By blaming Poland for the start of WWII, Putin is not only signaling to the German far right that he will support this narrative in the future, but he also demonstrates that he doesn't really care about the most important idol of the Russo-Soviet pantheon - WWII heritage.
Don't think for a second that this isn't tipping the hat to Germany's and Austrian's far right. AfD is currently taking a beating in the polls (its secret meeting discussing the "final solution" to the immigrant problem was discovered), but the Austrian FPÖ is doing quite nicely.
The actual quote: "The Poles nevertheless forced him - they got carried away and forced Hitler - to start The Second World War against them first."

newsweek.com/fact-check-put…
Putin's whole two hour speech was specifically tailored for the US and the European far right. All the right messaging was there - Eastern Europe is our backyard, why would US citizens pay to get involved in a family quarrel across the ocean, I won't attack anyone else, I swear.
It's just that the packaging was all wrong. The tirade was too long, the presented distorted or selectively picked data couldn't have resonated with the audience, which lacks a necessary framework of reference. Putin would've been better off by speaking in short punchlines.
By opting to bore the average far right voter to death, Putin essentially crippled his message. This must've been Putin himself pushing such a format on his speechwriters and policy consultants, since no professional would choose to communicate to Americans in such a manner.
What compels me to even write this short analysis is the sheer evil behind Putin's, albeit unsuccessful, messaging and the fact that many are now calling him insane or alike.
Putin is not a lunatic, he is a calculated vile individual, who doesn't know how to approach the modern short attention span Western audience, but who, at the same time, believes himself to be a master of deception and manipulation.
Putin's arrogance outweighs his actual talent to get his message across and to actually become the puppet master he thinks himself to be, but he's perfectly rational.

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More from @polidemitolog

Feb 6
What do Maxim Gorky and Tucker Carlson have in common?

The famous Soviet writer and propagandist, Maxim Gorky, visited the Solovki gulag in 1929. His task was a mundane one - to demonstrate that Stalinist concentration camps constituted a pleasant living and working environment.
The atrocious place of torment - Sekirnaya Gora, where the punishment cells were located, was spruced up just for Gorky and the prisoners given newspapers to show that they were working on their intellectual growth in tandem with slave labor.
However, the prisoners decided to prove to Gorky that the Soviet authorities had built a microcosmos of lies especially for him. They turned the Soviet papers upside down and demonstratively read them this way when Gorky came to exchange a few words.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3
Observing today's performance of a few dozen mobilized soldier's relatives in Moscow, poses a question - why were soldier's wives and mothers a lot more loud during the Chechen wars compared to the low level of publicly expressed dissent among their current counterparts?
For one, Russia was a lot freer in the 90s then it is today. By no means a stable democracy, freedom of the press and free expression of thought undoubtedly existed. The public could actually exert pressure on the state and the state felt this pressure.
The second reason is more interesting - money. Mobilized young Russians in the 90s were not handsomely rewarded for their efforts. There was no monetary incentive for them to fight and for their families to keep quiet.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 29
As the Zelensky vs. Zaluzhny saga is in the headlines once more (there's no confirmation of Zaluzhny resigning), we should take a look at the activisation of the political sphere in Ukraine at this stage of the war.
For a year and a half, basically up until the end of the Ukrainian spring-summer offensive, which did not bring the desired outcome, the political sphere in Ukraine was put behind the military domain.
In this earlier stage of the war, Zelensky was a president of courage and hope. The Ukranian nation expected, or at least hoped, for a victory in 2023, one that would bring the war closer to the end. This didn't come to pass.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 26
Just as with EU support package to Ukraine, which will be approved on a central or combined individual level, I belive that Biden's administration will find a way to continue aiding Ukraine.

politico.eu/article/eu-thr…
Once the struggle is entered, it becomes a geopolitical imperative to not abandon Ukraine. This doesn't mean that Ukraine will get everything it needs to win, this has been empirically proven in these two long years. But there's a lot of grey space between abandoning and winning.
The EU will aid Ukraine circumventing Hungary and when Orban sees the determination, he might just give up on his veto in this instance. Why push yourself into a corner, when the deal will go with or without you. It's better to follow the herd.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 30, 2023
Russian Supreme Court today banned something that they dubbed "The International LGBT Social Movement". It's as if the anti-Jewish Nuremberg Laws were introduced, but legitimized as banning "The International Jewish Social Movement".

t.me/meduzalive/959…
In reality, Putin's regime banned various forms of sexuality, or rather the public display of their indicators, in a populist move in order to score political points by persecuting unpopular social groups.
Pay attention to the fact that this is a top-bottom decision, but, nevertheless, made by taking into account the staggering, by European standards, level of homophobia inside the Russian society itself.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 17, 2023
What signals does the Russian political system want to send to its citizens with the draconian seven-year prison sentence for Russian activist Sasha Skochilenko, who switched price tags in a supermarket with anti-war messages, which referenced war crimes against Ukraine? Short 🧵
First of all, it's about unpredictability of the repressive machinery. It's specifically vague on type and manner of punishment anti-war activists may receive. It can be a fine or a long prison sentence, you can't know for sure, test the system, if you're willing to try.
This is a typical state terror tactic with a goal to instill fear and paralyze active and concerned parts of society. It's also practical because there is no need to repress a million people, when you can pick a few dozen and punish them publicly.
Read 7 tweets

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