Chelsea vs. Tottenham, the game where Pochettino returns to his old club 4 years after his sack as part of one of their main rivals, the game which will be Postecoglou’s toughest game yet.
Here is what to expect, my predictions, and how Tottenham can tackle Chelsea's threat.
In the modern era of football, it is very rare you are seeing a top team in the Premier League have so much focus on width, rather they have started to favour the use of inverted fullbacks. Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham are all examples like this. But this is not the case with Chelsea.
Football is a game of trends. It is the game of getting the edge over your opponent. And naturally, football tactics evolve to counteract these trends. And that is why in the modern landscape, I have a lot of respect for Howe and Pochettino. They are not following the trends, like someone like Jurgen Klopp, they are making them.
And my previous match threads have talked about why Sheffield United, Brentford, and Luton Town will all be difficult games. And the answer was simple, the amount of width they play with. This is naturally difficult for teams who invert to deal with, particularly when they lose possession, being vulnerable in wide areas without having time to regroup.
Now, these teams are all midtable or relegation calibre. But not Chelsea. Chelsea, alongside Newcastle, are 2 teams who do indeed still focus on width, without having midtable/relegation calibre players. And at the start of the season, I said these 2 will be your hardest games of the season. And I still stand by that. This will be Postecoglou’s biggest test to date.
Chelsea look to keep width in an interesting way. They perfectly balance the use of their fullbacks, often playing an asymmetrical formation to not leave both flanks overexposed.
One of the fullbacks stays deeper (As of recent, usually Cucurella or Colwill), whilst the other bursts up the flanks like a traditional fullback (Usually Gusto, but I presume Reece James will play a game like this).
In this game, I fear Pochettino may opt to play a bit more attacking, with both Cucurella and James bursting down the flanks, to exploit Tottenham’s high line. A bit higher risk, but it is higher reward.
Tottenham against such teams that focus on width become more vulnerable defensively. This may sound obvious, but retaining possession is absolutely key. You lose possession, Chelsea will be absolutely devastating on the counter, more so than the likes of Brentford.
Why? Mykhailo Mudryk. Mykhailo Mudryk is the player that breaks or makes this game.
From a completely objective and unbiased standpoint, I cannot even seem to visualise how Pedro Porro will deal with him. In transition, and in the form he has finally seemed to have found, he is one of the scariest players in the world.
His ability to originate from the left flank, and then proceed to attack the half space left by the fullback inverting is second to none.
To counteract this, I think a small change would be for out of possession, Van De Ven and Romero to switch sides. Things like this will absolutely be key for Tottenham, the subtle differences. Having Van De Ven to cover him out of possession will severely boost Porro’s confidence, and perhaps allow a bit more aggressive style of play without worrying about the repercussions.
If Pedro Porro proves me wrong, and is able to keep Mudryk quiet all night, then I will not question his defensive ability for the foreseeable future.
Chelsea will look to win possession, and then quickly switch play to Mudryk. That is why it is absolutely crucial to firstly, close down the space to prevent switches of play, and secondly, direct play down the opposite flank to Mudryk as much as possible, to minimise his threat.
Again, this is all dependent on whether he is even match fit, seeing as he is recovering from injury. But despite this, I think Sterling on the left flank will still pose a big threat, albeit to a lesser extent.
I still as a matter of fact expect Sterling to start, just on the opposite flank, where he is much less of a threat. Rather than cutting in an exploiting the half spaces, he will look to overlap much more. This is much less of a threat. So like I said, the primary focus will be on Mudryk.
Tottenham will look to break past a robust midfield of Gallagher-Enzo-Caicedo. And again, this midfield is very hard to deal with for teams that invert, solely because of Gallagher’s pressing ability, it almost negates having that extra man in midfield. But for Tottenham, they have one handy trick up their sleeve.
One of the most press resistant midfielders in the world. Yves Bissouma. He will be the most important player for Tottenham, how he withstands that midfield pressure, and is able to progress the ball.
Because if you recall, I said you want to avoid playing the ball into wide areas, to reduce the chances of counter attacks from places where there is a greater chance of threat. So naturally, you want to look to attack the central areas. And the key facilitator for that will be Yves Bissouma.
The sequence is simple. Yves Bissouma looks to bait the press from Gallagher, and use his supreme ball carrying abilities to find Maddison, who can exploit the space generated by Gallagher pushing up to find a gap.
And if Bissouma is successful with what he is tasked to do, similar to Mudryk against the Tottenham defense, I do not think Chelsea’s defense will be able to cope with the pace and intelligence of Son’s runs in behind. I can see him scoring a brace as a result. But like I said, Bissouma will have to enable that opening. Sarr will also get a lot of free runs into the box as a result.
I feel a lot of Chelsea’s attacking build up will stem through Palmer, Enzo Fernandez and the fullbacks.
Palmer I presume will either undertake a False 9 role, where he is given freedom, unless Pochettino prefers to play with 2 inverted wingers, in that case I can see Sterling as the 9.
But in the case of the former, I can see him being the link between midfield and attack. Dropping deep, and frequently switching play to the wider areas and Cucurella and James. This will be something to watch out for.
The final dagger Chelsea have is Tottenham’s lack of aerial dominance vs their crossing abilitity from the likes of James, Cucurella, Palmer, and even Gallagher and Enzo possess decent deliveries.
Tottenham need to minimse the freedom they give players to cross, and also look to minimise the amount of corners they concede. It may sound like the obvious, but particularly in a game like this, it is something to keep an eye on.
And a final key point, I will quote my previous tweet:
“But there is a very interesting factor here. And that is Pochettino.
The amount of abuse he will get will be a level that we have not heard. Will he succumb to the pressure? Will he intentionally (or unintentionally, subconsciously) sabotage himself?
Think of it how a man is like once he regrets leaving his ex-girlfriend, and then links up with her again years later. You will still feel a connection with her, as much as you don't want to, you will also begin to act differently, and you may not realise it.
The first 45 minutes will be crucial vs. Tottenham. Even if it is 0-0, it will put pressure on the mentally weak Pochettino, and cause him to overthink.”
From a tactical standpoint, this is actually very tricky. The only reason I am predicting a draw is Postecoglou's sublime home record, and also the experience Chelsea lack.
I think this will be a game ran by 2 people, Son Heung Min, and Mykhailo Mudryk. The way Chelsea deal with Son is the way they deal with Bissouma. The way Tottenham deal with Mudryk is the way they minimise possession lost in the left hand channels, whilst also of course, how defensively aware Porro is.
I am predicting a 2-2 game. We will see a very good game. One of the best of the season for a neutral to watch.
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The Tottenham vs. Fulham game tonight will be one óf the most unpredictable games this season, and a game that can create Premier League history for Ange Postecoglou, and also Tottenham.
Here is what to expect, my predictions, and how Tottenham can tackle this game.
THREAD.
Marco Silva is certainly one of the most interesting and unique managers in the league. For that, I like him, and quite rate him too. I feel he has overachieved with this Fulham side, and has done an impressive job. So really, today’s game is a good test not for Ange Postecoglou, but rather his squad, how they will play against such a fluid midfield.
One of Marco Silva’s key principles is positional freedom, particularly within his midfield. And we often see both Palhinha and Andres Pereira adapting a “free role”. And not just a partial free role, very much complete freedom. And this is what makes Fulham such a tricky team to deal with.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea, a game that will make or break Chelsea’s chance of salvaging something this season. A game that will either boost or put a dent in Arsenal’s title hopes.
An insight of how the game will play out, my predictions, and ultimately, a tactical analysis.
THREAD
I am taking a more Chelsea-related approach for this game, as I feel tactically, less is known about them. Because at this point, Arteta’s style of play is relatively known. Pochettino, however, is a bit more unique and unorthodox compared to the current climate of possession based football.
Pochettino acknowledges the current climate of football. He acknowledges that inverting the fullback often will create vulnerabilities out wide, or within the half spaces near the final 3rd.
That is why Pochettino’s focus has been on keeping width, similar to traditional systems as opposed to modern ones.
At first, what we saw was a 4-3-3 in possession, and a 5-3-2 out of it. I said at the start of the season, a system like this is a system I am a fan of, and will give teams like Tottenham the hardest game of their season. Again, due to how he it is able to exploit width, and essentially match the opponent.
The Tottenham vs. Arsenal game this Sunday will begin the era of the Modern El Clasico.
Here is how Tottenham should lineup for a game that will ultimately decide the title, my predictions, and a tactical analysis.
THREAD
Modern day El Clasico? Yes. The Modern day El Clasico.
This fixture will be some of the highest quality football you will ever watch this decade. Even as a neutral, watching Tottenham vs. Arsenal has always been my favourite game, way before Postecoglou and Arteta. Everything from the atmosphere of such a game and the thril is something that no other fixture in world football matches.
Now combine one of the most fierce rivalries in world football with 2 of the current greatest managers playing a game that in the grand scheme of things will decide the title.
Manchester City-Liverpool had the quality, not the atmosphere.
By now, it should be no secret how Arteta sets up in possession. Zinchenko will join the midfield and form a double pivot alongside Rice in possession, whilst Havertz will either occasionally advance into a False 9 role, or Jesus will drop deep, depending on the phase of play.
Tottenham, Manchester City, and Arsenal will all face off in a historic title race. A title race that, in a perfect world, will go on towards the last few gameweeks. A title race that will impact the next decade of football. A title race we will never have seen before.
THREAD on who I think will come out superior, and why.
The current mount rushmore of football managers: Pep Guardiola, Thomas Tuchel, Mikel Arteta, and Ange Postecoglou.
3 of them are in the same league. 3 of them manage some of the biggest clubs in the world.
How often does such a scenario happen, that too with equally balanced teams?
I made some pre-season predictions regarding the table, but never delved into detail. So this is what this thread will do.
If you all recall, my predictions were as followed:
1. Arsenal 2. Manchester City 3. Tottenham Hotspur
The other positions are irrelevant for the scope of this thread. What truly matters in football is winning.
The order of thes 3 teams is not so clear. And by putting Arsenal first, that is not saying they are guaranteed this title. There are a lot of variables that come into play, some more than others.
And taking into account these factors, looking at this like a Monte Carlo simulation, Arsenal ultimately comes out on top.
Why Brennan Johnson is the perfect fit for Tottenham, and how his signing will elevate Tottenham in their quest for title contention.
THREAD
I am not going to sit and bore you giving an in-depth analysis of what type of play Brennan Johnson is, considering he's not some "hidden gem" that no one has seen play. Everyone should know at this point.
However, what I will address is how he elevates Tottenham, and from a tactical standpoint elevates Tottenham and fits under Postecoglou.
Let me start by addressing the key factor. His positional versatility. For Nottingham Forest, he has played roughly ~33% of his games as a lone 9, ~33% of his games as a 10 or the 2nd striker, and ~33% of his games on the right.
This is exactly what Postecoglou likes in his wingers, positional versatility.
From a surface level, it means he has a player who can start as a 9, or RWer, but it goes much deeper than that.
How Ange Postecoglou should lineup vs. Manchester United, the one crucial factor which will decide the entire match, and the weaknesses that can be exploited.
Pre-Match Analysis.
THREAD
You know, it’s always fun to look back on my predictions, especially now I have them physically written. It’s like a diary. And I can say my Brentford one was spot on, not sounding arrogant, but it makes me feel better about myself and my tactical understanding of the game. I predicted a draw or loss, the match was drawn. I said Brentford will play a back 5, even though they lined up with a back 4 for the entirety of the preseason, they played a back 5. I said they will exploit the lack of width in-possession, they exploited the lack of possession, and is how they got that very good chance Mbeumo missed towards the end of the 2nd half.
So now, I will attempt to break down the Manchester United game. And as a note, this not how I think Postecoglou will line, albeit I will touch on that, but rather how he should to maximise his odds of a result.
In my opinion, Manchester United have the best midfield in the league. They play primarily counter attacking football, and their midfield is setup perfectly for such. Casemiro, one of the best ball winners in the Premier League, Mason Mount one of the best pressers in the Premier League, and Bruno Fernandes, one of the best creators in the Premier League. Ultimately, these 3 cogs are the cogs you need for counter attacking football to be pure flowing.