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Ulrich Elling Profile picture
@EllingUlrich
Nov 18 • 5 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Wir steuern auf eine der höchsten Covid-Wellen jemals zu.

Mit Ende der Rhino-Interferenz und Beginn der Kälte lange erwartet. Noch nicht von Pirola/JN.1 verursacht, wird aber auch kommen. Wir erwarten keine überfüllten Intensivstationen, aber sonst das Übliche... 1/2 Image
Selber Trend in mehreren Europäischen Ländern soweit Daten vorhanden. Wäre jetzt halt klug i) frisch geimpft zu sein ii) Maske zu tragen iii) Rücksicht zu nehmen.

Zur Erinnerung: Für Geimpfte gab es de facto keine Erstinfektion. Nein, Corona ist kein Schnupfen. 2/2
PS: z.B. Schweiz:
PPS: Erklärung bezüglich Rhino-Interferenz: Coronawellen kommen antizyklisch mit Schnupfen. Und die Schulanfangs-Rotznasen sind durch 😏

Daten aus den USA von syndromictrends.com
Image
PPPS: bevor man sich wieder überrascht gibt: die erste Omicron Welle traf eine Bevölkerung die frisch 3 mal geimpft war oder Delta genesen. Jetzt war lange Ruhe. Auch beim impfen.... (Dabei passt die Impfung gut auf die aktuellen Varianten.)
Also bitte nicht wundern!

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More from @EllingUlrich

Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Mar 31
🇦🇹 After 114 next generation sequencing runs without a single failed one and a total of 217 302 successfully sequenced SARS-CoV-2 samples this is the final SARSeq report for Austria. The pipeline was a very successful partnership of academia and the state of Austria.
1/
Set up within 2 weeks with @Lcochella, @yelagandula_ram and others in response to Alpha , @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw, @IMPvienna, and the Austrian Agency for Health and Food Safety @agesnews provided a great example of how science can contribute to society and emergency response.
2/
The pipeline circumvents NGS library generation steps and runs at a fraction of costs of standard sequencing. It was empowerd by the great service facilities on campus, foremost MolBio and VBCF ProTech and NGS. Thank you!!
cores.imp.ac.at/molecular-biol…
viennabiocenter.org/vbcf/
3/
Read 22 tweets
Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Mar 17
🇦🇹 Representative genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria week 11, 2023 across most regions. Current analysis includes samples until March 9th allowing faithful nowcasting. A collaboration of #AGES @agesnews and @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw.
1/6
With 2688 successfully sequenced samples this week Austria still has a remarkably good overview over the pandemic and become an international role model in surveillance.
2/6
Austria is past the XBB.1.5 peak and also EG.1 (a.k.a. XBB.1.9.2.1) will not mount another peak here. But we detected another two cases of XBB.1.16, which deserves close monitoring as only the latter, but not XBB.1.5, appears to result in growing incidences in India.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Mar 13
Today the intergovernmental panel on climate change is gathering. “The evidence has been clear, convincing and irrefutable. (…) We are at the tip of a tipping point.” Says Antonio Guterres, Secretary General of the United Nations, March 13th 2023
1/7
 un.org/sg/en/content/…
… But the Austrian chancellor just called it “Doomsday Madness” and points out that some “excellent authors” proof it to be a essentially a hoax.
2/7
After his frontal attack of science in context of the national covid-response essentially blaming lockdowns on the consulting experts just a few weeks back, this is the next incidence showing a deep ignorance and mistrust towards science.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Mar 9
🇦🇹 Representative genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria week 10, 2023 across most regions. Current analysis includes samples until March 3rd allowing faithful nowcasting. A collaboration of #AGES @agesnews and @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw.
1/4 Image
Based on reported case numbers at least, XBB.1.5 appears to have passed it’s peak. This trend is less obvious but also seen in wastewater, see page 10 in the link below:
corona-ampel.gv.at/sites/corona-a…
2/4 Image
Extrapolated absolute case numbers also illustrate the reduced growth. Truly a good sign if the trend holds! Other countries are presumably a bit behind with XBB.1.5, so important to see the trend changing. In Austria relative share of XBB.1.5 is at ~69% currently.
3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Feb 24
🇦🇹 Representative genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria week 8, 2023 across all regions. Current analysis includes samples until February 15th allowing faithful nowcasting. A collaboration of #AGES @agesnews and @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw.
1/4 Image
XBB.1.5 continues to grow and makes up ~60% of cases now in nowcasting. Shown here are the relative fractions within the total reported (!) cases.
2/4 Image
In quantitative sewage monitoring the situation looks very different. The level of detected SARS-CoV-2 appears to be near the values of last year at this time. Infection risk is thus very high currently and hospitalizations are also increasing.
3/4
 abwassermonitoring.at/dashboard/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Ulrich Elling Profile picture
Feb 17
🇦🇹 Representative genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria week 7, 2023 across all regions. Current analysis includes samples until February 8th allowing faithful nowcasting, sample numbers dropping though. A collaboration of #AGES @agesnews and @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw.
1/6
Current significant growth in incidence is almost exclusively due to XBB.1.5, that reached >50% of cases now.
2/6
Only very few other lineages continue to show growth in absolute numbers as visualized when extrapolating shares of lineages to absolute reported numbers.
3/6
Read 6 tweets

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