Rahul Punia Profile picture
Nov 26, 2023 19 tweets 6 min read Read on X
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How I built my trading system from scratch ? Full credit goes to @PradeepBonde @Qullamaggie @RichardMoglen one thing I love most about Pradeep and Kris they want to teach you how to trade by doing deep study. I did my Deep study on market from 1999 to 2023
Read full🙏
The Rule by @LarryDHite,
Miracle of love by Ram Dass, these two books completely changed my life. In this thread I'm sharing problems that I faced in trading and how I found solutions of these problems?
Long story short I started trading in 2020 not lying I want quick money 🤣
I did every mistake which is possible in trading , read newspaper , Test every style of trading dip buying, intraday long/short, breakout, pullback,Ep ,reversal,bounce on ema etc. but got no result account was going down day by day . Image
After that I read some William o Neil, Minervini, chris kacher,miachel covel, Jack D Schwager,Darvas books. Then I choose o neil style buy some strong techno-funda. RS rating , Group Rank stocks ,Stop-loss 8% but again same story no results. Image
Then I read every tweet of minervini and analyze every stock chart. After that I built some confidence and started buying breakouts with all money in one stock because I was trying to recover from loses as quickly as possible, but again got no results. Image
God knows how I found Qullamaggie on internet and started trading Ep, parabolic short in indian market 🤣 again same result loss going on . But then I realized I need deep studies if I want to make money from market. and then these words from Qullamaggie mouth changed my life Image
and I never look back again started diving deep in market . Every time I feel depressed I watch this clip again & again I still listen this everyday . same concept on stockbee blog you need to analyze 5000charts no shortcuts.
I built a chart database from 1999 to 2022 but again same problem not getting results I improved my trading little bit but not much. then again in very detail manner I analyze market from 2015 to 2022 . what's the story behind move /earnings / volume.
and I quickly realized o neil works doesn't work anymore . Now news story works in market . Ep /parabolic short doesn't works in indian market .
Now I'm getting results but lack of Situational awareness so then again I did this study when breakout works when not ?
Again I started my Deep study from 1999 to 2014 analyze news,story ,calculate earnings manually. And realize it's same things over and over
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Next problem is leaders vs laggard in sector . so again 🤣 I analyze lots of market cycles leaders have some common characteristics Gap up on High volume , highly Liquid ,news,story
Quality Breakouts problem - I'm focusing only on right side of the base and buying breakouts Stop-loss hitting day by day. and again I did study on chart and realize left side is also very important because if move on left side is not linear we can't expect good after breakout
Next problem is how to find emerging theme ? For this problem I use ivanhoff/stockbee concepts when lots of stock giving 4% breakout on high volume or hitting 1 month high from one sector that's means theme is emerging.
every week I study 15% Move in a week. from this I quickly examine which sector is leading. So now I have system-
How to find leading Theme?
Story matters more than earnings
When to buy breakouts?
now again where to put Stop-loss?
I use LOD , I'm not using it randomly
I also did deep dive on this and build 5min chart database on 1200 breakouts . and analyze strong breakouts never visit LOD again.
Risk management - No more than 1% of the total account on any one trade . sell half after 3days , ride with 20ema very simple no complication. Image
@swing_ka_sultan did a great job on market breadth sheet and after that I study very hard and built some long term overbought/oversold zone for our market . which I don't want to share with anyone. I did it manually.
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Now its all about giving back to the community.youtube.com/@TheTrendFollo…
I also learn lots of concepts from these traders. @mwebster1971 52wk high
@RaiTrades HVE/HV1/HVIPO
RIP @KevinMarder his simplicity in trading and position sizing Image

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More from @itrendfollower

Feb 6, 2025
Thread
How to trade in bear market?🐻
Down -20% from the high is the traditional definition of bear market.
First of all bear market is normal, it's a part of market cycle.
After bull market there is always a bear market/ time correction.
In long term market is a one way street📈 Image
So don't be sad, this bear market is also going to be end sooner or later because that's how market is structured.

Mean Reversion is the structural tendency of the market that's why market made tops and bottoms.

So main Q. is how to trade in bear market?
Lets dive deep into the 2022 bear market👁️

Average duration of the Indian bear market is 8 to 13Months.
TOP 19OCT.2021
BOTTOM 20JUNE 2022

So if you analyze big winner from top to bottom, only handful of stock are up 100%+ Image
Read 17 tweets
Oct 18, 2023
Thread
How to avoid correction/bear market with leading stocks ? Lots of legendary traders use this approach @Upticken @RaiTrades @markminervini @MarkRitchie_II @dryan310 @mwebster1971 @TraderLion_
Is it works in Indian market?
#BiggestWinnersOfIndia MAP ON NSE500 CHART
THE ANS. IS YES WE CAN AVOID CORRECTION /BEAR MARKET WITH THIS APPROACH.
keep in mind we can't time exact top , this is the process of several weeks.
Total stocks 150 2015 TO 2022
WHITE LETTERS = BREAKOUTS
YELLOW LETTERS= CLOSE BELOW 20EMA
RED LETTERS = CLOSE BELOW 65EMA
2015 BEAR MARKET
when market leaders closing below his 20ema
and new quality breakouts stops coming in market. this is a sign of short term top in market . check below chart:- Image
Read 11 tweets
Sep 26, 2023
A LONG THREAD
#BiggestWinnersOfIndia DEEP DIVE ON 125STOCKS WHICH ARE UP 100%+ IN A YEAR
-COMMON CHARACTERISTICS
-HV1/HVE/HVIPO @RaiTrades @TraderLion_ EDGE
-ATH STOCKS
-52WK HIGH STOCKS @mwebster1971
-EP @PradeepBonde @Qullamaggie EDGE
-NEWS EP
-FUNDAMENTALS
-EPS/SALES
HV1/HVE/HVIPO RAI SAID NOT EVERY BIG WINNING STOCK HAS THESE CHARACTERISTICS BUT 70%HAS. AND IT ALSO TRUE IN INDIAN MARKET AS WELL . 67 STOCKS OUT OF 125 HAS HV1/HVIPO/HVE. BUT MOST OF THE STOCK HV1/HVE COME AFTER EARNINGS RELEASE / BIG ORDERS NEWS .
IN BEAR MARKET IF YOU ONLY USE THESE CHARACTERISTICS COMBINING WITH NEWS/EARNINGS INSTEAD OF SIMPLE BREAKOUT STUPS YOU CAN INCREASE YOUR WINRATE. BELOW ARE THE SOME EXAMPLES:
2015 BEAR MARKET
#CHENNPETRO 106% IN 40DAYS . HVE ON Q4 EARNINGS Image
Read 21 tweets
Sep 3, 2023
@KiranBhosale007 TURNED 14L INTO 2.5CR IN 3YRS. A GREAT INSPIRATIONAL SUCCESS STORY .
HE TRADE ONLY IN STOCKS.
HE BUY STOCK WHICH ARE CLOSE TO 52WK HIGH WITH STRONG FUNDAMENTALS. AND BREAKING OUT FROM VCP/CUP&HANDLE /PULLBACK .
BELOW ALL OF HIS BIGGEST WINNING STOCK ANALYSIS
#AARTIDRUGS 1ST MULTIBAGGER OF KIRAN BHAI 450% IN 85DAYS Image
#NEULANDLAB 181% IN 91DAYS Image
Read 5 tweets

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