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Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
@delfoo
Dec 4 • 13 tweets • 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Rostekh has announced a plan to increase bulletproof vests production at its Tula factor Oktava by an order of magnitude, until recently it was producing 2000 units per quarter. 2000 PER QUARTER in 2023.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379545
Revenue of Russian companies was halved for the first half of 2023, yet their profit grew by 31% for the period. Since this is dominated by state companies there likely has been a clamp down on corruption to some extent
kommersant.ru/doc/6379166
A record 71,1 million square meters of newly built real estate hasn't been sold. A side effect of the interest rate making mortgages unattractive to Russians while the luxury housing segment is doing fine.

rbc.ru/business/04/12…
Sales of new cars grew 59% for the first 10 months of 2023. 49,5% of the sales being of domestically produced. AvtoVAZ reports its sales for November grew by 65.9% While growth is expected to continue so is the increase of prices.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379305
kommersant.ru/doc/6379732
A blast from the past there's a draft law that envisions a tax for childless Russians. The impact on childbirth of similar laws has been minimal in the past.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379401
There's a shortaged of qualified staff in 85% of Russian companies. This however is also at the same time as there's an increase in companies planning layoffs. The low unemployment in an economy reliant on a lot of migrant labour will lead to slowdown.
rbc.ru/economics/04/1…
Russian are moving away from Moscow and settling in Moscow region due to a 40% difference in housing prices.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379420
According to a recent survey most Russians are against a total ban on abortion.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379446
As part of the ongoing shortage of chicken and eggs which is impacting their prices several ministries have been instructed to take measures to lower the prices by December 19th.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379521
Russian chemical company Fosagro is planning to increase its production by 1,4 million tons by 2026, in 2023 however there's only been a 5% increase to a total of 3 million and 63 thousand tons. Its production is mainly fertilizers.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379583
There's been a 19,1 percent increase in the number of issued passports for Russians for the first ten months of the year rising from 4,1 million to 4,9.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379559
The ministry of Agriculture rejected the claims that there's a 20% increase in the price of dumplings and salami.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379623
Specific instruction will be given to Russian exporters by the Central Bank on how to handle foreign currency to reduce the pressure on the rouble and to limit the amount of currency held in third countries.
kommersant.ru/doc/6379635

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More from @delfoo

Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Nov 24
Here's what the data I gathered on the more recently missing Russian soldiers says about their age and composition, they're older, they're more likely to be ex-convicts and mobilised men and the intake of young volunteers is remarkably low:

Image
Image
Image
There's a myth going around that there's a steady intake in contractees, but the data doesn't support it. The numbers Medvedev talks about appear to be fictional and training is next to non-existant given the time from signing to being in combat.
The data suggests things are getting worse, not better in regards to the manpower of the Russian armed forces.
Read 4 tweets
Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Oct 1
Did a tally of the posts where relatives are searching for Russian soldiers who've gone missing on telegram. These posts provide more info than just KIA notices. Will run them through Power BI when I have some more time but here's what's immediately interesting.
Units that were thrown in Bakhmut in general or Klesheevka/ Andreevka in particular: Image
Out of those I can say based on this batch alone that the 1008th regiment is spoken about in the past sense. The dates when communication was lost in this batch start from as early as 8th of may and end as late as 22nd of September ( when it's posted that the 1008th is no more).
Read 4 tweets
Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Sep 21
The world's second largest oil producer had to ban gasoline and diesel exports because of domestic shortage.
And everyone saw it coming from a mile away :
kommersant.ru/doc/6162047
But we got to a ban on exports likely because the issue reached Patrushev junior who escalated to Patrushev senior, who has ready access to Putin which forced the Presidential administration to intervene in the least delicate manner possible.
kommersant.ru/doc/6210089
It doesn't fix the issue with the need of Russian oil producers to earn USD via oil exports and distilates and it doesn't adjust the domestic prices to cover losses of subsidies and the weakened rouble. Technically Rosneft was created to ensure domestic supply at all times.
Read 7 tweets
Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Jun 11
I had anxiety before the offensive regarding Ukraine's chances, I could have missed something or overestimated something else. But I wanted to go through the process of reviewing what we know about the state of the Russian troops and what they could accomplish.
Ru troops we have seen are unable to hold ground under even moderately concentrated shelling. Some units will withstand that but the bulk that's formed recently seem unable to do so. We're also aware that portions of the front are held by nearly immobile units of mobilized men.
We can ponder why Kamaz's 44-45000 production figures for 2021 and 2021 didn't result in a noticeable mobility increase vs 2020 and 2019s 37-38000 vehicles. Caveats, 16 K of those are tractors and buses, 5-6 000 are long distance haulers K4-K5.
Read 11 tweets
Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Feb 16
Because I have seen the news of the death of the chief financial officer of the Russian Western Military district I want to say something regarding such deaths.
fontanka.ru/2023/02/16/720…
Some of the people in Russia jumping out of windows are jumping out of windows because they're about to be caught red handed, not because they've been caught. The state is perfectly capable of killing them in SIZO or torturing them afterwards in SHIZO.
It's plausible that her nerves broke once she figured out that decades long scams are about to come to light and she's not high enough to be afforded a golder parachute or amnesty for her loyalty. We have seen plenty of mid level officials who have been detained and arrested.
Read 4 tweets
Stanimir Dobrev Profile picture
Oct 14, 2022
I don't think the loss of Kherson west of the Dnipro river would be as beneficial to Russia as imagined in terms of shortening the front-line.
First, as military historians like to point out , the line is shorter for both sides.
Second, sometimes the built up areas are important to hold for the sake of their built up characteristics. The bigger the town, the more suitable the housing is for quartering troops.
A partial reason for the Russian success in the south was the capture of actual stores and the regional civilian logistics network for food, fuel and intermediate depots for storage.
Read 13 tweets

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