Questions from Roberts, Thomas, and Kavanaugh suggest to me that a consensus off-ramp is emerging: the notion that individual states cannot enforce Sec. 3's disqualification provision against federal candidates, or at least against the president.
Exactly. The problem is that Jonathan Mitchell's atrocious briefing and argument failed to put meat on the bones of this idea, so SCOTUS will have to improvise a justification.
Kagan also expresses deep skepticism that a single state should be able to decide who can "be president."
In my view this argument is as good as over. A majority will hold that individual states can't enforce Sec. 3 against the president, at least without congressional approval.
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Here's the PA Supreme Court's 219-page opinion declaring that (1) abortion is a fundamental right under the state constitution's right to privacy; and (2) abortion bans discriminate on the basis of sex under the state constitution's equal rights amendment. pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
Here's Justice Wecht's concurring opinion, which sharply criticizes Alito's opinion in Dobbs and explains why the PA Constitution provides far greater protections for women's autonomy and equality. pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
Wisconsin Supreme Court holds that the current legislative maps violate the state constitution’s requirement that all districts be “contiguous.” A 4–3 split, as expected, with Judge Janet Protasiewicz casting the key vote. New maps required for 2024. wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/Dis…
This decision does NOT affect Wisconsin’s congressional maps, i.e., House districts. It involves only the state legislature. Still a really big deal.
The dissents are truly seething, as expected. Justice Rebecca Grassl Bradley says the justices in the majority are “handmaidens of the Democratic Party” who “deliver spoils” to Democrats, and compares the decision to the French Revolution. wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/Dis…
Since 2016, many conservatives have insisted that the U.S. is not a democracy, but a "republic" where the president is ultimately chosen by states.
Within that system, it seems absurd to say that states can't decide candidates are ineligible and disqualify them from the ballot!
If states hold primary authority over federal elections, and have immense leeway to decide how presidential electors are appointed, it strikes me as obvious that states can disqualify federal candidates who are constitutionally ineligible.
Gorsuch said so on the 10th Circuit!
The Colorado Supreme Court dissenters said the state's current process for disqualifying a presidential candidate is constitutional insufficient—probably the strongest argument against yesterday's decision, to my mind. But shouldn't that process still receive great deference?
Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk refuses to grant relief to Texas college students who may be punished for hosting a drag show.
His condemns drag as “vulgar and lewd” “sexualized conduct” that harms children and is likely unprotected by the First Amendment. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Kacsmaryk’s conclusion that drag is probably NOT protected by the First Amendment conflicts with decisions from Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and Montana which held that drag is constitutionally protected expression.
It also bristles with undisguised hostility toward LGBTQ people.
You may remember Matthew Kacsmaryk as the judge who tried to ban medication abortion nationwide, blocked minors’ access to birth control in Texas, refused to apply Bostock, and seized control of border policy from Biden to exclude asylum seekers. vox.com/platform/amp/p…
NEW: Florida's Orange County Public School system announces that, because of new Florida laws, trans teachers can't use their preferred pronouns or honorifics (Mr./Ms.) at school.
Trans teachers and students can't use the bathroom that aligns with their gender identity, either.
Under the new guidance, transgender teachers in Florida's Orange County Public School system MUST use the pronouns and titles that correspond to their "biological sex" as assigned at birth. So, for instance, a transgender woman must go by "he/him" and "Mr." in the classroom.
Florida's Orange County Public School system also sent out a form that parents must fill out to let a teacher use ANY deviation from their child's legal name. That goes beyond trans students; if a child named Robert wants to go by Rob, that'll require a permission slip now.
Rarely will you read a Supreme Court opinion that is not, at a minimum, "defensible." That's because smart lawyers have been paid large sums to craft arguments that sound persuasive, and the justices excel at adapting such arguments into a jurisprudence that *feels* reasonable.
SCOTUS journalism is challenging because, at this level, both sides have all the resources and brainpower necessary to construct a compelling case for their view of the law. Often, a reasonable person could read both sides' briefs and easily conclude that both sides are correct.
Because the parties (and amici) have already done all this legwork—and today's Supreme Court bar really is top-notch—the justices almost always have everything they need to write a "defensible" opinion that leads to their preferred outcome. That's a basic skill for any judge.