Joe Biden and Democrats delivered a fix to the multiemployer pension crisis—the Teamsters' top priority for more than 20 years. They did it without a single R vote. I get the whole "we need to show that our endorsement process is real" argument, but it doesn't hold water here IMO
In an open field, a robust process makes sense. But Joe Biden more than delivered on promises he made to win the endorsement in 2020. The correct approach here, IMO, is to spend the energy explaining to your members how we stick with people who are good on their word
Multiemployer pension fix saved 400,000 Teamsters' pensions. Add on top of that a host of pro-union legislation and rulemaking from Biden and Dems that's benefited Teamsters and compare to Trump's outright anti-union governing. It's not a hard case to make if you have courage
Again, in an open field the "we talk to everyone" approach makes sense. But when someone has over-delivered on promises they made to you, the politically savvy and smart member engagement approach is to re-up your support aggressively and demonstrate to members why.
Another reason this process doesn't make any sense to me is that the Trump members won't be persuaded by "Well we met with everyone and Biden was the best." And in the meantime, you're missing the opportunity to hammer the fact that Biden delivered on promises
The members who are on the Trump train will likely be FURTHER incensed by this process. Trump will have even more reason to yell about a "rigged endorsement" and to the members who love him it'll look like it was all a setup the whole time, which doesn't help your efforts
The disturbing alternative here is that IBT is actually running this as an open endorsement process and considering endorsing someone other than Biden, and I can't overstate what a disastrous message that would send to every elected official in the country
When someone delivers on all the promises they made and you turn around and jump ship, you destroy 100% of your credibility and future power. Elected officials will see that there's no upside in sticking their necks out for you. How will that go when you need them next time?
It feels like people are trying to be too clever by half and instead shooting themselves in the foot. I hope I'm totally wrong in the end and this helps swing members, but I've lived through enough union endorsement cycles to have a pretty good sense of how this is likely to go.
@Bjornapoor @Go_Ask_Alis In any case, you asserted that the membership of the Teamsters "very much leans hard right" which is inaccurate even based on the graphs you showed. You further claimed they're mostly working class white men, which is also inaccurate. But sure, keep defending your assumptions
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When I saw Gus Walz moved to tears by pride and love for his dad, I knew MAGA would jump to bully him. That's exactly what's happened. It's gross, and I think it's critically important that we talk about bullying clearly. So here's a story 🧵 #DNCConvention2024 #DNC2024CHICAGO
After Doug Emhoff spoke, I posted this. A lot of people loved it. And a lot of the predictable bullies and creeps crawled out from under their rocks too. Most were run of the mill CHUDs, but I've been chewing on this specific reply for a couple days
I did get shoved against lockers a few times in High School. I remember the first time very clearly. It was the first Friday of freshman year, and I was wearing my freshman football jersey as we were supposed to. Number 88, after my fave player at the time @michaelirvin88
There are a handful of nerds (🙋) who love policy papers. But the reality is that most voters decide on vibes. Nearly every presidential election of my lifetime from 1980 to today the winner was the person voters felt most comfortable with. 🧵
There are two components to this. First is that your candidate has to be able to tap into the vibe (polisci people will cringe at "vibe" but happily say "zeitgeist" so if you need to read it that way, go for it). What does the electorate need emotionally right now?
Reagan and Obama were hope candidates. Biden and Bush Sr. were stability candidates. Bill Clinton and Obama were generational change candidates. W. and Trump were id candidates who needed opponents who were easily as deeply out of step, as well as outside help.
The right wing is frothing at the mouth at the prospect of major clashes between students and police. It will give them the "Biden's America is spiraling out of control" story they crave. The most important thing D mayors and governors can do is NOT give them that story.
Don't take my word for it — just look at Mike Johnson's nonsense stunt yesterday at Columbia. The only reason he went there was to escalate the situation and give himself the excuse to call for Biden to unleash the National Guard on a bunch of kids.
When a Democratic governor or mayor sends the police in to a protest, they are doing Trump's dirty work for him. Plus, they're escalating the situation. Protests are growing and getting more aggressive BECAUSE OF overzealous police treatment of protestors.
17 years ago yesterday, my boss showed up unannounced while I was doing weekly inventory at the bar I (very successfully) managed. He told me I was fired. I thought it was April fools, but it wasn't. I got circular logic and no clear reason...
I got home completely shell shocked and found the final 3 grad school letters I'd been waiting on. They were all rejections, marking 3 straight years and a total of 17 MFA programs that didn't think I was good enough...
That was a rough day. I spent that summer drinking my feelings and wallowing, until a friend reminded me of a conversation we'd had the previous winter. "You said if grad school fell through again, you were going to try to get a job on the Obama campaign. So...?"
The thing about politics is that people don't have strong feelings about most issues unless you get them riled up. The GOP understands this, and makes up issues out of thin air. CRT, drag queen story hour, rainbow fentanyl, trans athletes, migrant caravans, ebola...
These are all nonsense, but the GOP hammers them, press covers them, and voters get upset about them. Democrats need to learn to hammer the GOP in a way that voters understand. @brianbeutler is right - people don't like liars and cheaters. They don't like corruption.
But the other thing this requires is that we have to be willing to take the gloves off and make gaining and using power our goal. You can't convince people the Republicans are an existential threat in one breath if you say they're good and honorable people in the next ffs
He spent $44 billion to get debunked by his own platform. Delicious
Here's the link to the actual tweet in case you want to check with this was photoshopped lolol. I'm dying imagining him screaming into a phone for someone to get him a programmer to fix it...but he just fired all of them
Mysteriously, the fact checks (which cited real, independent reporting on his bullshit) are suddenly gone. Guess King Twit couldn't handle being called on his bullshit