Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 14 9 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. Russian-Ukrainian war is mostly an artillery war

2. Russian artillery production fully relies upon a few dozen GFM Steyr (Austria) radial forging machines

3. Which rely upon the continuous supply of expendables from the original producer

It is *the* bottleneck. Target it
The funny thing with the GFM Steyr is that it is not even a large business. In 2021, its revenue was estimated at only 32,5 million euros. In 2022, it rose to 69,8 million (for obvious reasons). Yet, the Russian artillery industry is critically dependent upon this single company
First, the existing park of GFM Steyr machines requires a steady supply of parts and expendables to keep them running. Consider this one single SXP-55 radial forging machine operating at the Motovilikha Plants, a major artillery & MLRS producer
In April 2023, they purchased the following expendables for their GFM SXP-55 machine. This list gives an idea of:

1. Structure
2. Quantity

of supplies required to keep the stock forging the artillery & tank barrels running. You need details from the original Austrian producer Image
Second, you need GFM assistance to expand the production capacity. For example, Uralvagonzavod (the only Russian tank producer) is planning to launch a new GFM Steyr radial forging machine in March 2024

Why do you allow Austrians to keep building the Russian military machine? Image
1. A small (!) Austrian business plays a major role in keeping the Russian artillery industry afloat

2. Russian capacity to forge artillery & tank barrels relies on the GFM machines purchased in Soviet & Putin's times

3. GFM keeps supplying expendables & machines to Russia Image
Why don't you:

1. Protest at their HQ at Steyr?
2. Question their management, starting from their President & CEO Michael Kralowetz?
3. Contact the Austrian & EU authorities regarding why the GFM Steyr is still capable of supplying & expanding the Russian artillery industry?
This war is an artillery war. Every GFM shipment = your soldiers being torn into pieces. The Ukrainian civil society must take initiative and pressure the GFM Steyr to cease its shipments to the Russian military industry & its proxies

Small company -> easy to pressure

Do it Image
Here you can read more details & background for how a small Austrian business ended up as a major supplier of major military industrial complexes over the globe

kamilkazani.substack.com/p/why-does-the…

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More from @kamilkazani

Nov 4
There was never an "Islamic State of the Mamluks of Egypt". You just made it up

First, there was a Turkic State of the Turkic Mamluks

Then, there was a Circassian State of the Circassian Mamluks

In 1517, the King of Rome smashed Circassians and annexed Egypt into his empire
13-14th cc. - the Turkic State
14-16th cc. - the Circassian State
1517 - the Roman Conquest

Neither political realities, nor the political imagination of pre-modern polities had anything to do with an idea of nation state. Which was not even a thing before the French Revolution
Pre-history of pretty much any nation state is fictitious and largely made up. We describe very bizarre (from a modern standpoint) political orders and imaginations in a way they would make for a teleological nation state narrative

Purely political, nothing to do with reality
Read 4 tweets
Nov 2
75 years since the first partition, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is not over. Based on the last four weeks , we can only expect it to escalate, resulting in more mutual dehumanisation, more reciprocal violence, more of the previously uninvolved joining it on either side 🧵 Image
What kind of conflict it is?

Contrary to the popular opinion, this is not a war of religion. Religious or eschatological interpretations too often obfuscate the underlying reason of why it all happens

Territory

This is and has always been a territorial conflict Image
You will not understand dynamics of either the Arab-Jewish or Muslim-Jewish relations without realising the territorial nature of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict

Territorial conflict generates ideological justifications

Land is the base, ideology is the superstructure Image
Read 17 tweets
Nov 1
Loved this @LindseyGrahamSC interview

It shows why and how a Just War is logically equivalent to the Total War

1. As we fight a just war
2. Against the total evil
3. The war must have no limits, nor boundaries

It must be necessarily total, until the full annihilation
Image
Now, how often do we fight a Just War?

We always do

(as no side ever will say it fights an unjust one)

Consequently, neither of our wars can have limits or boundaries. The Just War argument logically excludes a possibility of limiting the war-related violence Image
And vice versa, if we wage a total war of the unlimited violence, the enemy must be also total, absolute

That is a Nazi

Consequently, mass indiscriminate killing of civilians will be almost invariably justified with the WWII references & allusions

Read 4 tweets
Oct 30
For context:

In the Russian Empire, Jews were not normally allowed to live east of the Pale of Settlement (red). While few privileged categories like rich merchants were allowed to settle in Russia proper, the absolute majority was locked to Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Lithuania
This however, applied only to the Western, Ashkenazi Jews

Bukhara Jews of modern Uzbekistan, Karaites of Crimea or foreign "Oriental" Jews were free from such limitations and could settle anywhere

Many Ashkenazi bought Ottoman passports specifically for this purpose Image
"My father was a Turkish subject and, therefore, I am a descendant of Janissaries. Who spared neither women, nor children, nor the underground millionaires"

has different meaning than it seems. It refers to the practice of buying the Ottoman passports for freedom of travel Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 27
Somehow we all get the idea of biomass pyramid

There's more plants than herbivores, more herbivores than carnivores etc. The lower trophic levels weigh more. And "more" means few orders of magnitude more

Perhaps, we need to introduce an idea of a technology chain pyramid 🧵
Image
Consumer goods would constitute the lowest trophic level. Which means, the largest level by far. There's just way more of them compared all the upper levels combined

This is also the only level of the technology chain visible to the general audience Image
"Everything produced in China" means "everything I buy is produced in China". And everything I buy means consumer goods

1. We see only the lowest trophic level of the technology chain
2. We notice it is dominated by the Chinese production
3. Voila, China produces everything Image
Read 23 tweets
Oct 27
Cheap navalnist demagoguery

If you want to undermine the Russian war efforts, you should focus on undermining its military production

This table gives you the very first and basic idea of where to start
Image
It is very important to understand that the market of machine components is significantly more concentrated than the market of machines. The latter tends to be dominated by small to medium producers. The formers tend to be monopolistic

There are very few suppliers

Target them
The American contempt to Europe is performative and exaggerated. If you are looking for the quality, military industry grade hardware, the European capacities and capabilities are absolutely unmatched

With the singular exception of Japan, no one in the world stands even close Image
Read 4 tweets

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