Dilan Esper Profile picture
Feb 6 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
You are going to hear a bunch of takes this week about how the Supreme Court is "required" to take Trump off the ballot.

Whether or not you buy the argument that he's disqualified, remember this-- nothing is "required".

SCOTUS can do whatever it wants. 1/
Moreover, even if there's some notion that plain text should constrain SCOTUS from considering pragmatic issues (such as how half the country would react to disenfranchisement), this case is NOT about plain text. Section 3 is an old, very ambiguous, seldom invoked provision. 2/
A court can always consider pragmatism, policy arguments, and what the country might think in construing ambiguous provisions. If plain text binds, that argument applies only to just that, plain text. 3/
Now, you may conclude that the better argument is that Section 3 covers President Trump and that he is disqualified. But if you are going to tell me that the terms used in that provision-- "insurrection", "officer", etc., are unambiguous, you are lying. That's right, I said it 4/
Lying that things are unambiguous when they aren't is a very tolerated form of lying that has become somewhat common in the legal profession. Some contract or statute has some term with 2 obvious possible meanings and a lawyer says "not ambiguous". That lawyer is lying. 5/
It's a form of lawyering that assumes that conceding that the other side even has half of a point is terrible and that you should never do it. And sadly, some judges buy into it too. Indeed, supposedly textualist judges are especially susceptible to this tactic. 6/
But it still is a lie. If you want to tell me that the provision that says the Vice President takes over when the President dies is unambiguous, fine. Not everything is ambiguous. But "insurrection"? I'm sorry, if you are saying that is unambiguous that is a baldfaced lie. 7/
This is litigation involving a disused, ambiguous constitutional provision that could potentially, if given a broad construction, tear the country apart. Don't let ANYONE tell you that SCOTUS has no right to consider that latter point because "the law is the law". End/

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More from @dilanesper

Jan 8
having listened, on @ProfDBernstein 's recommendation, to the Federalist Society's excellent, diverse (no pun intended) panel on affirmative action, one thing I think a lot of people don't get is there really is a lot of anti-Asian animus in college admissions. I think it evolved
in other words, i don't think it started out "there's too many Asians, let's screw them over". Rather, I think that people who started out open minded and tolerant ran into a situation where they couldn't reach their other goals without discriminating against Asians.
Those goals were admitting enough Black students, while also keeping white elite donors happy by admitting their children, while also maintaining enough slots for high scoring white students to enter on allegedly meritocratic grounds. Something had to give, and it was Asians.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 19, 2023
So after the latest Clarence Thomas revelations, I have a modest proposal which John Roberts et al. won't like. But I'm convinced it is fully constitutional.

We should make serious Supreme Court ethical violations criminal offenses. 1/
So here's the basic problem. The Constitution grants life tenure to justices subject only to impeachment. And further, partisan political polarization means NOBODY will ever impeach the other party's justices.

And that leads to the Court having complete impunity. 2/
Justice Alito was lying when he said that it was unconstitutional to regulate the Supreme Court. But he wasn't baldly lying-- effectively, the Constitution cuts off many of the ways we might do it. We not only can't remove them, but we can't even cut their pay. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 9, 2023
just once i'd like to see the NGO sector pressure Hamas to offer concessions that would be attractive to Israel to induce ceasefire.

E.g., if Hamas said "we will release the hostages, fill the tunnels, locate in the open, and offer up the planners of 10/7 for a war crimes trial"
obviously NGO's won't say "we support Hamas", but they definitely and conspicuously don't want to push Hamas to give up any capability to launch future terrorist attacks, because a lot of folks in that sector hate Israel and think Hamas is engaging in justified resistance.
and this is where a lot of the international Left is. They frame their arguments in terms of peace but don't want a peace that weakens what they see as the legitimate resistance of Hamas to 1948 and the settler colonialists.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7, 2023
i think it rather obvious that a lot of academia got caught with its pants down when its very under-reasoned "words are violence" theories started to be used against Lefty pro-Palestinian revolutionary-type students, and there's a lesson here about insisting on scholarly rigor.
because a lot of this was just academics saying a bunch of stuff in echo chambers and never subjecting it to real challenge.

When i was at the ACLU the law student interns had better debates about the protection of hate speech than many scholars faced.
Way back when Richard Delgado and Mari Matsuda were putting this stuff out, it should have been tested. The rhetoric of pro-Palestinian students was a super obvious example- they shouldn't have missed it.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 21, 2023
So I know I am supposed to hate the new Twitter suit against Media Matters, but having read it-- it looks to me like it states a cause of action for disparagement and maybe for interference of contract as well.

To understand it, read this case:

1/casetext.com/case/suzuki-mo…
The Suzuki case arose out of a sensationalized report in Consumer Reports about the Suzuki Samurai, a small Jeep Wrangler-style SUV, which Consumer Reports claimed had the tendency to roll over. The thing is, CR rigged the tests to make the rollovers more likely. 2/
And the Court of Appeals held that Suzuki could make out a claim of "actual malice" based on that and could thus go to trial on their defamation claim. Consumer Reports eventually settled (the scuttlebutt is on terms very favorable to Suzuki) after this. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Oct 31, 2023
Since every time I mention baseball analytics I get tons of very emotional pushback from the supposedly rational devotees of it, I ought to do a thread that sets out my actual position.

Here's a graph on complete games- that's where a starting pitcher goes all 9 innings. 1/ Image
What happened? Well, at least the standard story (there's another story, which I will briefly cover later), is that managers used to leave their pitchers in too long. Then statistical experts (baseball fans who loved numbers) showed this was bad strategy and they changed. 2/
The key insight of the statisticians is that pitchers, on average, decline as they continue to pitch through the batting order multiple times. 3/ Image
Read 33 tweets

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