Today @WilliamJRipple et al released the 2023 report on the terrifying state of our #climate.
It should be read by every policymaker, decisionmaker, and journalist on the planet.
Here is a thread of some key takeaways.
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"Unfortunately, time is up."
"The rapid pace of change has surprised scientists and caused concern about the dangers of extreme weather, risky climate feedback loops, and the approach of damaging tipping points sooner than expected."
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[for the visual thinkers among us]
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"It appears the green recovery following COVID-19 that many had hoped for has largely failed to materialize. Instead, carbon emissions have continued soaring, and fossil fuels remain dominant, with annual coal consumption reaching a near all-time high."
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"By [2100], an estimated 3 to 6 billion individuals—approximately 1/3 to 1/2 of the global population—might find themselves confined beyond the livable region, encountering severe heat, limited food availability, & elevated mortality rates because of...climate change"
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"We ... need to change our economy to a system that supports meeting basic needs for all people instead of excessive consumption by the wealthy."
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"Negative emissions technologies are in an early stage of development, posing uncertainties regarding their effectiveness, scalability, and environmental and societal impacts ... [Thus] we should not rely on unproven carbon removal techniques."
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"We call for an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) special report that focuses on the perilous climate feedback loops, tipping points, and—just as a precaution—the possible but less likely scenario of runaway or apocalyptic climate change."
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"As scientists, we are increasingly being asked to tell the public the truth ... in simple and direct terms. The truth is that we are shocked by the ferocity of the extreme weather events in 2023. We are afraid of the uncharted territory that we have now entered."
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"This is our moment to make a profound difference for all life on Earth, and we must embrace it with unwavering courage and determination to create a legacy of change that will stand the test of time."
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Here is a link to the report. Please read it. If you're a journalist, please cover it. Thank you!
I'm excited to announce that I've restarted the @EndClimtSilence newsletter with a post on the main climate-communications opportunity I see in this difficult political moment: associating Trump's deep unpopularity with his support for coal, oil, and gas development.
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When we have focused on fossil fuels—in the Beyond Coal campaign, via divestment, in pipeline fights, or under #KeepItInTheGround—coal, oil, & gas have been called polluting, toxic, the greatest source of emissions, and profoundly unjust.
And they are all of those things!
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But at the same time, fossil fuels have tended to retain their *cultural* associations with many things Americans like: industry, manufacturing, prosperity, modernity.
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China's State Counsel has announced that provinces will be graded on their efforts to peak emissions before 2030.
"Authorities ranked as making unsatisfactory progress ... could be subject to disciplinary processes if issues aren’t rectified." 💥
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In The Language of Climate Politics, I wrote about how this accountability was enacted in the 2021 "1+N Documents," China's whole-of government, whole-of-society policy to achieve net-zero emissions by 2060.
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This is the implementation of this provision in real time.
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As happy as I am by that China (or any nation) might actually create a net-zero economy in time to halt warming at a relatively survivable level, I am also worried that the authoritarian country who controls key global supply chains seems likely to get there first.
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@NoemaMag What is China's climate policy? Called the “1+N” framework, it's an all-of-government, all-of-society blueprint for the country’s decarbonization. Its foundational documents were enacted in 2021.
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🚨Do NOT talk about solar geoengineering as a climate "solution."🚨
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As people start to panic—and as others advance the next phase of the fossil-fuel agenda—we're now seeing a lot of talk about the need to research solar geoengineering (SG).
Fine. I actually agree that SG should be researched systematically.
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But what that research needs to establish is precisely whether solar geoengineering is or is not a solution: if and how much it cools the planet and whether its dangers (or "trade-offs," if you're disingenuous) will allow for deployment or not.