1) Pandemic caused by bat SARS-like coronavirus emerged in Wuhan--city 1000 km from nearest wild bats with SARS-CoV-2-like coronaviruses, but that contains labs conducting world's largest research program on bat SARS-like coronaviruses.
2) In 2015-2017, scientists and science-policy specialists expressed concern that the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) was conducting and contemplating research that posed an unacceptable risk of lab accident and pandemic (; ).nature.com/articles/natur… nature.com/articles/natur…
3) In 2017-2018, WIV constructed a novel chimeric SARS-like coronavirus that was able to infect and replicate in human airway cells and that had 10,000x enhanced viral growth and 3x enhanced lethality in mice engineered to display human SARS receptors on airway cells.
4) In 2018, in an NIH grant proposal, WIV and collaborators proposed to construct more novel chimeric SARS-like coronaviruses, targeting chimeras that replace natural spike gene with novel spike genes encoding spikes that have higher binding affinities to human cells.
5) Also in 2018, in a DARPA grant proposal, WIV and collaborators proposed to construct novel "consensus" bat SARS-like coronaviruses, and to insert furin cleavage site (FCS) sequences at the spike gene S1-S2 border of bat SARS-like coronaviruses.
6) In 2017-2019, WIV constructed and characterized novel SARS-like coronaviruses at biosafety level 2, a biosafety level patently inadequate for work with enhanced potential pandemic pathogens and patently inadequate to contain virus having transmission properties of SARS-CoV-2.
7) In 2019 a novel SARS-like coronavirus having a spike with high binding affinity for human cells, and having an FCS at the spike S1-S2 border--a virus having the specific properties set forth in the 2018 WIV NIH and DARPA grant proposals--emerges on the doorstep of WIV.
8) SARS-CoV-2 is the only one of more than 850 known SARS-like coronaviruses that contains an FCS. This feature does not rule out natural origin, but is more easily--much more easily--explained by lab origin. Especially since insertion of an FCS was explicitly proposed in 2018.
9) The FCS of SARS-CoV-2 has codon usage unusual for bat SARS-related coronaviruses and has an 8-of-8 amino-acid-sequence identity to the known FCS of human ENaCa. These features do not rule out natural origin, but are more easily--much more easily--explained by lab origin.
10) In 2020-present, WIV and its funders/collaborators at EcoHealth Alliance have withheld information, misrepresented facts, and obstructed investigation...even though, if not connected to origin, they easily could have cleared their name though cooperation with investigation.
All statements in all posts are demonstrable facts. Sources for posts 1-2 include the following:
HHS letter: "This is to notify you...I have suspended you and initiated proceedings to debar you from participating in Federal Government procurement...programs....[Y]ou lack the present responsibility to participate in Federal procurement...programs."
"NIH found that, based on his own statements and published research, Dr. Ralph Baric was engaged in GoF research that was subject to the October 17, 2014, U.S. Government funding pause and NIH Notice Number: NOT-OD-15-011, Funding Pause for Certain Types of Gain-of-Function Research Projects to that effect, and continued to participate in in GoF research even after being notified of this by the NIH."
"Also, the NIH found that Dr. Ralph Baric was not forthcoming surrounding his Wellcome Trust grant in documents submitted to the NIH."
"Dr. David Relman went cold at his laptop as an A.I. chatbot told him how to plan a massacre...[T]he chatbot explained how to modify an infamous pathogen in a lab so that it would resist known treatments."
"Worse, the bot described in vivid detail how to release the superbug, identifying a security lapse in a large public transit system...The bot outlined a plan to maximize casualties and minimize the chances of being caught."
HHMI President O'Shea: "[T]he authors propose a shift in what counts in the biomedical sciences: researchers should be recognized for what they choose to share on their own terms and timeline (for example as preprints), not what journals select"
"Current incentives for researchers place a strong emphasis on journal publications...[I]ncentives that tie journal peer review to editorial selection of articles,,,work against the timely and authentic communication of research findings."
"Resolving this issue requires more than reforming who edits journals or how they are funded. It demands a structural separation between dissemination (publishing and peer review) and selection (curation)."
"[W]hat I see in the current campaign is a recognisable military operation proceeding through identifiable phases against an adversary whose capacity to project power is collapsing in real time."
"Iranian ballistic missile launches have fallen by more than 90 percent from 350 on February 28 to roughly 25 by March 14, according to publicly available data. Drone launches tell the same story: from more than 800 on Day 1 to about 75 on Day 15."
"[A] research group…funded by NIH...contract HHSN26620070001…took…H7N1 flu virus of ostriches and adapted it to respiratory transmission between ferrets…[A]fter ferret respiratory transmission, transmission was not associated with loss of virulence." biosafetynow.substack.com/p/you-couldnt-…
"This novel human flu virus kills as readily as the Ebola virus"
"It's respiratory transmissible"
"Humans are immunologically naïve to such a virus"
"The recipe is plastered across the cloud, downloadable by any Tom, Dick or Harry curtesy of USG"
"If there was a lab leak or misappropriation of the work the consequences would be…what?...Devastating is too mild a word."