Mark Joseph Stern Profile picture
Feb 8 3 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Questions from Roberts, Thomas, and Kavanaugh suggest to me that a consensus off-ramp is emerging: the notion that individual states cannot enforce Sec. 3's disqualification provision against federal candidates, or at least against the president.
Exactly. The problem is that Jonathan Mitchell's atrocious briefing and argument failed to put meat on the bones of this idea, so SCOTUS will have to improvise a justification.
Kagan also expresses deep skepticism that a single state should be able to decide who can "be president."

In my view this argument is as good as over. A majority will hold that individual states can't enforce Sec. 3 against the president, at least without congressional approval.

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More from @mjs_DC

Jan 29
Here's the PA Supreme Court's 219-page opinion declaring that (1) abortion is a fundamental right under the state constitution's right to privacy; and (2) abortion bans discriminate on the basis of sex under the state constitution's equal rights amendment. pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
Here's Justice Wecht's concurring opinion, which sharply criticizes Alito's opinion in Dobbs and explains why the PA Constitution provides far greater protections for women's autonomy and equality. pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
Whatever one thinks about the role of history and tradition in affording rights to women under the United States Constitution, the Pennsylvania Constitution’s ERA did away with the antiquated and misogynistic notion that a woman has no say over what happens to her own body.274 The right to reproductive autonomy originating in Article I, Section 1 and in the non-discrimination guarantee of Article I, Section 26 likewise are not constrained by federal law. These constitutional provisions protect Pennsylvanians from the powers of the state, and the state bears the burden of satisfying the mean...
Here are the remaining concurrences and dissents.

Chief Justice Todd:
Justice Dougherty:
Justice Mundy: pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
pacourts.us/assets/opinion…
Read 5 tweets
Dec 22, 2023
Wisconsin Supreme Court holds that the current legislative maps violate the state constitution’s requirement that all districts be “contiguous.” A 4–3 split, as expected, with Judge Janet Protasiewicz casting the key vote. New maps required for 2024. wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/Dis…

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This decision does NOT affect Wisconsin’s congressional maps, i.e., House districts. It involves only the state legislature. Still a really big deal.

Judge Janet Protasiewicz basically ran on delivering this decision to the people. wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/Dis…
The dissents are truly seething, as expected. Justice Rebecca Grassl Bradley says the justices in the majority are “handmaidens of the Democratic Party” who “deliver spoils” to Democrats, and compares the decision to the French Revolution. wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/Dis…
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Read 6 tweets
Dec 20, 2023
Since 2016, many conservatives have insisted that the U.S. is not a democracy, but a "republic" where the president is ultimately chosen by states.

Within that system, it seems absurd to say that states can't decide candidates are ineligible and disqualify them from the ballot!
If states hold primary authority over federal elections, and have immense leeway to decide how presidential electors are appointed, it strikes me as obvious that states can disqualify federal candidates who are constitutionally ineligible.

Gorsuch said so on the 10th Circuit! Image
The Colorado Supreme Court dissenters said the state's current process for disqualifying a presidential candidate is constitutional insufficient—probably the strongest argument against yesterday's decision, to my mind. But shouldn't that process still receive great deference?
Read 5 tweets
Sep 22, 2023
Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk refuses to grant relief to Texas college students who may be punished for hosting a drag show.

His condemns drag as “vulgar and lewd” “sexualized conduct” that harms children and is likely unprotected by the First Amendment. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Kacsmaryk’s conclusion that drag is probably NOT protected by the First Amendment conflicts with decisions from Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and Montana which held that drag is constitutionally protected expression.

It also bristles with undisguised hostility toward LGBTQ people.
You may remember Matthew Kacsmaryk as the judge who tried to ban medication abortion nationwide, blocked minors’ access to birth control in Texas, refused to apply Bostock, and seized control of border policy from Biden to exclude asylum seekers. vox.com/platform/amp/p…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 8, 2023
NEW: Florida's Orange County Public School system announces that, because of new Florida laws, trans teachers can't use their preferred pronouns or honorifics (Mr./Ms.) at school.

Trans teachers and students can't use the bathroom that aligns with their gender identity, either.

Condensed Guidance House Bill 1069 Regarding Pronouns and House Bill 1521 Regarding Restrooms All Principals Technical College Directors - please distribute a copy of this memorandum to all employees and or contractors who work on your school site. In the 2023 Legislative session, the Florida Legislature passed House Bill 1069 regarding pronouns. The Legislature also passed House Bill 1521 regarding restrooms. This memorandum will provide guidance on both laws below. House Bill 1069 (§1000.071, Fla. Stat.) This law deals with the definition of sex and usage of pronouns. The bill requires as...
Usage of Personal Titles and Pronouns Questions have arisen about whether a parent can approach an employee and ask the employee to utilize a pronoun which does not correspond with the student's biological sex at birth. The State Board of Education has not given guidance on this precise question. An educator cannot solicit a child's pronouns, as this is directly prohibited by law - a parent would have to approach the educator about utilization of a pronoun differing from the child's biological sex at birth. Until further guidance is given by the State, I would recommend that educators conce...
To "assist or chaperone a child under 12, an elderly person..., a person with a disability..., or a person with a developmental disability..."; "For law enforcement or governmental regulatory purposes"; "For the purpose of rendering emergency medical assistance or to intervene in any other emergency situation where the health or safety of another person is at risk"; "For custodial, maintenance or inspection purpose, provided that the restroom or changing facility is not in use". "If the appropriate designated restroom or changing facility is out ...
Under the new guidance, transgender teachers in Florida's Orange County Public School system MUST use the pronouns and titles that correspond to their "biological sex" as assigned at birth. So, for instance, a transgender woman must go by "he/him" and "Mr." in the classroom.
Florida's Orange County Public School system also sent out a form that parents must fill out to let a teacher use ANY deviation from their child's legal name. That goes beyond trans students; if a child named Robert wants to go by Rob, that'll require a permission slip now. Guidance regarding Parental Authorization for Deviation from Student's Legal Name All Principals/Technical College Directors - please distribute a copy of this memorandum to all emplovees and/or contractors who work on vour schoo site. School districts will develop a form to obtain parental consent along with any required documentation, as appropriate." Attached to this memo is the form we will be using for the 2023-2024 school year. It must be used for all deviations for the legal name. As an example, if the student is named Robert, but likes to be callec the nickname Rob, the form mu...
Read 6 tweets
Aug 1, 2023
Rarely will you read a Supreme Court opinion that is not, at a minimum, "defensible." That's because smart lawyers have been paid large sums to craft arguments that sound persuasive, and the justices excel at adapting such arguments into a jurisprudence that *feels* reasonable.
SCOTUS journalism is challenging because, at this level, both sides have all the resources and brainpower necessary to construct a compelling case for their view of the law. Often, a reasonable person could read both sides' briefs and easily conclude that both sides are correct.
Because the parties (and amici) have already done all this legwork—and today's Supreme Court bar really is top-notch—the justices almost always have everything they need to write a "defensible" opinion that leads to their preferred outcome. That's a basic skill for any judge.
Read 9 tweets

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