Niall Ó Conghaile 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Nov 11, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Too much debate around Brexit is around all the possibilities of everything that could happen ever.

That type of argument is frankly puerile.

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Anything's possible. The republics and monarchies of Europe might make Charles III emperor of Europe.

Why not? It's possible.

Brexiters have become unmoored from reality for a long time.
US won't look after UK with generosity
Canzuk is not a thing and is not happening
Britain won't trade more with China just cos you've left Europe.

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But rejoiners need to work in the reality-based world.

Dismissing argument by saying that, for example, Europe rewriting its fundamental treaties to make Britons an exceptional category for mobility or trade is frankly puerile.

(it ignores the reality of treaty change)

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Time to deal with reality. in particular one fact: former remainer interests are not ours.

Ends

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More from @nialloconghaile

Jul 13
Fascinating @pmdfoster newsletter in @FT on some of the resistence that Labour will meet from the UK side if it tries to align with Europe.

Broadly, not everyone will be happy.

Short 🧵

H/t @Nicoledso Image
In three areas at least - packaging, food and chemicals - companies may see an advantage to keeping the lower standards, and have absorbed the costs of divergence and returning may not simply be worth it.

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How far unilateral alignment goes on the UK side is, of course, a political decision in the UK but were I a consumer there, I would like to see the UK achieving high standards rather than the divergence away from the precautionary principle over time.

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Read 18 tweets
Jul 2
Just getting to this article now, but very much exactly where the relationship is at and what is being said.

1

theguardian.com/politics/artic…
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Europe will likely listen to what the UK has to say, and I would be very surprised if there are not some sort of talks opened before the end of the year.

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But they will struggle to go quicker because, firstly, the UK is not a priority.

But also because putting a mandate together takes time and requires a process, esp. as it will be done from scratch and we have no idea what UKG wants and more importantly what it's offering.

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Read 9 tweets
Jul 1
Jannike Wachowiak with an article in @TheNewEuropean which expresses a lot of the worries that Europeans who want closer relations to GB have.

Some quick thoughts

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The rejection of youth visas demonstrates a continued opposition to co-operation between peoples.

It also shows strategic naïveté; Labour need to start finding formulations that don't close off cooperation.

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While the Commission definitely went early on visas to help unity, it had another reason: to set down a marker.

Labour need to to understand they have to make concessions to get anywhere.

Prediction: no matter what's sought, youth visas will go straight back on the table.

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Read 10 tweets
Jun 16
Recently I've seen a number of comments along the lines of:

"The problem is the UK is not culturally European".

That can be either a lament, or an argument for staying out of Europe.

This is important, as Europeaness is vital for a join movement.

A 🧵 Image
The UK is not the first or only country to have had these debates about its Europeanness. Examples aboud, including Bulgaria, Norway, Turkey, and indeed Ireland.

This is Mary Harney (centre, with some familiar faces) former Tánaiste (deputy PM) or Ireland.

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Ms Harney was a Progressive Democrat, a liberal pro-business party.

It is strange how a formulation of words can sometimes have so much resonance and become part of the political lexicon. She gave us one such formula.

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Read 16 tweets
Jun 13
So, the Labour manifesto is out.

On relations withh Europe, much was well-flagged in advance, but nevertheless must represent a disappointment for British pro-Europeans.

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Okay, so it is a rejection of the architecture of Europe.

But actually, it's worse. The language is quite Brexity.

Not just saying that quitting is a source of opportunity. But also avoiding talking about Bxl, preferring. And casting normal border procedures as unnecessary.

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Effectively this amounts to cherry picking. For two selected industries in particular

How should Europe respond?

Given this, we have not duty towards Labour and no need to do anything but look after our interests.

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Read 7 tweets
Jun 13
This is a really good tight tweet and short thread.

Those facts are correct: it happened. It was traumatic. It didn't go very well. It isn't easily changed.

Does that mean the reaction in WM and elsewhere is "correct" or even normative?

A 🧵
Firstly, on this, Brexit has happened. And even if it is not settled on the UK side, esp. at the border, it is for Europe.

And it was traumatic, I think in a way is foreigners didn't appreciate. In some ways, for the UK, it was the end of the post-Cold War settlement.

2
That had major social implications. It was divisive.

It has been a disaster, worse than could be imagined.

And the substance of Brexit, in particular the main pan-European unity structures, can't be joined overnight.

3
Read 16 tweets

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