Observing today's performance of a few dozen mobilized soldier's relatives in Moscow, poses a question - why were soldier's wives and mothers a lot more loud during the Chechen wars compared to the low level of publicly expressed dissent among their current counterparts?
For one, Russia was a lot freer in the 90s then it is today. By no means a stable democracy, freedom of the press and free expression of thought undoubtedly existed. The public could actually exert pressure on the state and the state felt this pressure.
The second reason is more interesting - money. Mobilized young Russians in the 90s were not handsomely rewarded for their efforts. There was no monetary incentive for them to fight and for their families to keep quiet.
In this war, mobilized impoverished Russians from the provinces receive pay that is on par to an average paycheck of a middle class Muscovite. They have never seen that kind of money in their lives and likely never will again.
In two years of war, Russia has spent roughly 40% of its rainy day fund, which consists of the energy exports profits, accumulated over two decades. It's not cheap to fund an army this size, but Russia has enough capital to go on for a few years.
Social expenses are already cut in this year's budget, which means that the piss-poor Russian mobiks or their families are receiving funds which would've gone to repairing and maintaining infrastructure of their mixed medieval/industrial era towns and villages. It's a trade-off.
Addendum

I'm more interested to see whether the faux opposition presidential candidate Boris Nadezhdin will be officially verified by the electoral commission. The liberal opposition decided to piggyback on him, which has caused a certain level of stress for the authorities.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Aleksandar Djokic (Александар Джокич)

Aleksandar Djokic (Александар Джокич) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @polidemitolog

Jun 29
After the Serbian police violently dispersed yesterday's rally in Belgrade, the police started to arrest students from various faculties under allegations of undermining the constitutional order. As a response against such arrests in the Belgrade municipality of Zemun when the Faculty of Agriculture is located, the citizens have raised street barricades. Citizens are putting up barricades across town as well.
One of the two main bridges in Belgrade, the one which connects to the highway, is now blocked. Blockades have risen in many parts of the city and in other towns besides the capital. Image
A new map of Belgrade citizen blockades just dropped and it's glorious. Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 5, 2024
Protests in Serbia's second largest city of Novi Sad, after a part of the recently renovated rail station collapsed, killing 14 people, mostly of young age, and leaving three people in a critical condition. Chinese and Hungarian companies were involved in the works, and many safety standards seem to not have been observed.
The Serbian regime invented the following scheme: whenever a substantial investment deal is signed between the state and a Chinese company, the Chinese company would officially ask for the details of the deal to be declared a secret.
Thus, the citizens of Serbia can't access any documents on such projects as construction of new highways or important objects like the the Novi Sad main railway station. This is against the constitutional order which guarantees citizens access to data of public interest.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 28, 2024
The fundamental question for researchers of international relations vis-a-vis explaining Russian aggression in the second half of the 20th and during the 21st century is whether that aggression can be attributed to ideology or inherent imperialism.

A 🧵
If a researcher believes that the USSR expanded only because of the idea of communist globalism, then there is no reason for post-communist Russia to, from the very beginning in the 1990s, exert its will through force on the Moldovan or Georgian nation, which it did.
What connects Stalin's, Yeltsin's or Putin's aggression is not common political ideology, as they didn't share one, it's radical statism - the veneration of the state as the supreme political value. Whichever leader sits on this throne, the tide takes him to the same destination.
Read 14 tweets
Oct 28, 2024
A 🧵on divisions in society and one way of healing them

Trump's New York rally is like going down a very dark rabbit hole. In Europe, a gathering with such radically right slogans would definitely end with a torchlight procession and not with Hulk Hogan ripping his shirt off.
It's reminiscent most of the Brexit discourse. The promise of putting the economy back to work for the people through protectionism, getting rid of immigrants, promoting a fear that the real America is being replaced by outsiders and that the solution is exchanging the concepts of integration and cooperation for isolation and autarchy.
It didn't work for Britain and it won't work for the US. Populism never works because it preys on the lowest urges of the masses. It's simply telling the mob what it wants to hear. However, it's important to think why such crude sentiments are popular.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 27, 2024
The graph on the left shows the Georgian ruling party's result (orange) vs. the exit poll by Edison research (Blue) in previous electoral cycles.

The graph on the right shows the percentage of the vote won by the Georgian ruling party in Tbilisi (blue) and the provinces (orange).Georgian Dream results vs. exit polls
Georgian Dream result in Tbilisi vs. the provinces
Even if you've never followed the electoral process in parliamentary countries, you can see that the Georgian ruling party was on a downward trend, which with great opposition mobilization to the creeping autocracy could not have possibly been reversed, certainly not to such an extent.
The second graph is important to understand how the elections were rigged. The urban centers are always better monitored, by the opposition activists and NGOs. The rural parts of the country are tougher to monitor. Fraud is easier to achieve in the provinces.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 24, 2024
I caught Putin's BRICS speech near the end, since I was at an interview for an institute position (yes, it seems the prodigal son is returning to academia). Putin is very confident in his manner, he even admitted to cooperating with North Korea militarily directly.
This confidence is not due to Ukraine's weakness on the battlefield, it's tied to Western divisivness and a lack of a coherent postwar strategy for Ukraine.
Russia's resources aren't infinite, Ukraine's resources aren't either. But Putin is confident that the West isn't standing behind Ukraine in full capacity, this much is obvious.
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(