I’m calling BS on a narrative that’s become widespread: The idea that liberals hope the 14th amendment is the “magical cure-all” that finishes Trump once and for all.
This narrative is everywhere. It’s often meant to imply that there’s something delusional or escapist about taking the Colorado ruling and the 14th amendment question seriously.
But that's ridiculous. This claim is even actively bad and destructive in civic terms. 2/
People saying this have many motives. Some leftists suggest Dems feel they can’t beat Trump electorally and want to avoid owning their own political failures. Some on the right imply liberals want to evade reckoning with the authentic populist underpinning of Trump's support. 3/
All this is absurd. Liberals/Dems organized and beat Trump and his movement in three straight national elections (in 2022 it’s a bit more mixed but still). Sneer about “the Resistance” all you want, but on-the-ground organizing has been central to the story of Trump’s defeats. 4/
There is nothing inherently escapist in taking the 14A question seriously. Many liberals fully recognize the need to defeat Trump politically *while also* wanting the law and Constitution to apply to Trump.
These positions are in fact perfectly consistent with one another. 5/
Whether Trump committed insurrection under the Constitution, and what to do about it, is obviously a legitimately contested question. Ironically, the real evasion here is declaring he self-evidently didn’t commit insurrection and then handwaving this away as a settled matter. 6/
I agree with @jonathanchait that ruling Trump invalid could produce dangerous consequences. It's possible this case isn't unambiguous enough for such a fraught step. 7/
But this alone can’t settle the question. No one can honestly read the Baude/Paulsen paper and deny Trump *really might* be disqualified under a reasonable reading of history and the law.
This is inconvenient, because it means there’s no easy civic answer to this matter. 8/
It's said loss of faith in institutions gave us Trump. But via @brianbeutler, a SCOTUS ruling for him would arguably *undermine* its institutional integrity. MAGA voters' feelings can't be controlling here. 9/
@brianbeutler Indeed, as @dahlialithwick notes, the Colorado court's handling of this matter has arguably demonstrated more institutional integrity than SCOTUS itself has been showing of late. 10/
Trump is consciously trying to *destroy* faith in our electoral institutions by conditioning his movement to reject election losses as illegitimate. It’s perverse to argue that the way to restore faith in our institutions is to let Trump try to wreck them with impunity. 11/
Elections and democracy require underlying rules of political competition. Those are often litigated by courts. Perhaps no rule is more fundamental than the requirement that you accept that competition’s outcome and not try to negate it illegally and with mob violence. 12/
Aren't there civic dangers in NOT enforcing that rule? Any serious reckoning with this matter requires grappling with those dangers, too. Failing to factor them in as well deprives the American people of the debate they need. 13/
I don't claim to know the right legal answer here. And yes, SCOTUS will probably find a legal rationale to side with Trump.
But nonetheless, dismissing all this as a self-evidently easy call simply won’t do. 14/
Our institutions might even benefit from wrestling with the question of whether Trump’s efforts to destroy our system disqualify him from seeking such awesome powers within it. Our system can handle this. 15/
All this is to say that expecting the courts to apply the law and Constitution to Trump is not a negation or evasion of democracy. It’s an affirmation of it.
This position holds that American democracy *is good* and as such, its rules must be upheld. 16/
Trump rejects that principle at its core.
If the courts legitimately determine Trump committed insurrection (which is at least arguable) and effectively conclude the prohibition on trying to destroy lawful constitutional government invalidates his candidacy, then so be it. 17/17
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News --> The commander who oversaw Pete Hegseth's alleged killing of two boat bombing survivors is now likely to come in and face questions from House Armed Services Committee, ranking Dem Adam Smith tells me.
Pete Hegseth denies he gave the order to kill them all. But even some Republicans now appear to be demanding answers, so Frank Bradley, who oversaw bombings, is in talks with House Armed Services about coming in.
NEWS --> BBC confirms to me that they did edit a line out of historian @rcbregman's speech. It called Trump "the most openly corrupt president in US history."
BBC also confirms this was done on the advice of lawyers. So Trump's threats worked.
Today @rcbregman posted a transcript of his Reith Lecture showing that the version that BBC aired removed the line about Trump's world-historical corruption.
BBC emailed me: "we made the decision to remove one sentence from the lecture on legal advice.”
@rcbregman Trump is the most corrupt president in US history, and the openness of his corruption is an essential feature of it. It's extra bad that this comes as the Defense Department punishes Sen Mark Kelly for correctly warning against breaking illegal orders.
Remarkable: Rep Chrissy Houlahan, one of the Dems Trump called for executing, tells me her office literally filled out a Capitol Police threat report listing "the president" as the person making the threat.
One reason she and other Dems did the video about Trump's illegal orders is that they're hearing from inside the military and intel services of actual live fears that they're being given unlawful commands:
Trump's boat bombings in the Caribbean just got worse. An internal DOJ memo says the victims are waging war on the US, but per NYT, it extensively cites the WH's *own claims* to this effect as evidence!
The memo purportedly justifying these murders also contains a lengthy section that lays out arguments defending the actions of those carrying out the strikes. In short, it *preemptively* defends them from potential prosecution later.
Ever since the bombings began, a big Q has been: Do those carrying them out fear they're being given illegal orders? The official overseeing them recently resigned with no explanation, prompting Dems to ask if he'd concluded bombings are illegal. 3/
This has gotten lost: Abigail Spanberger won big after vowing to RESCIND Glenn Youngkin's executive order directing local cooperation with ICE and voting AGAINST the anti-immigrant Laken Riley Act. Yet she gained bigly with working class.
Remember when Ruben Gallego preened around over his support for the Laken Riley Act, and pundits treated him as having the magic key to Dems' working class woes?
Well, Spanberger voted against it and erased GOP gains with working class and among Latinos:
Some Dems and pundits overread Trump's win. They looked at dissatisfaction with the border and discerned a seismic cultural reaction to immigration levels inside the country. The former was real. The latter is a mirage.
Remarkable: In Virginia and New Jersey, Spanberger and Sherrill erased the GOP edge among working class. Per exit polls, each got 50% of noncollege voters, big gains over previous contests.
Anti-Trump politics appeals to working class, too!
The results decisively refute need for false choice between "anti-Trump" and affordability. In exit polls, Spanberger and Sherrill both got 50% of noncollege voters, and both got *huge* majorities of nonwhite noncollege voters. Reverses Trump gains bigly: