Michael Mina Profile picture
Nov 13, 2023 12 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Wondering if you should get your baby the new RSV shot?

I’ve studied respiratory viruses like RSV, and their vaccines and treatments for years

Here’s a 🧵 of key info

We just had a baby last week

We chose to protect our newborn with it

And we’re lucky we could get a dose

1/
1) First and most critical is that the new RSV shot is very protective against RSV

In large placebo controlled “gold standard” trials it was ~75% effective to prevent RSV requiring medical attention in babies

2/

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
Image
2. It’s Safe

There were no indications of increased serious adverse events associated with the shot

In fact, there was a very small decrease in the number of serious adverse events in those who received the shot compared to those who got placebo

3/ Image
3) Although a lot of people, including doctors, refer to the new RSV shot as a “vaccine”

It is NOT a vaccine

It does not elicit immune memory
against RSV

It IS a shot of a *monoclonal antibody* against RSV

So, for ex., it wont cause a short fever like many vaccines do

4/
This is important bc the RSV shot is more temporary than most vaccines

The antibodies delivered in the shot are *all you get* - no extra antibodies are created by immunity

It’s most potent over first 3 months

That means it’s best to get near RSV season

5/
4) although many people hadn’t been aware of RSV until recently bc COVID raised overall awareness

it is a dangerous virus especially for babies and young children w >50,000 young children hospitalized in US each winter and hundreds of deaths

6/
5) Getting RSV in the first year of life also increases risk of being diagnosed with asthma

Those who avoided RSV in their first year of life had 25% less chance of being diagnosed with asthma (the mechanisms are still being explored)

7/

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
6) The RSV monoclonal antibody shot for babies is made by Sanofi. it is called Beyfortus or Nirsevimab

Fortunately it has been in high demand (bc it helps keep babies healthy)

Unfortunately manufacturing supply hasn’t been able to keep up so it is difficult for some to get

8/
CDC & others are working to try to ensure that supply can be fairly shared across the US (and world). Sanofi is working hard (from what I hear) to increase supply quickly

So if it’s offered, I wouldn’t recommend thinking about it until the next visit, the doses are limited

9/
7) Summary

RSV can cause serious disease in babies and increases risk of long term issues like asthma

The new RSV shot is highly protective

It’s not a vaccine but a monoclonal antibody

It is most effective for a few months

Supply is limited - if it’s offered, act fast

10/
8) additional info:

The monoclonal antibody that makes up the new RSV shot is an antibody that binds a part of RSV virus called the Fusion or ‘F’ protein

When the antibody ‘sees’ RSV, it binds ‘F’ and neutralizes RSV - preventing it from infecting cells in the body

11/
This is similar to infusions of monoclonal antibodies against the spike protein for COVID-19

However, unlike COVID, RSV is not likely to evade the antibodies in Beyfortus bc the site they recognize is highly conserved (can’t change easily). (and pop pressure is much lower)

12/

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More from @michaelmina_lab

Jun 12
I've been thinking on my review of RFK Jrs 8 new ACIP members

When announced, I found myself thinking "could've been much worse" and so was relatively favorable

However, the bar being set so low caused me to miss a huge piece... and there's still great risk!

Short thread
1)
While I was pretty favorable to a majority of the new members - the bar is set inredibly low -

I was just happy the 8 were not the most hard core ideologues for whom destroying vaccines is practically religion (like RFK Jr)

That obscured the biggest problem of the group

2/
Perhaps the biggest problem is it is a panel of people who, generally speaking, are generally NOT:

experts in diseases vaccines prevent
experts in vaccines
infectious disease epidemiology
clinical trials

If this was the private sector, no way would this group pass muster

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 12
RFK Jr released names of 8 ppl he is placing into ACIP to replace 17 removed

Actually a majority are v reasonable - 2 of 8 however align heavily w conspiracy & anti-vax but as I discuss, their presence may have a silver lining

My thoughts:
Thread



1/cnbc.com/amp/2025/06/11…
Joseph Hibbeln MD has long researched and advocated for optimizing nutrition, including studying things like seafood consumption in pregnancy and role of mercury consumption and whether it is linked to autism. Generally he’s come out saying it’s not.

Summary: No evidence of anti science or anti vaccine. Likely very balanced and nuanced rigorous scientist to serve on ACIP. 
2/
Cody Meissner MD
Is a pediatric infectious disease expert at my Alma mater - Dartmouth. He is a rigorous scientist and has defended vaccines while formally recognizing underlying issues that are causing people to turn away from them - such as vaccine success driving down disease - affording people the luxury of focusing on very rare side effects while forgetting the real impacts of the diseases. 

For example in @NEJM he wrote: 

Summary. Terrific Choice

3/Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 26
This is horrible & exactly what we are afraid of - measles kills ppl

In ~100 infections in TX, someone has already died

For those w/out vacc- it is not the benign virus you’ve been told

1:5 hospitalized
1:100-1000 die

This will spread further.

1/

apnews.com/article/measle…
The measles vaccine is exceedingly safe

It stops infections & spread extremely well!!

Measles on the other hand

1) kills 1:100-1000
2) hospitalizes 1:5
3) Kills immune cells & deletes protection against other infections
4) causes early immune suppression / coinfections

2/
I am extremely concerned that the communities of vaccine hesitancy have grown enough that they are now “bleeding into each other”

Which means infection in one may well ignite outbreaks of many thousands

That will come w more disease and death

Vaccination will prevent this

3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 19
Measles cases may likely grow into the 1000’s

The TX measles outbreak continues

With “bubbles” of undervaccination getting bigger, we can expect outbreaks in one to catch on to the next

Igniting transmission that may catch and spread across the U.S.

cnn.com/2025/02/18/hea…
One of the most common tropes is that measles is fine & doesn’t cause damage…

This is highly inaccurate

Measles literally grows by infecting and killing memory immune cells. It causes loss to existing immunity creating vulnerabilities & acute damage that is often severe

2/
To discover the massive-stealth-impact measles has on immune protection against infections not associated w measles, we looked at what happened in populations after measles outbreaks swept through, decade after decade across nations…

What we found was astonishing…

3/
Read 19 tweets
Dec 27, 2024
Important wake up call:

#H5N1 BirdFlu just sequenced by @CDCgov from severe Louisiana patient

Most important, the H5 virus mutated inside the single patient to gain an ability to bind human receptors in the upper respiratory tract

It takes just one…

cdc.gov/bird-flu/spotl…Image
This is exactly the type of thing we worry about.

The mutations developed anew in this patient have been linked to severe cases elsewhere

Thank goodness the patient didnt (as far as we know) spread to any people or wildlife but this is the real concern…

We must do better

2/
And what should we do… there are many things we (USGov) should be doing yet barely have:
Read 6 tweets
Oct 3, 2024
🧵 On Seasonality:
SARS-CoV-2 has "seasonality" as a contributor to transmission dynamics

People often refute it - So I made graphs and this thread

NOTE: Seasonality does NOT = "just a cold"
Many of worst viruses have seasonality

Transmission Dynamics ≠ Pathogenicity

1/Image
Image
Image
The first figure is Wastewater SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels averaged across the whole United States

See the REMARKABLE stability in the winter peak

The peak happens in the exact same week each year

Additionally, the start up the upswing to the peak (triangles) is also consistent

2/Image
A common misconception is that "Seasonality" means "no transmission out of season"

That is NOT TRUE

Seasonal forces are those that drive predictable behavior - like a winter peak in the first week of each year

3/
Read 14 tweets

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