Professor Lucy Easthope Profile picture
Jan 4 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Ed Davey as Post Office Minister joins very long line of U.K. senior politicians who have failed to intervene in the aftermath of state inflicted disaster and injustice. Over my time I have observed a number of reasons why this happens…
Ministers are often at mercy of what and who briefs them (a major problem in the pandemic) and as I say in #WhenTheDustSettles by the time of coalition it was “no bad news for the Minister”. They rarely get access to wildcard views.
Regardless of party, I often find Ministers are quite protective of the “establishment” and really struggle with the imagination required that it’s the state that is failing here or there is a wider nasty game at play
Ministers may also be vulnerable to lobbying, whipping and the use of past indiscretions to leverage the turning of a blind eye (not suggesting this was used in this case)
Sometimes Ministers are simply too close to the state/ corporate perpetrators and the degrees of separation can be mind-blowingly tiny. People meeting for dinner regularly or being related by marriage as examples.
Davey now joins a long list of those who claim that if they had been more fully appraised of the injustices and issues they would have acted earlier (Burnham has said similar for health scandals)
All if this may explain that while I regularly brief advisers I am rarely allowed near the Minister 😆
You can’t take “bits and pieces” to Minister or gut/ hearsay (all of which usually turn out to be spot on). As I say in #WhenTheDustSettles in relation to a nuclear exercise Ministers have to get better at hearing uncertainties (similarities to issues with Whistleblowing)

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More from @LucyGoBag

Dec 26, 2023
Just for clarity… what’s a water station?
This is a very important and genuine question. Because our water outage plans are as muddy as our power outage plans. Do you want local authority workers to buy water and charge back the water co? Do you want householders to pick up water or have water delivered? Do you want…
…bowsers? Do you want centralised and consistent messaging on how to make up infant formula? How should this be factored in to water company dividends next year?? You see Mr Hunt, you really really miss your emergency planners and emergency plans when you start cutting them
Read 4 tweets
Dec 16, 2023
One of the WORST messages at the start of the pandemic - the one that had me howling at the screen - was “Protect the NHS”. It was always going to land too well with a stoical nation. It baked in the excess deaths in the 50-70 range who delayed seeking help for concerns other…
..than virus. It can be linked directly to the cancers, uterine prolapses, heart attacks, foot amputations from wildly unmanaged diabetes.. all of it. When I heard plans for Super Hospitals (Nightingales) with military support I thought it would be for managing diagnostics
By baking in an appeal to stoicism our excess deaths by 2024 were maximised - and that’s somebody nobody has asked either health or home sec about at inquiry. Excess deaths management was a Home Office work stream
Read 4 tweets
Aug 30, 2023
Absenteeism will be THE topic for school leadership this academic year and the place to look for some answers is disaster recovery literature. When you are meeting to discuss it this week - few of your pre 2019 strategies will work anymore. Some thoughts on what might:
There is illness - viruses, long tails of viruses, ill health from NHS delays, poor dentistry and truly woeful mental health provision. Make close links with primary health and community health care provision. Clarify illness policies - no one should be in school unwell inc staff
There is bereavement and lots of it - Ed Psychs are spread thin but work with them preemptively to understand what can be offered. If you can afford it, invest in child bereavement training for all staff - children grieve differently from adults
Read 22 tweets
Aug 3, 2023
The National Risk Register 2023 has dropped! And as this is a major event for emergency planning I was up early to take a look at it.. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
A LOT of work has gone into this one - 🎩 tipped to the civil servants who do this work. It is nearly three times bigger than the last one. We publish one about every three years although 2020 was rapidly withdrawn.
The NRR is of limited use for emergency planners on its own.Many will have security clearance that allows them to see the suite of documents that sit behind this one and particularly the much more detailed National Security Risk Assessment. However…
Read 29 tweets
Jun 21, 2023
Been thinking a lot about this evidence overnight. It lays some uncomfortable and bruising ground for Whitty and Vallance… bbc.com/news/uk-politi…
As I discuss in #WhenTheDustSettles good scientific advice in emergencies also needs to listen to Wild Cards and weigh up longer term recovery consequences of certain actions. By 2016/7 I was worried that we were going backwards.
Lots of focus on Chemical and Nuclear threats in mid 2000s and they tell us a lot about the harms that responders can do to a society with poorly misunderstood quick fixes. The advice by 2020 seemed to exclude so many voices.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 4, 2023
There can be a lot of snobbery in Disaster Victim Identification with incorrect assumptions abounding that India will struggle this scale of tragedy - but U.K., Europe and USA would be ready. Trust me - this would challenge the U.K. just as much…. news.sky.com/story/india-tr…
Wherever the incident is in the world, affected relatives respond in the same way. Desperate for information and then desperate for access to their loved ones’s body or to visit a survivor in the hospital. The response can never be quick enough and if authorities try to use….
..the Interpol standards and science such as DNA they will take too long in the eyes of both the relatives and the communities and often the uniformed politicians and media.
Read 19 tweets

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