BREAKING: The UK government plans to ban disposable vapes, restrict e-cig flavours and introduce plain packaging for vape juice. Some sort of display ban seems to be on the cards too. Rishi Sunak will make an announcement at a school tomorrow. 🧵
The evidence is clear that banning e-cigarette flavours increases the sale of combustible cigarettes. A study from the USA found that "banning non-tobacco flavored ENDS was associated with a 4.6% increase in cigarette sales." valueinhealthjournal.com/article/S1098-…
Last week a study funded by Cancer Research UK concluded that a ban on disposable vapes "has the potential to slow progress in driving down smoking prevalence and reducing smoking-related harm". sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
None of the anti-vaping policies proposed by the government are evidence-based and they will likely lead to lead to more people smoking. It's all about short term politics.
The government has also confirmed it will go ahead with the ludicrous plan of gradually raising the smoking age (recently ditched in New Zealand). Laughably, it mentions the size of the tobacco black market as a justification for prohibition. 🤪
The government seems intent in rushing all this through before anybody thinks about it too carefully. It hasn't even published its response to the public consultation yet.
More on this here. As usual with the BBC, the only opponents quoted are from industry and the article includes the classic line: “Some will argue the UK's plans still don't go far enough…” bbc.co.uk/news/uk-681232…
The Scottish nationalist take…
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This week it was widely reported that the UK’s sugar tax was associated with a 12% reduction in children’s dental extractions in hospitals. 🧵
The claim came from a study published in BMJ Nutrition, Prevention & Health which compared rates of tooth extraction in hospitals with a counterfactual of what would (might) have happened in the absence of the sugar tax. 2/ nutrition.bmj.com/content/early/…
The study found a 28% reduction in admissions among 0-4 year olds (!), but no reduction among kids aged 10 or over. It also found that the fall in admissions mostly occurred in 2016-17. 3/
This policy will be popular because FREE STUFF but it is symptomatic of the country's downward spiral. 🧵 bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Childcare costs are extraordinarily high in the UK and have risen enormously since the 1990s. Why? Are the staff highly paid? No. Do nurseries make massive profits? Not really.
What's happened is the government has broken the market with subsidies, regulation and feel-good policies.
Devi has gone back to talking about her first love, alcohol control. She says England can learn from Scotland's "harm reduction" policies. Let's have a look. 🧵 theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
She is right to say there was a fall in alcohol harm, as measured by alcohol-related deaths, between 2003 and 2012, although the rate is still far higher than in England. So which policies achieved this? She names four.
1. Ban on multi-buy discounts. Introduced in October 2011. When it was evaluated in 2014 it was found to have had no effect on alcohol consumption. cam.ac.uk/research/news/…
In today's episode of Junk Science, we use people's self-reported consumption of a vaguely defined food category and dredge the data for an association with any form of cancer. telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/01/3…
'Ultra-processed food' causes lung cancer? Hmm, do you suppose there could be some residual confounding going on here? 🤔 sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reactio…
I’ve tried to ignore smiley anti-vaxxers for the last year but I’ve had to block at least 300 of them this weekend since tweeting about Malhotra. Here’s what I’ve learned 🧵
1. So many new accounts. The majority of the ones I blocked set their accounts up in the last 3 months, and in December 2022 in particular. Loads of US accounts getting involved. These profiles are typical.
Perhaps there’s been an influx since Musk took over? Whatever the reason, it is almost a surprise when you find an account that has been around for a few years. I got the impression I had blocked quite a few of them before.