1) Pandemic caused by bat SARS-like coronavirus emerged in Wuhan--city 1000 km from nearest wild bats with SARS-CoV-2-like coronaviruses, but that contains labs conducting world's largest research program on bat SARS-like coronaviruses.
2) In 2015-2017, scientists and science-policy specialists expressed concern that the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) was conducting and contemplating research that posed an unacceptable risk of lab accident and pandemic (; ).nature.com/articles/natur… nature.com/articles/natur…
3) In 2017-2018, WIV constructed a novel chimeric SARS-like coronavirus that was able to infect and replicate in human airway cells and that had 10,000x enhanced viral growth and 3x enhanced lethality in mice engineered to display human SARS receptors on airway cells.
4) In 2018, in an NIH grant proposal, WIV and collaborators proposed to construct more novel chimeric SARS-like coronaviruses, targeting chimeras that replace natural spike gene with novel spike genes encoding spikes that have higher binding affinities to human cells.
5) Also in 2018, in a DARPA grant proposal, WIV and collaborators proposed to construct novel "consensus" bat SARS-like coronaviruses, and to insert furin cleavage site (FCS) sequences at the spike gene S1-S2 border of bat SARS-like coronaviruses.
6) In 2017-2019, WIV constructed and characterized novel SARS-like coronaviruses at biosafety level 2, a biosafety level patently inadequate for work with enhanced potential pandemic pathogens and patently inadequate to contain virus having transmission properties of SARS-CoV-2.
7) In 2019 a novel SARS-like coronavirus having a spike with high binding affinity for human cells, and having an FCS at the spike S1-S2 border--a virus having the specific properties set forth in the 2018 WIV NIH and DARPA grant proposals--emerges on the doorstep of WIV.
8) SARS-CoV-2 is the only one of more than 850 known SARS-like coronaviruses that contains an FCS. This feature does not rule out natural origin, but is more easily--much more easily--explained by lab origin. Especially since insertion of an FCS was explicitly proposed in 2018.
9) The FCS of SARS-CoV-2 has codon usage unusual for bat SARS-related coronaviruses and has an 8-of-8 amino-acid-sequence identity to the known FCS of human ENaCa. These features do not rule out natural origin, but are more easily--much more easily--explained by lab origin.
10) In 2020-present, WIV and its funders/collaborators at EcoHealth Alliance have withheld information, misrepresented facts, and obstructed investigation...even though, if not connected to origin, they easily could have cleared their name though cooperation with investigation.
All statements in all posts are demonstrable facts. Sources for posts 1-2 include the following:
The UNC-Wuhan research project constructing novel chimeric viruses that combined the spike genes of bat SARS-like viruses with the genomic backbones of other bat SARS-like viruses was criticized ***already in 2015*** as being likely to cause a pandemic.
From 2015: "Simon Wain-Hobson, a virologist at the Pasteur Institute in Paris, points out that the researchers have created a novel virus that 'grows remarkably well' in human cells. 'If the virus escaped, nobody could predict the trajectory,' he says."
From 2015: "'The only impact of this work is the creation, in a lab, of a new, non-natural risk,' agrees Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist and biodefence expert at Rutgers University"
"A new study reports 309 lab acquired infections and 16 pathogen lab escapes between 2000 and 2021. [neglecting the lab escape in 2019 in Wuhan that infected 800+ million and killed 20 million]"
"The 16 incidents…of…pathogen escaping a lab…include…accident…where…researcher…infected with…SARS…went on to expose 84…and risked re-igniting the 2002-2004 SARS epidemic [but neglects the lab escape in 2019 in Wuhan that infected 800+ million and killed 20 million]"
"'[Without] globalised formal reporting requirements, the data summarised here could only represent the tip of the iceberg,' the authors wrote [in a massive understatement, having neglected lab escape in 2019 in Wuhan that infected 800+ million and killed 20 million]."
"A new report finding American researchers misled the Pentagon about their partnership with a lab in Wuhan…will likely be a part of the…investigation by the House Select Subcommittee…, Chairman Brad Wenstrup told the Daily Caller"
"The USRTK found that Daszak and Baric communicated about the need for their grant proposal to obfuscate how much of the work would be conducted in Wuhan, misrepresent how secure the WIV lab was to DARPA and minimize how involved Chinese researchers were."
"House Select Subcommittee…, Chairman Brad Wenstrup…criticized the scientists for 'lying' to…DARPA, which is part of the Pentagon."
"That an outbreak caused by a bat sarbecovirus should happen in the one city in the world that had been collecting hundreds of bat sarbecoviruses and experimenting on them is striking enough."
"That it happened one year after that lab proposed inserting the one feature that distinguishes SARS‑CoV‑2 from all other viruses of the same kind makes it a heck of a coincidence."
"[T]he media has done a poor job of telling…the biggest story of the century: That the US government funded coronavirus research for years, via experiments in which the viruses were manipulated. Much of that funding went to the Wuhan Institute of Virology"
"Several sources expressed frustration with The New York Times specifically. Three sources told Press Gazette they made early approaches to the NYT science desk with evidence suggesting that a lab leak was plausible, and were rebuffed or ignored."
Richard Ebright: "The science desk at the Times was interested in keeping up to date on the facts and knowing the facts in full, but then not reporting them…[T]hey would report…only those developments that could be spun as favouring a natural accident origin"
"[N]ew timeline by USRTK shows…contradictory private and public statements were written on the…same day. The timeline shows…, even as the virologists incorporated…concepts…in favor of a natural origin, they simultaneously bemoaned…they were 'crap.'"
"Privately the virologists acknowledged that the Wuhan Institute of Virology had 'loads [of novel viruses] in their freezers' and that they could conduct engineering experiments on novel viruses 'on a whim.'"
"This concept at the core of their paper — that a novel virus would never be subject to gain-of-function experiments — was described by the virologists themselves as partially 'foolhardy' and 'crap.'"