Sentinel-Safeguard Profile picture
Jan 7 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
I've had some time to think about the Chinese "filled with water" claims; and I think I know what happened.

Every modern ICBM has what's called the "Post-Boost Vehicle"; which aims and releases the warheads following ICBM burnout.

Picture is of an American PBV.

1/ Image
Virtually all PBVs use some form of liquid hypergolic propellants -- there are only a few exceptions, such as the USN's Trident PBVs which use a series of solid propellant gas generators to avoid hypergolics on a submarine. (They also have much less delta V)

/2
What I think happened is this:

Finished PBVs have to pass a variety of quality checks before they're released to the field. You've got to first check whether the entire system is leakproof, and then make sure that it can withstand launch vibrations.

/3
I suspect that everyone tests their PBVs with non-toxic surrogate liquids for initial system pressure tests and when they're placed on shake/rattle/roll tables to check if they're leakproof under launch vibrations.

/4
Otherwise, you find out there's a problem with the PBV when the testing room is now on fire and full of toxic, corrosive and flammable materials.

And to pass the shake testing, your surrogate has to approximate very closely the density/etc of flight materials.

/5
I think what happened was that some PBVs finished their acceptance tests and through paperwork errors, were never actually drained, dried, and refilled with flight propellants.

/6
They were in turn shipped to PLARF bases where they were weighed and found within acceptable flight mass + had the paperwork saying they were full of hypergols; and were accepted by the PLARF with no tests; b/c draining samples of hypergols is dangerous.

/7
Said PBVs go on combat duty with the PLARF for six to seven years, before being downloaded for inspection as they're now past the "warranty period".

They're drained at this point by the PLARF and they find that they're full of surrogate liquids, not actual hypergols.

/END

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More from @LIM49Spartan

Sep 4
I guess I should start an AGM-86 ALCM thread; since I dropped the ill-fated AGM-109 variants.

ALCM as we know it began with something completely different -- the SCAD (Subsonic Cruise Armed Decoy) program which began in 1969 or so to replace the earlier QUAIL decoy.

SCAD A would have been for the B-52, while SCAD-B would be for the B-1A.

Both would have had the option of a nuclear warhead.Image
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Somewhere along the way, SCAD became the AGM-86 SCAD, and then the ALCM. At this point (December 1974 and the ZAGM-86A) there was an option for a drop tank for extended range.

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At some point, it lost the drop tank.


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Read 8 tweets
Sep 4
Once upon a time, @heatloss1986 there was a plan for the USAF to buy the Tomahawk. Image
@heatloss1986 Naturally, the AGM-109 would have been launched from tons of platforms ranging from KC-10s... Image
@heatloss1986 A-6 Intruders -- @the_engi_nerd Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 4, 2023
US Casualty Care in WW2, a thread.

"The Surgical Management of the Wounded in the Mediterranean Theater at the Time of the Fall of Rome"

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

Has a nice diagram showing US casualty care circa the summer of 1944.

But how did all this work?

/1 Image
books.google.nl/books?id=lFIEA…

LIFE Magazine in their 29 January 1945 issue followed one specific casualty from his wounding to arriving in the US.

/2
George Lott was a medic in the 37th Inf Div who was hit by German mortar fire in both arms at 11:30 AM on 22 Nov 1944. Lott was able to self-transport himself from where he was wounded to the battalion aid station located 500 yards away in a basement of a house.

3/ Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 2, 2023
I've seen the following casualty rates tossed out:

150K UA v. 220K RU = 1.46x (RU journos connected to RU .mil)
100K UA v. 180K RU = 1.8x
100K UA v. 200K RU = 2.0x (US/NATO estimates)

The spread between RU and NATO cas estimate ratios isn't that great; the avg is 1.77x

/1
Prior Ratios are:

1991 Gulf War: 100 to 114x (unclear)
2003 OIF: 20x (unclear)
1956 Suez : 10.34x
1967 Six Days: 3.7x
1993 Mogadishu: 3.42x
1945 Okinawa: 2.44x
1979 Soviet-Afghan War: 2.19x
1973 Yom Kippur War: 1.5x
1942/43 Stalingrad: 1.29x
1945 Iwo Jima: 1.25x

/2
The difference in this war is going to be Ukraine's capability of regenerating losses, both manpower and materiel wise.

If AFU was getting a 30-1 ratio against Wagner; at 30K Wagner casualties, that's 1K AFU troops removed from this year's campaigning.

/3
Read 13 tweets
Feb 28, 2023
@TrentTelenko, Shoigou may have inadvertently revealed🇷🇺casualty ratios back in Sep '22 when commenting on🇺🇦casualties.

armenpress.am/eng/news/10930…

That comes out 55.4% KIA, 44.6% WIA - and that's for the first portion of the war when conditions were more favorable to Russia.

/1
@TrentTelenko Socialist scientificism (for lack of a better term) required incredibly precise figures when stating things in the USSR. So when it came to analyzing 🇺🇦 casualty estimates; Shoigou's speechwriters used 🇷🇺 ratios to get those numbers. Oops.

/2 END
@TrentTelenko rt.com/russia/563213-…

Original RT post in case they try to nuke it. I'm going to get the internet archive to save it as well..
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8, 2022
A while back I saw a comment by someone (can't remember who, sorry) that the most common 🇷🇺 tank AP round was 3BM42 'Mango' APFSDS -- which is a pretty "old" round that entered service in...1986.

/1
I just realized now that the use of MANGO may be due to the Frankensteined status of the 🇷🇺 tank fleet -- you have a lot of older tanks from the 1980s still in service; albeit lightly modernized.

/2
These tanks may not have all been modernized to digital fire control, and may still be using older analog ballistic computers. With digital FCS, when you introduce a new round; all you need to do is punch in the new parameters for the round trajectory and drag.

/3
Read 5 tweets

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