Thread by @SteveDeaceShow

With the release of the latest Iowa Poll, and the Caucuses now just 35 days away, I think it is time to have a blunt conversation about the state of things. Not just Iowa, but beyond. And I'm going to tell you what I really think, because that's what I do.

And therefore, I'm not sure anybody is going to like it, but that's just my way lol.

The main goal here is not Iowa but defeating the Demoncrats 329 days from today. I have never said that before, but this time I am convinced the country cannot survive another four years of this combined manifestation of corruption, evil, and idiocy.

I started off the cycle saying there are 3 proven disrupter candidates: DeSantis, RFK Jr, and Trump. That is why they're the only three candidates I have profiled. That is why they're the only three candidates I can morally justify voting for.

Everyone else is either a proven product of the system (corporatism vs paganism) like Haley, or unproven like Vivek. Right now, my focus is DeSantis and Trump, because they're engaged in a primary. Later, I'll focus more on independent RFK Jr when we get to the general.

IMO, DeSantis is the much stronger general election candidate. The Florida results speak for themselves, both on election night and day-to-day governing. And frankly I don't even think it is close.

However, according to muh polls, GOP primary voters believe Trump is the stronger candidate. We will start voting in just 35 days and those results will speak for themselves, but I truly believe both Trump & DeSantis have a potentially fatal psyop to overcome.

And if they don't overcome this potentially fatal pysop, as I said on my show a week ago, neither of them will win the presidency 329 days from now --regardless of how much any of us need/want them to. Let's start with Trump.

84 days from today it is VERY LIKELY that Trump is going to be put on trial as an insurrectionist in front of the star chamber the DC gulag calls a jury there. Yet, if you talk to the average Trump operative/voter, they each still act as if this event is not going to occur.

Or they're convinced it's all a scam like Russian Collusion and will go away. Make no mistake, it is a scam, but it is not going away. These people seriously plan to convict and incarcerate Trump, as they have many of his supporters -- both violent and non-violent -- for Jan 6th.

No one is coming to save Trump this time like Barr did from the endless Mueller Probe. Trump just lost another appeal attempt to delay post 2024 last week. I think it is at least 80% that trial is going to start on March 4th, or the day before Super Tuesday, as planned.

That is because the Democrats are hopeful their psyop to get GOP primary voters to rally around the persecuted Trump will pay off, and right as he is the presumptive GOP nominee they put him on trial as what amounts to a traitor.

And then after a month or two of slanted testimony, that occupies all of our attention and resources instead of defeating Democrats, they have a conviction. Following said conviction, blue SOSs begin questioning the ballot access of an "insurrectionist" and "convicted felon."

There are blue SOSs in places like Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, where we must win next November. This will produce months more of legal challenges, which will also be the focus instead of beating Democrats.

Much of 2024 will be spent turning the GOP into a legal defense fund instead of a GOTV operation. This will have major ramifications down ballot as well. And if you look at actual special election/off-year results rather than muh polls, the 2023 GOP got collectively crushed.

What is Team Trump's answer for this? Do they have a plan? When will we know the plan? What is the backup plan for running from prison or nominating a felon? What is the contingency if SCOTUS doesn't save Trump from trial in March, or ballot access challenges later?

These are questions we all deserve answer to before entrusting our collective fates here. Because the whole country loses if Trump 2024 loses, just as it lost when he wasn't recognized as the winner in 2020.

Which brings me to DeSantis.

For him the primary polling psyop marches on. Today's Iowa Poll wants us to believe he has the exact same amount of total support he had before he got the endorsement of the most popular elected official so far this century. Um, ok.

And that his numbers haven't moved at all after a slew of celebrated events, like the recent Newsom debate, which drew over a million more viewers than Trump's did on the same channel/timeslot a week later.

Except I warned of this, remember, but nobody listened.

I've said it on my show. I've told everyone I know in the DeSantis camp, the public numbers were never gonna move. Because they are a psyop. Today's Iowa Poll gave Trump both a 30-point lead, but also said half the electorate is willing to change its mind.

Come on, man.

However, you can scream psyop all you want, but without a counter narrative a psyop becomes narrative. We didn't defeat the Covid psyop because we didn't have a counter-narrative, but because we did. People like me found real data to counter the BS being peddled.

Sooner or later a psyop unchallenged becomes conventional wisdom. And I am telling you now, without an effective counter narrative I do not believe DeSantis will win Iowa, let alone the nomination or this election.

I also don't understand the strategy of having the least amount of money spent on the frontrunner and expecting to beat him, but that's a topic for another day. Because the real issue isn't strategy but the psyop being waged since the first indictment in March.

That March indictment in Manhattan not coincidentally created a polling paradigm shift of rallying around Trump. It's right there in the RCP average, go and trace it for yourself.

MORE...

The system doesn't want a sane, mature, ruthlessly efficient reformer. It doesn't want ANY reformer, but if the choice is the mercurial and narcissistic Trump who doesn't sweat the details, or a DeSantis, it will choose Trump. And it has.

The DeSantis campaign, IMO, must address this or it will lose IMO. Sure, its superior ground game can make up ground on game day. And that typically happens in Iowa, as I pointed out here:

https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1733123125586325637

But there is only so much ground a ground game can make up, especially because this cycle the muh polls psyop is far more merciless than those years. And the opponent is also stronger and more popular, too.

In conclusion, I just want what's left of America to win 329 days from now. I obviously think DeSantis is the superior general, this campaign has only reinforced my belief there, but I'm ultimately fighting for the American flag not a political brand.