@whstancil America has a major problem with young black men shooting each other. CDC data shows black men age 15-34 die by gun homicide 6 times as often per capita as comparably poor young Hispanic men, 24x their white counterparts, and 60x Asians.
Nature? Nurture? Both?
This needs study
@whstancil We know that at least some of the extremely high black homicide rate in the 2020s can't all be due to genes, because the black homicide death rate has been higher since the "racial reckoning" was declared after George Floyd's death. Genes don't change in a week.
@whstancil CDC data shows the black death rate from both homicides and motor vehicle accidents went up during the Ferguson Effect of the first Black Lives Matter triumph and then both soared during the Floyd Effect of the second BLM Era.
That had to be due to cultural change, not genes.
@whstancil In the CDC weekly data, we can see the black death rates from homicides and car crashes soar during the Depolicing mania of the summer of 2020 and remain elevated ever since (although fortunately, they are trending down, but not yet back to 2019). Can't be due to genes evolving:
@whstancil The thousands of incremental black lives murdered and splattered on the asphalt since the second triumph of Black Lives Matter on May 25, 2020 is a clear case of the power of Nurture over Nature. Our Establishment told cops to treat blacks differently, and so...blacks died more.
@whstancil Now, @whstancil, you may not care about how The Establishment's promotion of Black Lives Matter has gotten tens of thousand of extra African Americans killed by murder and car crash, but I do.
I must confess: I'm an anti-murderist and anti-crashite.
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@VP His childhood Ramadan feasts are one of my husband Doug's favorite memories. Grandma Emhoff would simmer the pork roast in wine sauce and they'd gather around across multiple generations and gorge all afternoon. Happy Ramadan to all fasters from the Veep!
@VP "Our St. Patrick's Day pub crawls are one of my favorite childhood memories. We'd gather multiple generations & hammer back Guinnesses until Grandpa Gopalan would take a shillelagh to me da's skull. Whether you’re brawling together or drinking alone, happy St. Patty's Day"--Veep.
@VP Like Kwanzaa, our Orangemen's Day celebrations are one of my favorite childhood memories. On the Glorious Twelfth, the whole clan would gather around across multiple generations and march thru Papist neighborhoods singing loyalist paramilitary songs about the Battle of the Boyne
In my new column: Justin Trudeau's government is currently subjecting Canada to a bizarre experiment in pedal-to-the-medal mass immigration, with the logically inevitable consequence of high housing costs making family formation unaffordable for Canadians takimag.com/article/americ…
Some more relevant graphs regarding Justin Trudeau's immigration policy:
You would think that a house with a yard would come pretty cheap in vast Canada. You would be wrong:
Why do Louisiana, Mississippi, and Washington DC have high homicide rates, but UT and VT don't? Guns? Racism? Democrats?
In the CDC's counts of homicide deaths over the last half decade, states' homicide rates correlate closely (r = 0.82) with their black share of the population
Do state homicide rates correlate much with political ideology as measured by their vote in 2020?
Nope. Very little. There is a tiny trend toward a higher homicide rate the more Biden-voting a place is, but that's driven by the Washington DC outlier.
Blacks make up the majority of homicide victims each year in the U.S. (mostly at the hands of other blacks). So, what about black homicide rates by state? Do Trump states or Biden states do a better job of keeping blacks from shooting each other?
Let's make the strongest case for quotas using the Korean height example. Say that North and South Korea decide to sent a joint basketball team to the Olympics. But 95% of the best basketball players on the peninsula are Southerners because they average so much taller.
But the leadership decides to put more North Koreans on the team in order to generate interest in basketball among NK kids in the hopes that they or their children will grow up to be as tall as South Koreans due to less bad nutrition in North Korea than in the 1990s.
Clearly, this joint Korean Olympic basketball team would pay a penalty in the near term for replacing some of the better, taller South Koreans with lousier, shorter North Koreans, but making the culture of North Korea more basketball-oriented should pay off in the very long run.
Personally, I’m quite moderate on policy. Affirmative action looks to me like an obvious violation of the 14th Amendment. But I worry the Asian-black test score gap is so huge that colorblindness is becoming less feasible. I could see people using my facts to argue either way.
The Asian-black test score gap is so huge that all colleges can think to do is to make test scores optional or, as at UC schools, banned. On the Common App, the 36% of blacks who submit SAT/ACT scores average 1108, while the 61% of Asians average 1382:
The number of Indian-Americans who applied to college using the Common App more than doubled over the last decade. Among the 72% who submitted scores, Indians averaged 1415. In contrast, only 35% of Descendants of American Slave applicants submitted scores and they averaged 1084.
The big problem facing the next generation of African-American youth hoping to earn elite jobs is not White Supremacy or Systemic Racism or whatever people like to talk about, it's something few mention: that their chances are being overwhelmed by Asian immigrants.