @FT go with “visual investigations”. But most news orgs, even large ones, still don’t.
This means that when you have events unfolding rapidly amid a fog of war, most news orgs are still completely reliant on what they’re told by their sources. This isn’t ideal at the best of times, but especially so when different sources are clearly motivated to mislead.
It was the same during Covid, when everyone was quoting officials talking about things that could easily be checked and sometimes debunked by someone capable of doing their own data analysis. But there weren’t enough of those skills in newsrooms, so unchecked claims abounded.
Even when newsrooms have built up these resources (whether OSINT or data) the newness of those teams means there’s some initial wariness about relying on new people (often young and not from traditional journalism backgrounds, so considered outsiders) for massive news lines.
The result is most mainstream news orgs today are either simply not equipped to determine for themselves what’s happening in some of the world’s biggest stories, or lack the confidence to allow their in-house technical specialists to cast doubt on a star reporter’s trusted source
So you end up with situations where huge, respected news organisations are reporting as fact things that have already been shown by technically adept news gatherers outside newsrooms to be false or at the very least highly uncertain. It’s hugely damaging to trust in journalism.
Even without an in-house OSINT team, organisations like @bellingcat and @airwars have been around for almost a decade now to assist. With a situation like Gaza/Israel, any time you’re getting a comment from an official spokesperson, you should also be getting a comment from OSINT
Of course, news orgs also don’t help themselves by insisting on coming out with definitive takes immediately.

I obviously get the desire to be first, and the instinctive dislike of ambiguity.

But in situations like this, surely it’s better to be second and definitively correct?
Plus, with the sheer amount of footage these days, and the number of OSINT specialists combing through it, we’re often only talking about waiting a few hours.
I’m sure mainstream media will catch up, but it needs to happen fast in order to retain trust and even relevance, or readers will go elsewhere.

“According to a spokesperson” just doesn’t really cut it when the primary evidence is right there.
Beyond OSINT, I think the overarching issue is:

There’s an implicit assumption in most of journalism that the only way to find out what’s happening is to ask someone.

For years now it’s been possible to do better than that, but the industry has not fully taken this on board.
One final thought:

Fact-checks after the fact are inherently limited. “A lie is halfway round the world before the truth has got its boots on”.

Forensic, investigative, truth-seeking work should be a proactive part of breaking news coverage, not a reactive add-on afterwards.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with John Burn-Murdoch

John Burn-Murdoch Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jburnmurdoch

Sep 29
NEW: the problem with using simple polls to measure nuanced opinions

Ask Brits or Americans about immigration, and they’ll tell you it’s too high.

But ask about specific groups of immigrants, and only a minority want numbers reduced. Plenty want an increase!

So which is it? Image
Well, it’s both! The public is under no obligation to hold coherent policy views, and a single question will not capture the full picture.

In this week’s column, I argue politics has become far too poll-oriented, and this is doing nobody any favours.

on.ft.com/3teFCTd
Back to immigration:

The general question is used as a barometer for attitudes to immigration, but the subgroup questions paint a much more complete picture.

Even when asked about people simply coming to the UK/US for a better life, only a minority want these numbers reduced. Image
Read 17 tweets
Sep 22
NEW: a recent study found a fascinating pattern

People are becoming more zero-sum in their thinking, and weaker economic growth may explain why

Older generations grew up with high growth and formed aspirational attitudes; younger ones have faced low growth and are more zero-sum Image
My column this week explores the implications for politics and society in a world where zero-sum thinking becomes the norm on.ft.com/450fGYI
In the rich world, Millennials are much more likely than boomers to agree with statements like "people can only get rich at the expense of others", or "success in life is mainly about luck, not effort".

These are perfectly rational beliefs based on those generations’ experiences
Read 16 tweets
Sep 18
As Lizz Truss reflects on what went wrong, it’s worth noting the mini-budget wasn’t just an economic miscalculation, it was a big political misstep too.

She positioned the party *way* to the right of not only the average British voter, but also the vast majority of Tory voters. Image
It may be popular at certain think tanks, but the libertarian right quadrant of UK’s political compass is virtually empty among the wider public.

If there’s a group in British politics relatively under-tapped by the main parties, it’s the socially conservative, economically left Image
(A lot of the Leave vote in 2016, including those who were not usual general election voters, came from that corner of the compass)
Read 5 tweets
Sep 18
NEW: it’s become popular to say that supply and demand simply don’t apply when it comes to housing, but the evidence is clear:

When you build lots of homes — affordable or market-rate — prices and rents flatten and even fall 😃

My latest

And a thread:on.ft.com/3EMJpcE
A great study by @ClaytonNall and co found that people have a good understanding that if the supply of a product or service increases, its price will decrease, and vice versa...

Except when it comes to housing 🤔

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.…
Image
We’re used to Nimbys opposing housebuilding because it lowers their property values, but they’ve found unexpected allies on the left, who argue against new market-rate housing on the basis that it *increases* rents and prices — harming those on low incomes.

But is this true?
Read 18 tweets
Sep 5
Imagine looking at this chart and thinking "yep this looks legit".

But naturally, despite it being glaringly wrong and misleading, and despite this having been pointed out to the author, it remains up. Image
Ireland’s GDP figures are notoriously distorted by profit-shifting from US tech and pharma companies

Usually GDP per capita and people’s actual individual consumption track each other fairly closely. More GDP, higher living standards

For Ireland, that is very much not the case! Image
To address this, Ireland’s Central Statistics Office publishes Modified Gross National Income, which attempts to strip out all of those profit-shifting distortions.

If we use that preferred statistic, the Ireland vs UK comparison from the original tweet is completely transformed Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 25
NEW: we need to talk about the dire state of British transport infrastructure.

Of the 52 UK cities with 250k+ people, only 8 (15%) have a tram or metro.

In France & Germany it’s 80%, Poland is on 60%.

Even *American* cities are better served, and the US hates public transit! Image
It gets worse.

US cities are poorly served by public transit, too car centric, but at least you CAN drive to/around them.

Euro cities (+ London) are the inverse: a pain to drive in, but great public transport.

Other UK cities are screwed: 💩 public transport AND bad road infra Image
European cities (+ London) have their successful transport model.

Even as someone who thinks the US is insanely car-centric and this has huge negative externalities, the US transport model does also do its job.

Most British cities outside of London are being failed by contrast.
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(