Greg Sargent Profile picture
Dec 10 9 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
This @DouthatNYT column urges Biden to accept an immigration deal with Republicans. But the piece largely erases GOP agency, not engaging with the ways the GOP itself is an obstacle to any deal. 1/

nytimes.com/2023/12/09/opi…
Rs want to gut Biden’s parole programs. But these provide an orderly alternative to seeking asylum at the border. Conservatives who want a deal should admit this demand is extreme and unreasonable. 2/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
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Rs want to give POTUS authority (i.e. Trump 2025) to end asylum. We all know Stephen Miller/MAGA are *the* obstacle to any deal that doesn’t slash legal immigration. Look at these demands! 3/

politico.com/news/2023/12/0…

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.@DouthatNYT cites a new paper to argue higher migration makes voters more conservative. He says the issue declined in salience during the Trump years (because he slowed migration), helping Biden win in 2020. I want to suggest a complicating factor.

First, here's Douthat: 4/
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@DouthatNYT President Trump's polling on immigration was awful even when another crisis made the issue salient. Contra @DouthatNYT, here's my explanation for how it plays for voters: 5/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…

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I don't claim the issue is good for Dems. It does hurt, especially now. But why did many leading restrictionist candidates lose in 2022? Yes, abortion, but still, those writing on this issue should engage w/the fact that it often isn't *that much* of a silver bullet for Rs. 6/
What does it mean that all eight senators in the key southwest states (AZ NV NM CO), ones where immigration is a big issue, now caucus with Dems, after Biden won all four in 2020?

It’s time to stop using 2016 as the only touchstone here. 7/
Biden’s $ ask = billions in border security, more detention, faster asylum processing, which Rs should like. Yes, Biden should want a deal. But Ds agree! They too want something done! 8/

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
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I’ll go further: Ds should make more concessions. A real compromise is available. To those who demand Ds act on the issue: Do you see something like this below as acceptable? 9/9

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…

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More from @ThePlumLineGS

Dec 5
It's become undeniable that Trump has a clear path to full-blown authoritarian rule in the United States.

This has led some to predict that a Trump dictatorship is inevitable.

However, I think this level of fatalism is a serious mistake. 1/

(free link)
wapo.st/3t2SsUG
Yes, things look very bleak. Trump is very competitive in polls, despite:

*Facing multiple criminal indictments
*Openly drawing up a blueprint for autocracy
*Vowing to jail political opponents
*Threatening mass persecution of "vermin" voters

2/

wapo.st/3t2SsUG

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Some argue that the American people appear ready to submit to autocracy, that our institutions are ripe for a takeover.

But again and again, voters have stepped up to defend democracy. Our national response to Trump's coup was actually pretty good. 3/

wapo.st/3t2SsUG

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Read 8 tweets
Nov 29
People should be absolutely infuriated by the extreme demands that Republicans are making in exchange for supporting Ukraine aid.

Their bad faith is off the charts. I have some ugly new details on what's really going on in these talks. 1/

(free link)
wapo.st/3R3lH1A
The media is not sufficiently conveying what Republicans are demanding in these talks.

First, the press keeps saying they want "changes" to Biden's parole programs.

It's worse than this. Sources tell me they're trying to gut those programs entirely. 2/

wapo.st/3R3lH1A

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Gutting parole is about reducing *legal* immigration. Paroling migrants into the US provides an *alternative* to showing up at the border.

Yet Republicans keep calling this "border security," and press accounts keep letting them get away with it. 3/

wapo.st/3R3lH1A

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Read 8 tweets
Nov 22
It's bad enough that Texas AG Ken Paxton and Stephen Miller are floating investigations and prosecutions of Media Matters to protect Elon Musk.

Worse, this is a preview of exactly what Trump allies are vowing to do if he regains power. 1/

(free link)
wapo.st/3GcdvXZ
It's ugly how fast Republicans snapped into "prosecute Media Matters" mode to protect their favorite billionaire oligarch. See the Missouri AG and Mike Davis, possibly Trump's next AG.

This is the kind of lawyer Trump allies want for a second term. 2/
wapo.st/3GcdvXZ

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Musk's case against Media Matters is pretty weak, even if you take his argument seriously, as I tried to do here.

The simple fact of the matter is that juxtapositions of ads with far right extremist content can and do happen. 3/

wapo.st/3GcdvXZ

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Read 5 tweets
Nov 17
Big news out of Michigan: Gov Gretchen Whitmer is set to sign bills transitioning the state to 100% clean electricity by 2040.

Crucially, the bills have strong labor standards. This is how to get working people behind the green transition. 1/

(free link)
wapo.st/3sJ6x9C
Climate change can inflame tensions in the Dem coalition. But in Michigan, union officials tell me that after long negotiations, the package transitioning to 100% clean electricity ended up pleasing green activists *and* labor.

That's remarkable. 2/

wapo.st/3sJ6x9C


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This pro-labor clean electricity package in Michigan comes even as UAW is ratifying its contracts with automakers, which will cover many EV workers.

This is a heartening moment for the imperative of giving workers a stake in the green transition. 3/

wapo.st/3sJ6x9C

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Read 4 tweets
Nov 14
Trump's plans for giant detention camps, a new Muslim ban and mass expulsions of millions is a test.

Trump and Stephen Miller are testing the public's willingness to accept an agenda built on white nationalist sadism. 1/

(free link)
wapo.st/3FWshSD
It's extraordinary that Trump's advisers would openly advertise plans that are way more extreme than what Trump did as president. They think disapproval of Biden on immigration gives them an opening to sell the public on unrestrained nativist savagery. 2/

wapo.st/3FWshSD


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The border is a big problem for Biden. But don't forget: Big majorities also disapproved of Trump on the issue, opposing his "solutions" even during migrant surges.

Enough of the weird collective amnesia about this.

All presidents face this problem. 3/

wapo.st/3FWshSD


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Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
Don't overlook this: The big victory in Virginia isn't just about abortion. It also shows that the reactionary "parents rights" nonsense has utterly fizzled.

I talked to Dems on the ground about how the right is alienating voters. 1/

free link
wapo.st/3Qnas3G
Strikingly, more than $5.5 million was spent on ads about education in the Virginia legislative contests. Some GOP candidates modeled their campaigns on Youngkin's successful "parents rights" campaign of 2021.

This time it didn't work out too well. 2/

wapo.st/3Qnas3G

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One winner, Schuyler VanValkenburg, ran an ad that should be required viewing for Dems. Rather than ducking the book ban fight, he turned it into a high-minded debate over free inquiry by curious kids.

A sharp contrast with GOP "grooming" smears. 3/

wapo.st/3Qnas3G

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Read 6 tweets

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