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@GregTSargent
Dec 10, 2023 • 9 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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This @DouthatNYT column urges Biden to accept an immigration deal with Republicans. But the piece largely erases GOP agency, not engaging with the ways the GOP itself is an obstacle to any deal. 1/

nytimes.com/2023/12/09/opi…
Rs want to gut Biden’s parole programs. But these provide an orderly alternative to seeking asylum at the border. Conservatives who want a deal should admit this demand is extreme and unreasonable. 2/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
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Rs want to give POTUS authority (i.e. Trump 2025) to end asylum. We all know Stephen Miller/MAGA are *the* obstacle to any deal that doesn’t slash legal immigration. Look at these demands! 3/

politico.com/news/2023/12/0…

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.@DouthatNYT cites a new paper to argue higher migration makes voters more conservative. He says the issue declined in salience during the Trump years (because he slowed migration), helping Biden win in 2020. I want to suggest a complicating factor.

First, here's Douthat: 4/
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@DouthatNYT President Trump's polling on immigration was awful even when another crisis made the issue salient. Contra @DouthatNYT, here's my explanation for how it plays for voters: 5/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…

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I don't claim the issue is good for Dems. It does hurt, especially now. But why did many leading restrictionist candidates lose in 2022? Yes, abortion, but still, those writing on this issue should engage w/the fact that it often isn't *that much* of a silver bullet for Rs. 6/
What does it mean that all eight senators in the key southwest states (AZ NV NM CO), ones where immigration is a big issue, now caucus with Dems, after Biden won all four in 2020?

It’s time to stop using 2016 as the only touchstone here. 7/
Biden’s $ ask = billions in border security, more detention, faster asylum processing, which Rs should like. Yes, Biden should want a deal. But Ds agree! They too want something done! 8/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
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I’ll go further: Ds should make more concessions. A real compromise is available. To those who demand Ds act on the issue: Do you see something like this below as acceptable? 9/9

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…

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More from @GregTSargent

. Profile picture
Jul 7
Vile: Mike Johnson now says GOP might try to undo birthright citizenship with legislation, which is unconstitutional. I've noticed a pattern: He and Vance are using shifty language to sell this as a trivial reform. The threat is alive. 1/

(new piece)
newrepublic.com/article/212747…
JD Vance says GOP will close the "loophole" created by birthright citizenship. Johnson is floating a mere "legislative fix." They're using language designed to make this sound like a tweak, a small thing, when it would be seismic and hugely toxic. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/212747…Image
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In theory, GOP can pass legislation restricting birthright citizenship. As of now four SCOTUS justices would likely uphold it. You can see them passing something that might fail, similar to how Roe's foes chipped away for many years before succeeding. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/212747…Image
Read 8 tweets
. Profile picture
Jun 17
Elon Musk's incitement of pogroms in Belfast reveals he'll use his immense wealth and influence to foment untold fascist violence in the future. Only a global movement can break his power.

New piece from @PolPhilPod and me. Threading highlights below. 1/
newrepublic.com/article/211936…
Musk helping incite fascist violence abroad even as he became a trillionaire illustrates the future he really wants. He seems to envision something like a multi-continental, Armageddon-like Total War in defense of white peoples against "invaders." 2/

newrepublic.com/article/211936…Image
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We looked at some of Musk's recent language and tropes. They're getting more fascistic. He's endorsed the concept of "Reconquista" and is flirting heavily with the idea that isolated crimes by immigrants reveal a deeper genocidal intent toward whites. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/211936…Image
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Read 8 tweets
. Profile picture
May 1
NEWS --> Dem can redraw anywhere from 10-22 additional House seats for the party in time for the 2028 elections if they aggressively redistrict in 7 key states, a new Fair Fight Action report finds.

This would offset GOP post-SCOTUS advantage.

New piece:
newrepublic.com/article/209830…
Dems can redraw 10 additional House seats for 2028 just in New York, Colorado, Oregon and Maryland, the new Fair Fight Action analysis finds. That's if Dems don't flip *any* state legislatures this cycle.

newrepublic.com/article/209830…Image
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If Dems can flip a few state legislative chambers in places like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota this cycle, a path opens to redrawing up to 22 additional House seats in time for 2028, the analysis finds.

If Dems have a good midterm that's doable.

newrepublic.com/article/209830…Image
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Read 6 tweets
. Profile picture
Apr 20
News --> Paramount, Meta, and X won't say what happened to their huge donations to Trump's presidential library after Sen Elizabeth Warren raised questions about its fund getting dissolved. Dems say tens of millions remain unaccounted for.

Details here:
newrepublic.com/article/209254…
First, let's note that the Trump library saga combines the worse of his imperial presidency all in one: his use of lawsuits to extort private entities for tribute; his garishly awful decorative and architectural taste; and his Nero-scale megalomania.

newrepublic.com/article/209254…Image
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After the companies settled with Trump in his shakedown lawsuits, the money was pledged to his presidential library. But the fund was then dissolved. Senate Dems asked the companies where the money went. They have now replied. I obtained their answers:

newrepublic.com/article/209254…Image
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Read 5 tweets
. Profile picture
Apr 7
If Trump bombs Iran power plants, the humanitarian crisis will be horrific. Experts predict water shortages, closed hospitals, many deaths.

“We’ve never had a US president so proudly promise to commit war crimes," Sen Chris Murphy says. 1/

(new piece)
newrepublic.com/article/208709…
This is how to do it. Sen Chris Murphy tells me:

"Everybody in that chain of command has to think hard about whether they want to be part of the execution of that order."

He predicts bombing Iran power plants/bridges will kill thousands at outset. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/208709…Image
Trump's threat to bomb "every" power plant in Iran is the key. That leaves no doubt he's threatening war crimes. The threat to destroy "a whole civilization" only hammers it home.

The key is what happens in the aftermath of bombing all those plants. 3/

newrepublic.com/article/208709…Image
Read 8 tweets
. Profile picture
Mar 30
Pete Hegseth just held a prayer service in which he appealed for God's help in killing our "enemies" with maximal violence and brutality. Hegseth's bloodlust and sadism are drawing sustenance from his brand of far-right Christianity. 1/

(new piece)
newrepublic.com/article/208322…
In his prayer, Hegseth asked for divine assistance in unleashing "overwhelming violence of action against those who deserve no mercy."

By now it's become unmistakable that Hegseth is practically oozing with bloodlust. There are many examples of this. 2/

newrepublic.com/article/208322…Image
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Hegseth appears to be a devotee of Christian Reconstructionism. As one religious scholar notes, this posits that "all authority belongs to God," which renders the state’s authority wholly subordinate to a "higher category of Biblical law." 3/

newrepublic.com/article/208322…Image
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Read 7 tweets

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